Forum Replies Created
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rory writes (Dec. 6, 10:26am, page number 7):<br>“Never mind Frankie Dettori ~ I would suggest that the mentalist author (is that the correct term?) rather shows up his ignorance by describing Walter Swinburn as an inexperienced apprentice, some 15 years after "the choirboy" had landed his first Derby on Shergar; fifteen years!!â€ÂÂ
LetsGetRacing writes (Dec. 6, 12:37am, page number 7):<br>“That doesn’t quite fit with Boo Ridley’s assertion that every race is fixed, along with every English Premiership football match (what complete and utter pish – Liverpool really are that poor…â€ÂÂ
Malc Smith writes (Dec.5, 10:09, page number 7):<br>“Alan’s last message says basically, that, oops, the Cartel now knows that he’s cracked the code and they’ve come up with a new code.  So that means then that there won’t be any proofing possible.â€ÂÂ
dave jay writes (Dec. 4, 8:56pm, page 5; see also Dec. 4, 5:06pm, page 5; Dec. 3, 8:44pm, page 4 and Dec. 3, 1:12pm, page 3):
“Alan, I think that if you could post up a working result, as it happens and its proved beyond any statistical doubt that it happens, ther will be a hushed silence on here and your book will be a number one seller.â€ÂÂ
Cavelino Rampante writes (Dec. 5, 1:11pm, page 6):<br>“To call Frankie Dettori an "up and coming jockey" (prolouge P39 of the book) when at that stage in 1996 in the UK alone he had already won races such as the 2000 Guineas, Ascot Gold Cup, Fillies Mile, Golden Jubilee, International Stakes, King George and Queen Elizabeth, Nunthorpe, Oaks, Queen Anne, QEII, St Ledger, Sun Chariot, Sussex Stakes, Yorkshire Oaks, is frankly beyond belief and would already to my mind put the authors creditentials on the line.â€ÂÂ
Artemis (Dec. 3, 5:23pm, page 4),<br>The ‘Wired’ magazine ‘High Tech Trifecta’ (Dec. 3, 3:58pm, page 3) article (March 2002) is an insight into the massively untapped possibilities when number crunching meets racing data. The betting marketplace is now global and HK is an important location. Remember, the British cartel have a 20 year jump start on private computer teams trying to go head-to-head on not nearly the same level of RAW racing data; and certainly no real-time access to moneyflow or stakepoint (not mentioned in the book, reasons why follow soon).
Artemis writes:<br>“They do not have any prior knowledge of what is trying to win and what may not be ‘doing its best’.â€ÂÂ
Malc Smith writes (Dec. 3, 11:44pm, page 5):
“And the bit about the "live market only active for a handful of minutes before the ‘off’" is absurd.  This isn’t a cold wet wintry Tuesday at Wolverhampton where the bookmakers outnumber the sole punter; but this is Royal Ascot where the betting market becomes live as soon as the previous race has weighed in and even before the payout of the same has been completed.â€ÂÂ
A very well done to LetsGetRacing (Dec. 3, 5:45pm), a dazzling display of initiative and follow-through. Yes, as LetsGetRacing investigatively states ‘The statements made at the URL below should, by rights, have you locked up’. Exactly! – The question is why not.
A high-ranking and once Betting Code sceptical Betfair official first raised this illogical immunity point shortly after the feint attack (see Introduction) began, spring 2005. The signature below says all that is necessary.
Forum members have a right to be angry that corporate encoded inside information marketing has become a de facto cartel policy, and one where gambling deregulation will only further embed cartel tentacles. The new SP system is a symptomatic example of clouding the defining moment of SP creation. John McCririck’s viewpoint (dave jay Dec. 3, 8:44pm) is also hard to ignore. As is Lydia Hislop’s (The Times, only three weeks ago) viewpoint on the new SP system, where, during her article research, she encountered a cartel stonewall when they discovered she was investigating changes to SP origination – in summing up her article she could not rule out ‘corruption’.
