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The home of intelligent horse racing discussion

LoneWolf

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  • in reply to: Aus racing hit by Group 1 inside info allegations #437989
    Avatar photoLoneWolf
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    Apologies for the name choice. :oops:

    Can admin change my user to ‘Deers’ instead?

    in reply to: Aus racing hit by Group 1 inside info allegations #437957
    Avatar photoLoneWolf
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    Allan Robinson, of all people …

    Nothing to see here, folks.

    in reply to: Conversion formula – ratings to odds #437934
    Avatar photoLoneWolf
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    Forgive me as I flunked mathematics at school but I will try to visualise.

    Here’s an example of a race I did from Sha Tin last Sunday:

    #1 (Predicted Rating: 92.1 – Weight Carried: 127 lbs)
    #2 (Predicted Rating: 94.8 – Weight Carried: 129 lbs)
    #3 (Predicted Rating: 96.0 – Weight Carried: 132 lbs)
    #4 (Predicted Rating: 98.1 – Weight Carried: 125 lbs)
    #5 (Predicted Rating: 91.8 – Weight Carried: 132 lbs)
    #6 (Predicted Rating: 93.7 – Weight Carried: 131 lbs)
    #7 (Predicted Rating: 95.4 – Weight Carried: 130 lbs)
    #8 (Predicted Rating: 97.2 – Weight Carried: 129 lbs)
    #9 (Predicted Rating: 94.1 – Weight Carried: 128 lbs)
    #10 (Predicted Rating: 94.8 – Weight Carried: 127 lbs)
    #11 (Predicted Rating: 94.9 – Weight Carried: 122 lbs)
    #12 (Predicted Rating: 94.9 – Weight Carried: 119 lbs)
    #13 (Predicted Rating: 94.4 – Weight Carried: 117 lbs)
    #14 (Predicted Rating: 94.2 – Weight Carried: 113 lbs)

    One point being equal to one length.

    And that is all. I don’t require "back at X" or "lay at X" guidelines, merely the recommended price based on these two factors.

    I understand that parameters are also used to alter aggression (?) but I am really looking for a rather simple system as a starting point.

    Nathan, I am not who you are speaking of. In actual fact I did go by a moniker ‘Deers’ or something to that effect but I cannot for the life of me find the details. If this username is too similar to another regular on here I can adjust my username if need be.

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