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Reply To: Looking for Value

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#1775718
Avatar photobladeblaster
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  • Total Posts 1762

I have had a look at this with slightly different eyes this week, and instead of concentrating purely on value, lookin at value alongside predicted likely hood.

The stand outs for me this week are as follows:-

Salford being the most likely win of the week, and the price at 1.5 is only 7% below expected value, which is not bad.

The second most likely would be Accrington to win at home and the price at 1.95 is 6% above the expected value.

I am then looking at Crawley Away, Crawley are much better away from home so far this season and the price of 6.5 is crazy, even the draw at 4.75 is remarkable value for a draw, which are normally massively under priced.

I am going to go with the following:-

3pts Salford Win
2pts Accrington Win
1pt Crawley win

Salford win
Accrington win
Crawley win or draw

1pt treble

-14.35