Solution, work and bet smarter as part of a team. (Where to start) Doing so, and (A day in the life of a betting codebreaking team) how to tips follow soon.
Alan Ridley<br>Author<br>
It appears that racing ‘inside information’ spillage has ruffled bookmaking cartel feathers. The author is reliably informed that cormack15 is not the only one ‘monitoring it closely’.
Always truthfully sticking to the verifiable facts…
Betting odds futures (very similar to stock market futures) are released, traded upon (from forecast to ‘showcast’) and then closed (SP).<br>…and repeated…<br>…and repeated…<br>…and repeated…<br>With only a very small and well-recognised set of betting odds available this repetition is a difficult mathematical problem for odds compilers to resolve (e-page 140). In fact, there is no mathematically pure solution. The problem is further compounded when a bookmaker then necessarily inserts his marketing hedge. On the back of the data processing revolution, and emulating the late 1980s move to stock market digital processing, top British bookmakers quickly realised that they could precisely control the betting marketplace. Just ask the Hong Kong Jockey Club:
http://www.wired.com/wired/archive/10.03/betting.html
When monopolistic regulations kick in, cartels are often formed in order to maximise profit potentials as the business pages regularly trumpet. However, on occasion, a given cartel will become so successful and powerful that it believes itself to be, as a collective, near omnipotent. This has already happened in British racing and English Premiership football – we are too late!
However, this is not a finger point at any particular individual, because a cartel can only operate at near omnipotent levels in secrecy. Cartels come and go and even reform, Betting Code disclosure will only rapidly hasten this process as the profit dent to operating in a spotlight sinks in. Big corporations and many smaller companies are not stupid. As moves are already afoot by some cartel members to gently slip into less heavily regulated European markets.
Nevertheless, the cartel’s barefaced corruption cannot continue as it has done. No one, not even the Betting Code author wants to see a betting marketplace collapse. Over 200,000 people are employed by, or would be directly affected by gross market instability. Which is why the author is assisting non-cartel ‘connections’ in the development of their own betting codebreaking teams in an attempt to realign or balance the betting marketplace. Some are actually applying their new codebreaking skills (one even more elegant than the ‘wired’ model above) in the American betting marketplace, which is hugely less sophisticated than the British model (this subject is expanded in the American edition of the Betting Code – in preparation). Hopefully, the entrepreneurial temptation will bring more such ‘connections’ forward.
The Code Table Challenge (e-page 176) was set as an entry-level test for competent betting codebreakers, as codebreaking teams necessarily operate in extreme secrecy, code chiefs are crying out for new members. As you would imagine, the Racing Post is not going to accept adverts readily highlighting its shortcomings.
To answer dave jay’s Dec. 3 post, 1:12pm. No Betting Code codebreaking team is happy with the author’s disclosures on TRF, and he is only authorised to go so far by client confidentiality and necessary cryptographic considerations already outlined. That said, of course TRF members must be given a treat in ‘real time’. This forum will be given plaintext (decoded) information that can be readily played within a workable timeframe. Members will be astounded. Much though has gone into the practicalities of delivering said plaintext ‘keys’, and a working knowledge of the book is of course helpful but will not be strictly necessary either.
A number of forum members have privately asked for more information, some of which is already in the book and was obviously skimmed over. Do be patient and allow a week or two for members to familiarise themselves with the decryption matrix (e-pages 293-294). The cartel is sitting tight and is not going anywhere.
It is the author’s intention to try and make one posting per day until interest in the topic wanes. If sufficient interest were generated on betting decryption perhaps cormak15 would consider a dedicated TRF nook. And there are no objections to a chatroom session. However, both points must first get clearance from cormack15.
Please keep privately emailed questions short or the author will soon be unable to give more than a passing acknowledgement.
Alan Ridley<br>Author<br>
Since the author’s opening topic on racing ‘inside information’ was posted, corporate and independent bookmaking business ‘connections’, some having hired the Betting Code author on a consultancy basis, have expressed extreme anger at seeing a free rollout of betting code inside information.
