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Reply To: Irish Gold Cup 2026

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#1753384
LD73
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I have always felt that Haiti would need truly attritional ground (a la a Master Oats year) to win a Gold Cup, as Welsh and Irish Nationals are run at a very different pace and styles to a Gold Cup.

Newbury could have been an acid test for him over a flat 3m but given the field (assuming they all stand their ground) it could actual turn rather more tactical as LHP seemed to take more interest in what was going on around him rather than front running, so likely to be dropped in and being the quickest in the field, Jango will be held up to use that speed to his advantage. Master Chewy and Riskintheground tend to be held up also, so that leaves just Leave of Absence (who races prominently) as the only one likely to take on Haiti (who will likely have to give weight to him) at the front end.

As we know the easiest way to get a proper stayer beat when they drop back in trip is to set a too faster pace early on in the hope of making it more of a stamina test but instead you end up taking the horse out of their comfort zone. Bowen will need to get the pace just right and hope LOA doesn’t press him for the lead and force him to go quicker than he wants, which could set it up for those sitting off the pace.

Not entirely sure it going to make the Gold Cup picture any clearer but it very well could be an interesting race to watch regardless.