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Really helpful thanks,
I have the following for the flat….Not sure if they are correct.
Group 1 – 150
Group 2 – 140
Group 3 – 130
Listed – 120
Class 2 – 110
Class 3 – 100
Class 4 – 90
Class 5 – 80
Class 6 – 70
Where possible I will take the average of the 3 fastest times as starting point when assessing the going allowance for any meeting, and this will include maidens etc.
Some days this will not be possible, especially when you end up with 2 going allowances, like I had for
Newbury
yesterday.
Looking at the speed figures for
Newbury
yesterday, it was obvious to me that the chase course was riding about
+0.20s/f
faster that the hurdles course, so 3 of the four chases would have ended up in the equation, you then have to work out how much the hurdles course was slowing up the hurdlers.
I still have to fine tune the going allowances for the past week, due to the security problem at the
Racing Post
, but you can download and view my figures here http://tinyurl.com/lad34ps
In column "H" you will see the going allowance, and if you unhide column "N" you will see the raw ratings prior to being adjusted to 9-0 for the flat and 11-0 for the jumps.
In the notepad file you will find my going allowance tables which I work to.
Looking at your allowances for the 27th, I got a similar number at Kempton but very different for Lingfield.
I can totally understand your points on the jumps cards, hence why I only focus on the AW. Flat is my game but the AW and Saturday jumps keeps me going.
Haydock has been a joke for years in regards with their going description. Clerks in general are guessers at best and supply nothing useful for the avid speed ratings punter.
Ratings are an art form but science and maths can narrow down the true figure.
The Blues Brother work, is some of the best I have seen.
I’ll take a look at the 3 fastest to see how that works out.
