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Having a pretty torid time at the moment, but these runs do happen.
Archie Boy (IRE) — 7.35 — Newton Abbot — 5/4
Finished 1st. BSP = 1.98
Maria Antonia (IRE) — 9.10 — Newton Abbot — 9/2
Finished 1st. BSP = 2.67
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BSP = -8.24
ISP = -5.79
======Tuesday 23rd July
Archie Boy (IRE) — 7.35 — Newton Abbot — 5/4
Maria Antonia (IRE) — 9.10 — Newton Abbot — 9/2
Peak District (IRE) — 3.15 — Lingfield — 11/4
Finished 1st – BF SP = 3.83
Aureate — 2.30 — Wolverhampton — 13/8
Finished 1st – BF SP = 1.7
Global Village (IRE) — 4.30 — Wolverhampton — 3/1
Finished 3rd
Voortrekker — 5.00 — Wolverhampton — 13/8
Finished 1st – BF SP = 2.56
======
BSP = -4.51
ISP = -2.25
======Monday 22nd June
Peak District (IRE) — 3.15 — Lingfield — 11/4
Aureate — 2.30 — Wolverhampton — 13/8
Global Village (IRE) — 4.30 — Wolverhampton — 3/1
Voortrekker — 5.00 — Wolverhampton — 13/8
Shiwawa — 2.20 — Hexham — 8/11
Finished 1st – BF SP = 1.78
Dead Or Alive (IRE) — 4.50 — Hexham — 11/10
Finished 2nd
Please note I’ve added BSP (BetFair Starting Price) and ISP (Industry Starting Price) for comparison purposes.
=========
PL (BSP) = -1.39
PL (ISP) = -0.34
=========Sunday 21st June 2009
Shiwawa — 2.20 — Hexham — 8/11
Dead Or Alive (IRE) — 4.50 — Hexham — 11/10
Nostringsattached (IRE) — 8.50 — Fffos Las — 7/2
Finished 1st – BF SP = 4.05
======
PL = -1.82
======Falcon Rock (IRE) — 6.10 — Kempton — 100/30
Finished 2nd.
Silver Symphony (IRE) — 7.40 — Kempton — 11/10
Finished 1st – BF SP = 1.67
Please note when winners do occur I will use the BetFair Starting Price as the official odds to calculate PL. These odds are said to be 15% higher than highstreet bookies so I believe this is a fair figure to use.
======
PL = +1.23
======Wednesday 17th June
Falcon Rock (IRE) — 6.10 — Kempton — 100/30
Silver Symphony (IRE) — 7.40 — Kempton — 11/10
I have played about with different staking plans regarding bank and also looking into different staking plans according to the odds, but nothing seems to work as well as level staking.
Just to give you an idea, if you put 50 points on every race for the last 1000 races the lowest your bank would have fallen to is around 570. However, I will be laying 1 point for each race just to keep the figures nice and rounded.
Thanks Seagull.
Is it a necessity that I have to post how to come about the selections? Just I don’t want the bottom to fall out the system, and I’m sure a profitable system without understanding how is better than a non-profitable one with understanding.
The system without going into too much detail looks at horses which are favorites, or 2nd favorites but whose price appears to be way too short. It’s that margin where the profit comes. I have a pretty tight system which fairly accurately works out the true odd and then matches it against the SP odd. Any difference and I lay…
