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I looked at that Haydock race from a new angle. There are some pundits/tipsters that are overperforming and some underperforming. Overperformers I will lay as they are due a downturn. Underperformers I will back as they are due an upswing.With this in mind I will back Beacon Lodge e/w and lay Main Aim.
Not doing too great but plugging away.
Win 3.10
Lusaka De Pembo 9/1
Wizard Of Edge 10/1I’m going to stick with Chases only.
Cat 3.10
Hill Forts Henry 8/1Plum 3.10
Spiritual Society 9/1
Guerilla 8/1 3rd 6/1BBC NEWS | England | London | Sperm donor to pay child support
A man who donated sperm to a lesbian couple is being made to pay maintenance by the Child Support Agency (CSA).
Andy Bathie, 37, from Enfield, north London, claims he was assured by the couple he would have no personal or financial involvement for the children.
He donated his sperm as a friend rather than go through a fertility clinic.
The CSA said only anonymous donors at licensed centres are exempt from being treated as the legal father of a child born as a result of their donation.
Mr Bathie, a firefighter, said he cannot afford to have children with his own wife due to the financial implications.
Shock, anger and despair
The lesbian couple, who approached the couple five years ago after they married in a civil ceremony, have a boy and a girl.
Mr Bathie said he reacted with "shock, anger and despair", when he was contacted by the CSA in November.
He said: "I don’t have any particular ill will. It’s the fact that I still even now don’t see why I should have to pay for another couple’s children." A spokesman for Human Fertilisation and Embryology Authority (HFEA) said: "The law says that men donating sperm through licensed fertility clinics are not the legal father of any child born through that donation.Hopeless yesterday and in a rush today.
Her 1.10 Chase
Roussea 10/1
Musical Gift 14/1 2nd 14/1Her 3.10 Chase
Bill Owen 9/1
Major Euro 10/1I’m experimenting with this one. http://www.valuechecker.co.uk/bet/stakes.php
I’ve modified it somewhat. I type in 100 bank. Percentage chance of winning for me is the LOWEST odds on offer. Best odds for me would be BOG on Oddschecker but I actually get better on b/f. My stake would be 50% of suggested stake. Adjust according to ACTUAL bank.I made a couple of minor ammendments to the above post. Here are today’s efforts. Marks are in ( )
Don 2.30 Hurdles
Heavenly Chorus (9) 9/1 3rd 11/2
Elaala (13) 11/2
Freedom Flyer (13) 9/1Nbury 2.40 Chase
Preacher Boy (7) 13/2
Cousin Nicky (11) 7/1Leic 3.25 Hurdles
Miss Pross (9) 15/2 2nd 9/2I forgot to mention that the h/cap chase selections posted produced a BOG profit of 34.5 to 1 point level stakes.
This series has produced a loss of 15.5, so you’ll be pleased to know I’m stopping in as of now. The reason for the loss?
Hurdles 1 winner @ 13/2 from 20 races that were min 5/1 BOG.
A/W 1 winner @ 6/1 from 14 races that were min 5/1 BOG.
Chases 5 winners @ various good prices from 21 races that were min 5/1 BOG.
I’ll start again on Saturday (h/c chases only) and do it for the whole of December. I anticipate in the region of 40 plus qualifiers.
TTFN."On to today.
Lud 1.20 Cassia Heights @ 10/1 B365 – SJ 2nd 11/1
Lud 2.20 Marked Man @ 5/1 Boyle 2nd 4/1
Lud 3.20 Caislean Na Deirge @ 10/1 B365
3 staked."This BOG roll is not doing too good so far. On to today though.
Wolv 12.50 Kirstys Lad @ 11/2 SJ
Wolv 2.00 Blackheath @ 12/1 B365 – SJ
Sedge 2.10 Stormy Beach @ 7/1 SJ
Sedge 2.45 Blast The Past @ 11/2 SJ
Wolv 4.10 Mr Excel @ 9/1 B365 – Boyle – SJ
Wolv 4.40 Dasheena @ 14/1 B365 – Boyle – SJ
6 staked.You know the old saying "can’t see the wood for the trees:" ?
You guys must be losing a fair bit of foliage just now.
A poor day yesterday.
Tow 1.15 Gumley Gale @ 10/1 B365
Ain 1.40 Mighty Mouse @ 7/1 all
Tow 1.50 Ruling Reef @ 12/1 B365
Ain 2.50 I Hear Thunder @ 16/1 Boyle
Plum 3.15 Big John Macarty @ 10/1 B365 – Boyle 2nd 8/1
Plum 3.45 Inmate @ 9/1 BF
6 staked.On to today.
Lud 1.20 Cassia Heights @ 10/1 B365 – SJ
Lud 2.20 Marked Man @ 5/1 Boyle
Lud 3.20 Caislean Na Deirge @ 10/1 B365
3 staked.I’ll have to do without BOG as it’s too early for most races to be priced up.
Asc 12 45 Hill Forts Timmy
Hay 1.05 Pouvoir 2nd 4/1
Asc 1.20 Royal Shakespeare
Hay 1.35 Old Benny
Ling 2.10 Lawyers Choice 2nd 5/1
Asc 2.20 Hoo La Baloo 1st 7/1[/color:7szyugiq]
Hay 2.35 Lothian Falcon 3rd 5/1
Hunt 3.00 Diarius
Hay 3.10 Brave Villa
Ling 3.50 King’s Caprice10 staked.
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I think the 7/1 winner would have been better BOG as I had 10.5 on b/f. On to today.Tow 1.15 Gumley Gale @ 10/1 B365
Ain 1.40 Mighty Mouse @ 7/1 all
Tow 1.50 Ruling Reef @ 12/1 B365
Ain 2.50 I Hear Thunder @ 16/1 Boyle
Plum 3.15 Big John Macarty @ 10/1 B365 – Boyle
Plum 3.45 Inmate @ 9/1 BF
6 staked.Rejected Tow 12.10 Flinders Bay (7/2) may do a place. (matched @ 1.97)
A qualifier up against a hot-pot Ain 3.25 Action Strasse (6/1) so I may just do a place. (matched @ 2.6)I may have been a bit harsh Atemis/dave jay. I blame it on a Columbard/Chardonay blend.
Yeah, we’re all trying to do the same things and with maybe the same tools but with a different approach. In my own case it’s constantly referring to data obtained, recorded and examined from an oblique angle. Any unearthed nuggets are applied to methods then monitored for success or failure.
Fenwicks eh? Northumberlant Street? You’d get a few oblique looks bearing your *ass in those windows. Or would that be bleak looks?I’ll have to do without BOG as it’s too early for most races to be priced up.
Asc 12 45 Hill Forts Timmy
Hay 1.05 Pouvoir
Asc 1.20 Royal Shakespeare
Hay 1.35 Old Benny
Ling 2.10 Lawyers Choice
Asc 2.20 Hoo La Baloo
Hay 2.35 Lothian Falcon
Hunt 3.00 Diarius
Hay 3.10 Brave Villa
Ling 3.50 King’s Caprice10 staked.
