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Dingo Dollar was the one I wanted to see in there, and a few hours short of Final
Decs, haven’t really changed my mind, though at 9’s, he was hardly a massive Antepost price. Stable form very encouraging.Always been a fan of Ramses De Teille, and he was a joy to watch at Warwick last time. Still reckon he’s miles ahead of his mark, and though I’d rather see him at Warwick next week, he’s hard to ignore here.
Ballyandy another old favourite, and one to consider at double figures. Going very well at Cheltenham last time, when he appeared to come into second last on wrong stride, and he was done after they. Reckon he would have went close.
Chambard, if not for his last run, would be proper shortlist material, but it was very poor, and I’m swaying towards stablemate Coo Star Sivola, who ran very well on stable debut. Former Ultima winner, who’s on a very nice mark.
Prime Venture looks an obvious one, while Chirico Vallis is back on a very nice mark.
Wishing and Hoping is a horse I’ve bet a few times, and though this wouldn’t be my first choice for him, he’d be some sight out in front round there.
Dingo Dollar my first choice, but not a penny down, and definitely one to have a good look at tomorrow, given how many are catching the eye. Decent looking renewal
Snow Leopardess is only 2lbs higher than for her Becher win and this has been the plan since she pulled up in the National. Conditions look like they will suit and I would be hopeful of a big run.
Crosspark has dropped down to a handy mark for all he is now 13, but he was only beaten a length in this a couple of years ago and has a decent course record.
This looks the perfect kind of race for Ballyandy. I’ve never been convinced by him as a chaser and this is only his eighth chase run, but he’s got class and is still showing signs of life.
I’ve bet the mare already, but I’ll hang fire on the other two for now. It’s a marvelous race.
The more it rains the better for Snow Leapordess
she will have come on for Aintree run in becher it was quite soft enoughVf x
I’ll chuck a dart, with my 365 free bet, at one from Mulholland’s yard, where my niece rides out
Chirico Vallis
I’ve just backed run To Milan at 20s EW to 5 places. I will show my workings here tomorrow!
No Dingo but he would have had a lot of weight to carry , anyone looking for trainer of the season so far , Sandy is currently +£41.44 to a pound stake ….. Yes £41.44 , Nicholls and Henderson eat your heart out , as for this Kauto Riko has a nice pipe opener last time
Pick 3 on Saturday champion 2025/2026
Ps Bobby The Ferry Masters mark is coming down nicely …. It’s as if there’s a hcap to be won in April
Pick 3 on Saturday champion 2025/2026
Yep viking, wrote about a horse that I didn’t realise was a NR until after I wrote about it and you can’t delete posts on here. Full stop next best thing :o)
Had already backed Run To Milan, as mentioned, but have had to revise my value assessment:
I spent 20 minutes on this race on Thursday, concluding that Run To Milan was the best value EW to 5 places: he was 20/1. I hadn’t looked closely enough at the others to commit at that point. I checked this morning (Friday) after Dingo Dollar was taken out and he was 16/1 – fair enough. But looking again before writing this I see Run To Milan is now just 10/1 (he’d been Pricewised) and is around the price I thought he should be when I first looked. I believe he’ll run a big race and will still be backing him EW, but I can no longer call him value, the subject this blog concentrates on.
Run To Milan’s top 9 Racing Post Ratings have been achieved on right handed tracks, as Sandown is. This will be his first run over fences here. All three wins were at Exeter – like Sandown, right handed and undulating. His last three runs have been left-handed, and he showed some spark last time wearing first time cheekpieces, finishing 3rd on his 2nd run of the season. He’ll be fitter for this and ought to run well.
I expect Sir Ivan to be thereabouts too at a decent price. He finished 3rd in the past two running of this, but since last year’s renewal has come down 11lbs in the handicap. He was a good 3rd last time out at Fontwell over an inadequate trip.
But the best value now is the 40/1 Broken Quest with William Hill, EW to 6 places. Most of his racing has been on good ground, but he has won on heavy and on soft; still his top 4 Racing Post Ratings are on good ground, and his last nine runs have been on good. Broken Quest rattled up a three-timer last season. He’s had three runs this season, the best of them over 20f at Cheltenham in November where he had 4 of today’s rivals – Saint Xavier, Ballyandy, Kauto Riko, and Elegant Escape behind him. Like Run To Milan, all of his victories (9) have been right handed.
Broken Quest’s trainer David Dennis also has Indy Five here, ridden by Stan Sheppard, who rides for Dennis regularly and is Broken Quest’s usual rider. Indy Five is about 20/1. He’s inconsistent, and 4 of his 5 wins have been left handed. Gavin Sheehan rides Broken Quest.
So, take your pick. For value EW to 6 places, I think the 40/1 – Hills will boost that by about 5 points – about Broken Quest tops the others. His chance very much depends on how he handles the ground in this company, and I can only assume that’s the reason for his price; the doubt is there, but even with that I’d have had him in at around 14/1 to 16/1.
I’ll also have EW bets to 6 places on Run To Milan and Sir Ivan.
3.00 Sandown:
Run To Milan 10/1
Sir Ivan 11/1
Broken Quest 40/1
Good luck
Joe
Last year I’d gone for Prime Venture. Now on the same mark, but a year older, he is too short for me. I’ve gone for Snow Leopardess who should like these conditions and jumping test and I also like Saint Xavier, who showed good form last time.
Snow Leopardess 8/1
Saint Xavier 8/1Saint Xavier and Up Helly Aa King both beat The Two Amigos last time out so I’m backing them. What a great race, though. I want all of them to win!
Followed Joe in with an e/w play on Broken Quest. Looks the one over priced to me at 40’s
Good luck all.
she will have come on for Aintree run in becher it was quite soft enough
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