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Midlands National 2016

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  • #1237418
    Avatar photoVenture to Cognac
    Moderator
    • Total Posts 16067

    Thought I’d have a quick look at this, even though there’s the small matter of Cheltenham to contend with first.

    My main bet so far has been on Mad Brian at 20’s. He looked a staying chaser to keep on side, when he ran a cracker to finish second in The 2013 Thyestes, before running with a lot of credit against very decent opposition in The Topaz at Leapordstown a few weeks later. He then took in a chase at Navan a few weeks later, and unseated at the last when 7, 8 lengths clear. He then had a lengthy spell on the sidelines and didn’t return until this year. He didn’t strike a blow in his comeback run over hurdles, but last time was a lot more encouraging. Although he fell at the last when beat, he showed an awful lot more, and he was bang there until close home. Despite those 2 mishaps I’ve mentioned, I don’t necessarily think of him as a bad jumper, and I’ve had a go at the 20’s

    Mad Brian was preferred to Upswing & Standing Ovation at 25’s, though I had 2 very small bets on them. I couldn’t possibly have had a proper punt on them, with their multiple Cheltenham entries, though the Pipe trained Standing Ovation does stand his ground here. Pipe farmed this race for 4 years, and as he’s got a strong entry, that was enough for me to back off of Standing Ovation in the meantime.

    I’ll have a proper look at the race on Friday Night, if I’m still in one piece :wacko:

    With a long week ahead, happy with my 20’s on Mad Brian, and if Standing Ovation does go, I’ll have to take it on the chin, when that 25’s will be long gone.

    GL

    #1237435
    Avatar photoraymo61
    Participant
    • Total Posts 6938

    Am on Milansbar at 10/1 and Godsmejudge at 25/1 . Only small bets cos I haven’t had a deep study yet cos there is a little meeting just about to start that has taken precedence!!

    Good Luck :good:

    #1237454
    Avatar photoBobby Bluebell
    Participant
    • Total Posts 239

    No rain forecast for the week so ground should dry out to something decent.

    I’ve backed Sizing Coal at 16s. He was a tad unlucky in the Irish National last season when he got hampered and shuffled back at a crucial stage. Nothing finished better than him that day and he would have been 2nd in another stride.

    He’s by Presenting so hoping better ground will see him in a good light. Only 5 chases in his lifetime so hoping he is still unexposed. The stable is in terrific form and he had only one race this season (last month) so should be nice and fresh.

    #1238815
    Avatar photoraymo61
    Participant
    • Total Posts 6938

    I have now backed Courttown Oscar and Golden Cheiftain both at 20’s.

    #1238864
    moehat
    Participant
    • Total Posts 10183

    I’ve just backed Courltown Oscar but only because I haven’t had time to look at the race and the S.O. knows his jockeys dad so we follow him.

    #1238967
    wasps41
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1161

    Managed to get the last 2 winners of this but can’t see lightning strike a third time

    Cogry for me. GL everyone :good:

    #1238989
    Avatar photoBigG
    Participant
    • Total Posts 14559

    I’m with Raymo, I think GOLDEN CHIEFTAN has every chance of taking this.
    From winning over 3m3f at Fontwell last November, he has always looked like he could
    win a marathon, and hasn’t run a bad race since. He won well over 3m2f at Wincanton in
    January, and followed that up in February when he looked to have the race sewn up when
    falling 3 out.

    Still plenty of 20s about, or an extra 5th place with Skybet at 18/1. That will do for me.

    Well done Bobby Bluebell taking 16s for Sizing Coal, he is the biggest worry to me, but at
    5/1, like the other Bobby, I feel I’ve missed the boat there. If he drifts before the race
    I’d have a few quid on him to cover my bet.

    #1239012
    Dex
    Participant
    • Total Posts 90

    I’m with Raymo, I think GOLDEN CHIEFTAN has every chance of taking this.
    From winning over 3m3f at Fontwell last November, he has always looked like he could
    win a marathon, and hasn’t run a bad race since. He won well over 3m2f at Wincanton in
    January, and followed that up in February when he looked to have the race sewn up when
    falling 3 out.

    Still plenty of 20s about, or an extra 5th place with Skybet at 18/1. That will do for me.

    Well done Bobby Bluebell taking 16s for Sizing Coal, he is the biggest worry to me, but at
    5/1, like the other Bobby, I feel I’ve missed the boat there. If he drifts before the race
    I’d have a few quid on him to cover my bet.

    I got up this morning had a look at the card and Golden Chieftan looked massive at 20s, come on here read this thread and seen your post saying skybet are paying 5 so had £15 each way with them! Gutted!

    #1239016
    thewexfordman
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1200

    Sizing coal looked an ok each way bet at 16s but whoever was backing it at single figure prices into 5/1 needs their heads examined. It only stayed on past beaten horses in the Irish grand national and a bad Irish grand national at that. To back a horse at single figure prices over 4miles in a big field is madness.

    #1239017
    Avatar photoBigG
    Participant
    • Total Posts 14559

    It’s amazing how you can be flying high one moment and then it gets
    turned on it’s head.

    Dex, I know exactly how you feel, and how Raymo will feel too. I was
    on a very good return, fueled by a good day yesterday. I took the 18/1
    5 places with Sky and then a bit before the off I had a good bit in my
    Paddy Power account so I hit him again at 16/1. I should be used to it
    by now, that’s racing for you, but you sit with that feeling of utter
    disbelief for a few minutes :unsure:

    Anyway, I’m over it now, it’s just a loser so onwards and upwards, or
    I’m trying to tell myself that anyway :cry:

    #1239037
    Avatar photoraymo61
    Participant
    • Total Posts 6938

    Have been out all day cos it is Mrsraymo’s birthday and just got back and watched the racing.

    ABSOLUTELY GUTTED!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! :cry: :cry: :cry:

    I have had five bets today in three races ….

    The three in this which you know about and Might Bite at Kempton and then Golden Cheiftain Might Bite and Harry Parri Morgan in each way doubles and trebles!!

    Sob story I know but that fall has cost me bigtime!! 7/1 winner 10/1 winner and FALLER!!!

    :cry: :cry: :cry: :cry: :cry:

    #1239052
    Avatar photopeter .h
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1889

    I was jumping along with him turning for home. The 20’s i got in the morning was looking very generous indeed!

    Cue Card then this. I was rather upset to say the least. Can’t imagine how the trainer must have felt! A torrid 24 hours indeed…

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