[jwildman]

Hi all, sporadically popped back once again. Yes,

Attaglance

missing from the Centenary is a big puzzle, TAPK – I was just about to back him this morning but the markets closed on me, so I got lucky there! Any explanation from the yard?

Also Jefferson-related: I’m in the

Cape Tribulation

fan club. Got him at 33’s right after his Jan win. He keeps stepping up his game, so I’m keeping the faith.

Gevrey Chambertin

for Friday’s Conditionals race is my tip of the meeting. I think 5-1 is huge considering the way he waltzed home at Wincanton, Beautiful horse (I hope he runs).

Despite not having the greatest win % going into the festival,

Kazlian

and

Edmund Kean

are evidence that the Pipe yard are in great shape. I’m tempted by

Ballynagour

for the Byrne – Pipe says he’s going to be hard to beat – but 9/2 seems a tad short? Maybe he was flattered LTO.

Thinking about

Arthur’s Pass

for the Centenary now as a substitute for Atta. Unexposed, and a bit of an unknown quantity. Really good value at 14-1 considering his rate of progress thus far. Brennan prefers him over

Forgotten Gold

, which has to be a +. (EDIT: Mounts have been revised. The opposite is now true – that’s enough to sway me against him!)

On

Nadiya de la Vega

for the JLT at 25-1 earlier today, prior to McCoy being confirmed, and I love the gutsy, courageous horse that is

Fruity O’Rooney

, so I nabbed him at 10-1 too.

[jwildman]

‘Biographer’ is no slouch either and he’ll be placed for sure but he just lacks the prescence of the Cheveley Park colt who has plenty resolution,size and a will to win! Good post ‘wildman’ and good luck for tomorrow!

Thanks, King. Always nice to get some feedback from you. Good luck in return for tomorrow, although i doubt you’ll need it!

As it so happens i’m on

Biographer

, so we’ll see how those two stack up come the off. I’ve also had a nibble at

Sir Graham Wade

, who

Gospel Choir

beat by – you guessed it – 2 and a half lengths LTO, as i’m sure you’re aware. I think the Haydock race came too soon for the Johnson horse; it’s possible that he has more class than he was able to show that day.

[jwildman]

A bit late to the party here, but i swear, as soon as i caught wind that

Tax Free

had deservedly gotten his head in front after a succession of near-misses, the first thing that came to mind was TAPK! As ever, loyalty pays off. In other news…

Newfangled

‘s pelvis injury – and my concern over the filly’s well-being – has rightly whittled away my 1000 Guineas ante-post into absolute insignificance. I can only hope she gets through this "dangerous time" to make a full recovery.

Ebor time! Ah, the beauty of internet anonymity… one can ramble on about Saturday picks without fear of embarrassment, even if every one of my horses decides to have a day off, and chooses to canter along like a show pony.

I have two for the Ebor –

Hammerfest

and

Sense of Purpose

. I’m largely counting on the low-pressure system currently moving NE dumping a decent amount of rain on York overnight and during the morning, as

Hammerfest

should thrive in more testing conditions. If i see ‘soft’ somewhere in the going description i’ll be happy. He’s got to reverse Duke of Edinburgh form with

Camborne

, but a 6lb swing in the weights should aid his cause.

Sense of Purpose

looks like he’s been targeting this race, and Weld, the festival in general. The trainer has evidently planned his Ebor ‘invasion’ well, as both

Olympiad

and

Pale Mimosa

won their respective races. Smullen doesn’t ride, but Roche takes 5lbs off

Sense of Purpose

‘s back. Additionally, the raider beat

Mount Athos

by 3 and a half lengths at Leopardstown in August of last year. After two prep-runs in Ireland, he should be sweet as a nut for the Ebor, although he may want the ground a bit firmer than

Hammerfest

would. 25’s were available earlier, but 20’s are still good value.

I’m a bit worried about

Icon Dream

as the Goldie yard has hit a bit of form lately. He was only beaten a length by

Il De Re

on his reappearance, which was his first start

for

the yard, no less. Could be a spanner in the works, although with a 5.8 win %, he may end up finding one too good again – especially in a race as hot as the Ebor.

I would probably have blindly said

Hurricane Higgins

if the Johnson yard were still on the hot streak they were around Goodwood-time

[jwildman]

Interesting observation ‘Wildman’ each to their own and Good Luck for Saturday.

No need for quotation marks, King – believe it or not that’s actually my surname. Thank you for the well wishes. If my recent streak is anything to go by, it’ll be a one horse race! Got to keep the faith…

[jwildman]

Just a small word,

I quite like

Always Right

for the National, as John Wade’s horses are hitting form again at just the right time after a bleak winter (when the yard last hit a purple patch in late Nov-early Dec,

Always Right

was accompanying the likes of

Eyre Square

and

Arrow Barrow

in the winner’s enclosure).

Always Right

placed in the Welsh National this time last year on soft ground, and came back after a summer break to win at Kelso in December (albeit over markedly shorter – 2m7f). He ran two extremely disappointing races at Wetherby and Haydock after being raised 8lbs for his Kelso win (the latter, the Grand National Trial won by Giles Cross), but something was most definitely ‘up’, and a soft palate operation should have corrected the problem.

