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I am very keen on Galileo’s Choice, for me he will go close and I have a very nice price about him but its win only, so all or nothing, so will cover the bet on the day.
I think you are probably spot on, Gigginstown normally run them against each other at home to find the pecking order then for the festivals it is usually the number one choice, only the Supreme last season had more than one Gigginstown owned in the race, but as they have so many staying novice chase options and First Lieutenant already confirmed, it probably will be Last Instalment also and SDC to the Jewsons, but that could change on the back of the Moriarty Chase.
I would not dismiss Sir Des Champs on the back of his latest run, he needed evey yard of the trip when he won at Cheltenham and a step up in trip is needed, hopefully the Moriarty is next on the agenda, also bear in mind a number of WM’s fancied runners did not see out their races over the xmas period. Very open race though if Grands Crus goes for the Gold Cup.
It will be interesting to see where Willie Mullins places Make Your Mark and Boston Bob, I would take a guess Boston Bob for the Albert Bartlett being the older of the two and out of Bob Back should relish the trip, and with Gigginstown not having too many obvious contenders for the Neptune i assume Make Your Mark will head down that route.
Also waiting to see what Weld does with Waaheb, he has already stated Galileo’s Choice is Supreme bound so could Waaheb enter the Neptune picture?
I am a Zaynar fan, i think he is the one that will line up with the most question marks, is he too slow or is he a lazy bugger with a tank full of petrol? The answer which I am guessing is the latter, will be in the jockey booking, if Geraghty opts for Zaynar I would be very happy, recent comments compared to his earlier comments suggest to me he will opt for the 5yr old.
Its well worth watching the 2009 bumper again on Cheltenham TV and when you do you may understand the reason why connections of Rite Of Passage are looking at the Neptune, it was very close to the wow factor the way Dunguib rolled up alongside Rite Of Passage at the top of the home straight and from there on in it was wow!!
Nice research Shabby, I believe the perfect 2mile horse round Cheltenahm is one who’s optimum trip is 2m 2f, Forpadydeplasterer had the perfect profile, jumped like a stag and was turned over at 2m 4f whilst always in the mix.
Think we’d better snap up the 5s right now about Big Zeb winning before MM’s results come back.
Master Minded has drifted out to 3/1! Now we all know if Master minded turns up at Cheltenham in the same form he has done for the last 2 years,he wins!Trouble is if there is a problem,he will drift again.particularly if there is a clock to beat!Too risky for my liking,i am snaffling all the prices i can get on Forpadydeplasterer he is down to 10/1 now!
Mind you i still think the Ryanair is his race,now that Imperial will go for Gold!TAPK why do you think the Ryanair for FPDP? Two wins and six seconds in his last eight races neither of those wins at beyond 2miles, big lazy so and so who idles when in front but ideal for 2miles round Cheltenham imo.
Another Zaynar fan the BIG issue I have is the pace of this race, there is no Osana and I am struggling to find one to set the race up for Zaynar & co which is a must imo, I doubt DP will be kind enough to enter Ashkazar? ,Celestial Halo may have to force it but I would be happier if NH ran a pace setter – has that been done before?
I’d like to ask all those that think Starluck is a good bet, what happened at Aintree?
Ground possibly?
I know he’s a bit to find on official ratings, but I see the horse as an improver who has trained on from last year. Judging by recent results the yards horses are in good nick too.
If either of the front two in the market don’t run up to their best (which is more than a possibility) then I think Starluck will be there waiting to pounce and take advantage.
I’m doing a Binocular/Starluck r/f/c…
Starluck was not the only Cheltenham novice to under perform at Aintree – Red Moloney, Pride of Dulcote, Weapons Amnesty etc, the Triumph was a hot race so I can find excuses for him, I would expect Binocular to win and probably because he has the most to lose, but I think Starluck looks a stronger animal but one that needs a canny jockey, this race is fascinating in regards to the Champion V Triumph form.
Personally i am not one of the anti-five day festival brigade, though i would have some reservations, the World Hurdle is struggling to wet the appetite as the star attraction for the Thursday as it is, and i guess if you had to miss one day of the festival you would probably nominate this day.
Having said that racing needs to appeal to the masses and should be marketed that way, the Kauto v Denman showdown should be on billboards across the country imo, if five days simply wont work then you could move the festival forward e.g. Wednesday – Saturday or Thursday – Sunday? (I can see the traditionalists choking on their cornflakes
.The biggest problem with adding another day though is what do you add?
Pretty much all the bases are covered, plus it would add to the trainer dithering ‘what race to run in’ which has made the whole ante-post market an even bigger minefield already.
I am sure you have all by now run this race over in your heads a million times by now, and i presume we would agree that Denman will (unlike last year) ensure that KS stamina is tested to the full by kicking on around half way!
IF the above tactic works and Denman beats Kauto i have convinced myself KS does not finish the race, if KS chink is exposed as stamina i can see mistake at one of the last two fences or even KS being pulled up.
Therefore a bet on KS not being placed would be?
Brave or stupid or both?
Hi all (first time posting)
Ladbrokes World Hurdle and Special Envoy, have taken 25/1 (20’s now best i think) – finished just 4L behind ID and well clear of third, on that evidence is open to improvement, ran in a tactically inept race behind Lough Derg NTO but i think that should be forgotten, too big a price imo and one i think will shorten considerably as the race draws closer, however i am taking on trust the Bowen yard has/will recover from the coughing outbreak.
Also throw up Serabad same stable in the Triumph at 25/1, beaten both times hands down by the jolly but a place is definitly within this ones scope and a good run on Saturday will see this one a lot shorter on Sunday!
