[BiggerBucks]

Hey everyone – Happy Christmas!

Hope to make my first post a profitable one

I’m sticking a nifty on Long Run tomorrow and hope to secure at least 11/8

Kauto Star, as much as I love the old boy, won’t win and is as definite a lay as you can get @ 4/1. He probably won’t make it home. Even if he runs as well as he did in the Betfair he won’t win. Kempton is far too sharp a course.

Master Minded won’t stay and the market knows it.

Somersby, Golan Way and Nacarat are irrelevant.

Diamond Harry is overrated on his Hennessy win. He beat a Denman in receipt of 26pounds on soft ground. 158 looks around his mark. However, what he does have to his advantage is that he is pretty uncomplicated. He’ll stay the trip and enjoy Kempton. He didn’t have any excuses against Kauto and Co last time out but he will come on for the run. He looks each-way value.

Captain Chris looks interesting. 7/1 is a shade too big I would say. If Dicky Johnson hadn’t unseated on him last time out I would think he would have won by a couple of lengths. On that basis he looks 165+. However, the big doubt is over whether he stays. My opinion? He probably will but Long Run will just have a bit too much for him.

1). Long Run
2). Captain Chris
3). Diamond Harry

Be lucky!

[Author]

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