Home › Forums › Big Races – Discussion › Welsh National 2022
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December 17, 2022 at 17:04 #1627174
She wont mind a bog if it is one. She looks to be improving since the wind op where, yes, you’re right, she didn’t find a lot previously but that looks to have been solved. Age 9 is no problem, age of race winners has varied from 6 up to 13 in the last 10 years. Horses more exposed than her have won it.
December 20, 2022 at 18:12 #1627568Just looked at the entries. I fancy about 30 of them at this stage, looks like a terrific renewal. Loads of progressive types plus others with some great handicap form.
Anyone know why Iwilldoit hasn’t been out since winning it a year ago?
December 20, 2022 at 20:13 #1627575The big dog can’t win 3 big pots in a row can he?
He’s 158 in Ireland, so had the weights been done later for this he’d be in the low 160s with the usual tax
But gets to run off 153 so he’s arguably 10lb well in
Will love the trip (I’d say 3 miles is his absolute minimum trip) and the deeper the ground the better
If the rain comes I’d say he has every chance of a 3 timer
I’d also be interested in escaria ten, pats fancy and at least 5 others
One to wait until the final field and see what the ground is like I think
December 20, 2022 at 20:19 #1627578Antepost bet been on the big dog for a while now
VF x
December 20, 2022 at 20:41 #1627580Chepstow – a few miles from me. Weather forecast for the next week is rain every day OR showers OR Not much rain. Depends which forecast you believe. Met Office one is the driest though.
At the mo i like Escaria Ten, Fortescue and Eva’s Oskar, but no bet yet prob until Xmas day, at the earliest.
December 20, 2022 at 22:52 #1627596Chezza’s waiting to see which horse, if any, a particular jockey is booked to ride, before getting involved further in this race.
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It's the "Millwall FC" of Point broadcasts: "No One Likes Us - We Don't Care"December 21, 2022 at 13:12 #1627678Quite a few of the ones I fancied been taken out or had their weights bumped up a lot with royal pagaille taken out so as things stand it will probably just be a decent each way stab at Ask Me Early.
Class horse, targeted at the race 2 years running now and a nice weight.
December 21, 2022 at 15:36 #1627693How far do we think Quick Wave will win by? ;o)
December 21, 2022 at 16:14 #1627697“Chezza’s waiting to see which horse, if any, a particular jockey is booked to ride, before getting involved further in this race.”
Freddie Gingell rides Truckers Lodge in the race run in memory of his mum.
He’s a talented young man, he’ll be giving it every chance, and I’m sure this has been the plan in Paul Nicholas’s mind all autumn and Freddie partnered the horse in his Haydock Park pipe-opener.
Quick Wave does look a handicap snip, but I think Truckers Lodge could run a big race.
I saw Freddie ride numerous winners in Points and in a 3m6f Chase with give his 7lb claim will be a real weapon.
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It's the "Millwall FC" of Point broadcasts: "No One Likes Us - We Don't Care"December 25, 2022 at 11:25 #1628036Absolutely chucking it down here, in South Glos, nr Bristol. Chepstow only a few miles across the bridge, so will be getting the same. Dry day forecast for tom, over there, but rain forecast from midday, for race day.
December 25, 2022 at 11:28 #1628037Thanks, Wilts, that’s useful to know.
The forecast I’m looking at says 10mm expected in the next 24 hours.
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It's the "Millwall FC" of Point broadcasts: "No One Likes Us - We Don't Care"December 25, 2022 at 11:33 #1628038My money’s down on Fortescue. Finished strongly up at Haydock the other week on ground, possibly a bit quick for him; will love the ‘juice’ in the ground at Chepstow. The ground wont be as soft as it usually is over there, i suspect, but should suit him all the same.
Best of luck to allDecember 26, 2022 at 16:29 #1628301With my sensible head on, it would be The Big Dog for me, but with a run under his belt, I’ll go with Time To Get Up at around 33’s.
Had a long look at The Two Amigos, but for now, just the one.
Time To Get Up EW 7pls
December 26, 2022 at 16:50 #1628305I’m sticking with Trucker’s Lodge and Freddie Gingell in the race run in memory of his mum.
He rode a cracking winner at Wincanton today.
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It's the "Millwall FC" of Point broadcasts: "No One Likes Us - We Don't Care"December 26, 2022 at 16:51 #1628306“My money’s down on Fortescue. Finished strongly up at Haydock the other week….”
Erm, Xmas Day fuzzy brain – up at Aintree
Yes, Ian – i backed Trucker’s the other week with Freddie on board. He’s attracted some support today for tomorrow’s race, into 16s with 365, from 25s just a few days ago.
December 26, 2022 at 17:28 #1628317Just bet on my 2nd horse, Emma Lavelle’s Wouldubewell at 25s.
Disappointed at Haydock back in November when favourite, but previous form indicates the 3 miles plus should suit and the softer ground.
Rain still forecast for Chepstow from midday onwards, so would imagine it’ll be soft going.December 26, 2022 at 17:40 #1628322Stuck some more on The Big Breakaway with a e.w backup on Fortescue
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