Ups and Downs

[bladeblaster]

So here is something I have been thinking about, just paper betting this, as I have no idea what the outcome looks like.

The basis is simple, bet on the horse with the biggest OR hike and lay the Horse with the biggest OR drop.

To extend that, but it may end up with too many runners each day, I am interested to see the return of backing and laying those with a movement of 5lb or more.

A third angle is backing those that have had a movement of 5+ and are up in class, and laying those with a movement of 5- and are down in class.

So the highest move up I can see today is A Mere Bagatelle who is up 9lb in the 15:25 at Huntingdon.

The biggest drop I can see is The Trader in the 20:00 at Southwell.

Both of these also fit into the other 2 angles as well.

Horses to back:
B13:33 Lethal Angel + 8lb (2nd @ 4/1)
H15:25 A Mere Bagatelle + 9lb Up in Class (NR)
L15:45 Eeh Bah Gum + 5lb ( )
S20:30 All About Alice + 5lb

Horses to lay
B17:40 Sausalito – 6lb
H16:00 Eaton Lady – 6lb Down in Class (NR)
S20:00 The Trader – 8lb Down in Class

I am ignoring anything coming back after a 60+day break.

+1 on the 2 biggest movers
+1 on those that also changed class
-1 if doing all.

[bladeblaster]

Horses to back:
K19:00 Sir Oliver +5lb
K19:00 Animal Instinct +9il Up in class
N13:30 Platinum Prince +5lb (3rd)
S14:15 Calliope +7lb Up in class (4th)

Horses to lay
S14:50 Golden Chancer -5lb Down in class

Not good on the horses to back!

-3 on all
Evs on those also up or down in class
Evs on nights and lowest

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