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I have to laugh the way some have written off MM as a non-stayer because ‘he’s too fast’.
Seriously?
The only reason Master Minded doesn’t stay Kempton 3m in good ground is if he doesn’t settle and doesn’t get into his rhythm.
I still remember Desert Orchid going off at 16/1 for his first win, because of people thinking just that way.
The way he won the Melling Chase at Aintree suggests that he’s every bit as good as he was in 2008.
In fact his record suggests he no longer has the pace for 2miles and that the step up to 3m is only natural as it was in Dessie’s case.
If you take out his 2nd in the Melling in 2008 where he bounced 3 weeks after a career best performance, 3rd to Well Chief (Fractured Rib), and his season bow this season where he clearly wasn’t fit, the only races he’s been beaten in are 2 Champikn chases on good going, where it was all a little bit too fast for him.
IF he is at his best tomorrow, then his best is all but level with Long Run and 3 to 4l better than Kauto Star has actually shown for 2 years despite his Betfair win.
When you take into account the doubts about the others:
Long Run will he really come on in fitness 8 lengths on the Betfair Running? Will he miss out a fence or otherwise make a bad mistake that ruins his chances?
Kauto Star. Will he Bounce after his Betfair Chase? Is he properly fit for this or is he now overtrained, will he burst a blood vessel again? Even if not he requires that neither Long Run or Master Minded run to their best, or that he surpasses his Betfair form if he’s going to win tomorrow.
Capatain Chris is the unknown in this race, but Hobbs doesn’t get many horses at the top of the Pyramid and I would be loath to back him finding a stone to put him ahead of the other three.