Always Right

was traveling well before grinding to a halt on both occasions, runs well fresh, can handle the easing ground, and I think he’s a fair bet at 28-1.

[jwildman]

Allo, King! Yes, yes… i did follow you off a cliff – banged my head off a few rocks when i got to the bottom for a few days. Good memory you have there, hoped that little palaver had been forgotten. Can’t say i’m anywhere near as naive or careless now i’ve seen how sour things can go.

But hey, swings and roundabouts – it was a right of passage, and i’ve been sailing along since i fired up again at the start of the year. If i wasn’t betting tuppence i’d be even happier, but tuppence it shall remain for now. I’m playing the long game after all!

I have a laugh at Seagull’s tips every few days – guy’s practically as bad as i was last year! I guess he was better ‘back in the day’ or something…

[jwildman]

Loyalty does indeed pay off…

Cape Tribulation

made my Cheltenham – despite an unsatisfactory Friday. In my defense, i didn’t believe

Attaglance

could handle an extra 9lbs, let alone ground that wasn’t particularly kind to mudlarks (although in hindsight i should’ve taken

Reindeer Dippin

‘s strong run behind

CT

as a sign). Should loyalty be blind? Somehow i don’t believe so.

Nice to see you had a good week, Kingfisher – thought i’d pop back for a quick cuppa.

[jwildman]

Man, what a roller-coaster of a day.

Somehow

i made a decent profit out of that, what with backing

Nocturnal Affair

and, low and behold, a thoroughly satisfying win for

Masked Marvel

. Shame about

Cry Fury

making my cambridgeshire ante-post basically redundant, but hey, that’s racing! A bittersweet aftermath to the St Leger no doubt, as this particular village horseshoe pub was rather fond of a certain geegee that will go unnamed Wound-licking time! But then again,

Blue Bunting

failed as miserably as i thought she might do, so that’s some consolation.

[jwildman]

despite "only" 4 places on offer.

First 5 on William Hill i believe, 1/4 odds. Early morning odds show

Sea Moon

on the drift practically everywhere. Doncaster ground has now been classified as good to firm – must be why, no? If, post-race, it transpires that the favourite really

is

a neighing juggernaut, 2-1 is going to look like a stunning deal. Although i’m not one for dutching, I popped a few points on

Masked Marvel

and

Census

last night, in addition to my old

Seville

bet, and that’s primarily because i think one of them has to fill the podium if

Blue Bunting

and

Sea Moon

perform to the standard that’s expected of them – plus at 6’s and 8’s for strong-chance places it added up. Thought i’d see what it’s like on Ginger’s side of the fence Why am i so reluctant to put any money down on a dual classic winner when everybody suddenly has

Blue Bunting

fever? The ground’s going in her favour, but uh-oh, is that a rain cloud on the horizon?

Also King, re: staying loyal. Had

Top Cop

and

Reply

running on Thursday. 20-1 winner, yes? Nope, picked the wrong one. Haha. Can’t win them all!

My favourite geegee as of right now,

Cry Fury

, runs today. If Cry runs a big race, the 12-1 i got on him for the Cambridgeshire is going to disappear quicker than the sentimental point i put on

Tax Free

for the Portland.

[jwildman]

Just had a 16-1 winner in the form of

Humidor

. How satisfying. Shame my bet was only £2.50 each-way, but you know what they say about responsible gambling and level stakes

I’m in the ‘king’ of ante-post threads, so re: cambridgeshire heritage handicap. For all that’s been said about

Dare to Dance

, i have a soft spot for

Cry Fury

– and at 12/1 i couldn’t resist snaffling up an equally-small each-way bet. Although he had a small field to beat at Goodwood, it was an exceptionally classy performance that did the business. I backed him that day and am remaining loyal to my geegee. So, in grand faux-Kingfisher style.

Ahem…

Cry Fury

£2.50 e/w 12-1 Stan James, Cambridgeshire Heritage Handicap.

Haha, that was entertaining! Anyway, to grow up again; King you’re giving me the heebie-jeebies with all this talk of

Seville

‘s genuine claims for the St Leger, even though i have classified him as a ‘perennial underachiever’ despite my large a-p. He’s the dark horse for the race, no doubt about it, judging by the way

Census

and

Blue Bunting

are trading at half his price. Weather forecasts are inconclusive at the moment; rain for tomorrow is apparently on the cards – a few millimeters are expected – and if that does fall, hopefully it’ll soften up the ground just a tad. I’m going to be looking very closely at all of tomorrow’s festival results to get a truer gauge of the going.

[jwildman]

RE: Sprint Cup

The remains of Hurricane Irene are forecasted to move over the upper-half of the UK on Friday/Saturday, and it’s touch and go whether Haydock will be in its path. If the low pressure system, what remains of the storm, does dip as low as the Liverpool area (which is a possibility, considering rainfall is expected in Northern Ireland), we’re taking serious rainfall in a short space of time. If i was going to go ante-post on the BSC i’d keep an eye on the forecast, and consider backing

Dream Ahead

or not on that basis.