To further clarify the author’s position. Many professionals in the bookmaking industry who have a vested interest in maintaining racing ‘inside information’ confidentiality also monitor this forum, among others. The author repeats publicly, as he has expressed to ‘connections’ privately. Codebreaking (decrypting) racing ‘inside information’ is a cutting-edge cryptographic technique that is fairly simple to apply when done so as part of a betting codebreaking team (particularly at a corporate level), and nearly impossible when attempted by a single individual? However, for corporate teams or private individuals alike, when said racing ‘inside information’ is then decrypted and winningly played, it is instantly self-defeating to publicise the achievement. Typically, when a codemaker discovers that his code is broken he must change it to regain security. However, it cannot be totally changed as the Racing Post discovered (see the Racing Post example, e-pages 347-348; see also cartel bookmaker William Hill’s fixed-odds football coupon cover up, e-page 356. Furthermore, William Hill’s attempt to hide the ‘MATCH WIN PRICE’ betting odds on its single sheet [light green] ‘Weekend’ fixed-odds coupons was a countermeasure to an early set piece Betting Code disclosure in spring 2005 [see Corruption Report – Issue 18, e-page 421]. Although the old style twin sheet [darker green] coupon is still held by its betting shops, they are only available from under the counter if you pressure counter staff to release them – this is a corporate ruling to betting shop managers).
Only the betting code ‘key’ need be rotated as Auguste Kerkhoffs first proposed in 1883, ‘the security of a codesystem must not depend on keeping the cryptographic algorithm (a process or set of rules used for calculation or problem solving) secret. The security depends only on keeping the ‘keys’ secret (see e-page 137). It is to the morphing nature of those ‘keys’ that the Betting Code sets out to explore, define and cryptographically quantify.
Any inside information is worthless unless it can be marketed, and the Neural Correlates Rotation of Betting Odds (see e-page 67, note 8), a simple stringing together of reverse psychological processes (see ‘Magnificent Seven’ spreadsheet, e-page 60, yes, the ‘Magnificent Seven’ was professionally rigged), will be the centrepiece of an upcoming racing meeting breakdown for and on behalf of forum members.
Therefore, as this forum, probably the finest globally, is filled to the brim with talented and resourceful members. It would be a great pity if the Betting Code gift horse you are being offered is unceremoniously shouted down by, as dave jay eloquently id’s them, ‘illuminati bookies’ and ’tissue compilers’. But, hey, it’s your call. A call, incidentally, that several entrepreneurial bookmaking ‘connections’ have readily seized upon, see corporate page on the book’s website.
Is there a potential betting codebreaking team amongst this forum?
Incidentally, to answer apracing’s question. Yes, City of London police are Betting Code aware, especially Detective Chief Superintendent Steve Wilmott; as are Sir Callum McCarthy, Chairman, Financial Services Authority; and Peter Freeman, Chairman, Competition Commission; and Philip Collins, Chairman, Office of Fair Trading Board; and Sir Christopher Meyer, KCMG, Chairman, Press Complaints Commission; and Peter Dean, Chairman, Gambling Commission; and Geoff Thompson, Chairman, The Football Association; and most certainly Dr Peter Webbon, Chief Executive, The Horseracing Regulatory Authority; and Alistair McLean, Chief Executive, National Greyhound Racing Club, and Rene Barclay  Director, Serious Casework, The Crown Prosecution Service; and by no means last amongst a much longer list of others, David Pannick QC, Legal counsel to Kieren Fallon. And the press, ah, the press, particularly the owners of Racing Pages (e-page 421) who supply all the forecast odds to the national newspapers. But that is for another day.
And no, the author is not an ex-bookie, and nor does he gamble. Horseracing is a passion, as is his affiliation to all things cryptographic. Also note, for a short time the entire book will be on preview at http://www.lulu.com/browse/preview.php?fCID=532182 – although it is a cumbersome one page at time interface it works ok.
Alan Ridley<br>Author