[jwildman]

Wow, look at that… TAPK himself! Oh, and Hayley Turner.

[jwildman]

I called

Green Destiny

prior to the off but didn’t put any money down. Win. My mother, of all people, picked

Margot Did

because she would "bet on anything Haley was riding," no bet made. Win. I went with

Rugged Cross

for the 4.15, no bet made. Win.

Forget about the money, it’s just satisfying knowing you’re making the right calls. 5s, 18s and 20s though, eep! Any similar stories of holding off on big odds only to see your pick go past the post in front? You guys are full of great stories.

[jwildman]

Hi all,

Just thought i’d pop my head in the door.

I took a month off, didn’t touch a single nag, and returned with Zarkava’s posts ringing in my ears – so i’ve been shrewd and looked out for 2-3yo newcomer-improvers… and after two wins and a place on

Cry Fury

,

Sunday Times

and

Fruehling

respectively at Goodwood in one day, i realised that i had found something i’m good at, and i’m sticking to it. After another break, I’ve been dipping in and out of the cards – i felt Sea Moon would win the Voltigeur but i kept off – and this eventually culminated in me taking the plunge and coming back up with a win for

Best Terms

at York yesterday. I got him the night before at 7s but he went off at 12s in places. I thought i’d post as i feel i must repay this board’s users for all the advice i got at the start of July – thank you all. I’m lurking!

I still have a massive bet outstanding on

Seville

for the St. Leger, but the last ghost from my, ahem, ‘glory days’ of betting big isn’t looking too great after Sea Moon’s last run. I haven’t seen that winning instinct from him as a 3yo and it has me worried. He’s there or thereabouts but is beginning to look like a perennial underachiever, and it seems the faith is starting to wane in some camps.

Nothing sticks out for me tomorrow – no bets. I was looking at the Gimcrack too but it’s too tight to call.

Reply

may have a chance but O’Brien runners haven’t been looking too good this week, so i’d have to say

Burwaaz

.

[jwildman]

Amazing. I have never seen an episode of Dallas, but still,

amazing

. Oh and sorry to dampen your morning with my post, Jonibake – i’ve got what i wanted to say out so i’ll hush now, and doing in so i’ll have to regrettably forfeit my typecast effeminate role, but yes, homeward bound i most probably am. No bets since Saturday, so these GA sessions must be helping soothe my aching soul. I mean, i went shopping this week and got seven meals for £8, so i’m satisfied that if anything, at least i’m not going to starve.

[jwildman]

Thank you, Yorkie. My chin is up, but it’s going to take a very hard uppercut this weekend which will KO me for sure if i don’t see any kind of return come sunday evening. It sounds horrendous what happened to you, commiserations for all that occurred back in your student days! From the 5th to the 21st of June, after scanning my bank balance, i had incurred losses totaling about £500. I felt uneasy then, but if only i knew then what i know now i would have stopped betting constantly. For some reason, just like Yorkie upped the ante, i lost control, and my outgoings shot up into the thousands – so now i’m doing all that i can to stay in London before having to retreat home. Fingers crossed, as i may be handing in my two-week notice the same day if my ante-posts goes out the window!

Some people bet their houses on horses, and unexpectedly it has transpired that i have my short-term student life hanging on them – a situation i never wanted to find myself in, ever. I can’t believe i let this happen; i became desensitized, and my logic simply didn’t kick in. Something badly wrong went down and now i must pay for it! It’s typical that a bunch of stuff revolving around me needing to keep this room over the summer has surfaced right as i burn out my bank balance, but oh well. I’ve checked out that blog, and will make an effort to follow it – thank you, Yorkie, and no, your words didn’t sound sermon-like, they were greatly appreciated. This is probably the hardest lesson i’ve learnt in a very many years, nothing has hit me so badly financially before. I have always thought of myself as a logical person, i just don’t think i could admit to myself that i was vulnerable to gambling once this began.

Also, as it turns out i have a free £25 bet over at Stan James – it may be my last bet – where i ask should it perhaps go? I was thinking

Memory

at Newmarket, but they don’t have the Falmouth listed, so i’m open to any suggestions, preferably to be settled before sunday . Maybe a win on

Delegator

.

[jwildman]

Its obvious from the timings you have been burning the midnight oil Wildman,i sense a will to win in the above work,Excellent stuff.Humidor might just find it tough getting in the race never mind about winning it,he’s a bet for the 5 day decs stage when you know if he does have a chance getting in,if he’s balloted out you will still get your Ante-Post money back though.Boylesports are twice the price of most at 33/1 if you have an account,thats a big price for a horse with good course form!

I’ll bear that declaration stage in mind, thanks KF. I can’t afford to bet on the cup at this stage, but if i can grab a decent winner to make it beyond the next fortnight, i’ll be targeting that race.

Good morning, Boylesports! Nice of you to be keeping tabs on this thread.

Also,

Humidor

dropping to 20s is remarkable, how did that happen? I get the impression i sound like a broken record asking that, as you don’t seem surprised, Zarkava.

[Author]

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