The home of intelligent horse racing discussion
The home of intelligent horse racing discussion

Trying to win or not?

Home Forums Horse Racing Trying to win or not?

Viewing 17 posts - 1 through 17 (of 58 total)
  • Author
    Posts
  • #25434
    no idea
    Member
    • Total Posts 684

    Quote from Jeremy Scott in Sporting Life
    His trainer Jeremy Scott told At The Races.: "In reality he’s probably just a little bit short of where we’d like him to be, but he seems to have got over that injury.

    "We may lack for a bit of fitness, but there’s plenty of time, so it would be nice to get a run into him now and another one in February and then see where we are.

    "The main thing is to get him back safe and sound, have a nice spin round and hopefully have him sound for March."

    What does this mean. Is the horse trying or his he just schooling in public.
    What chance have the betting public got.

    #465093
    Avatar photoyeats
    Participant
    • Total Posts 3455

    Seems perfectly reasonable to me, would you prefer them to say nowt and you be none the wiser?

    Who was it who said, as a punter you should "Believe half of what you see and nothing of what you hear"?

    #465107
    Avatar photobetlarge
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2805

    would you prefer them to say nowt and you be none the wiser?

    You’ll find that when they say nowt you are much the wiser.

    Mike

    #465110
    Anonymous
    Inactive
    • Total Posts 764

    To be fair, I’ve always found Nichols to be pretty honest in his interviews/stable-tours. He made it pretty obvious he thought a lot of Calipto before the horse had its British debut in a stable-tour before the season started.

    #465113
    Avatar photoGingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 33198

    Quote from Jeremy Scott in Sporting Life
    His trainer Jeremy Scott told At The Races.: "In reality he’s probably just a little bit short of where we’d like him to be, but he seems to have got over that injury.

    "We may lack for a bit of fitness, but there’s plenty of time, so it would be nice to get a run into him now and another one in February and then see where we are.

    "The main thing is to get him back safe and sound, have a nice spin round and hopefully have him sound for March."

    What does this mean. Is the horse trying or his he just schooling in public.
    What chance have the betting public got.

    What is the problem with that NI?

    It means the trainer believes the horse might not quite be 100% fit, but of course

    will

    be trying to win the race. Scott made a very similar comment just before Melodic Rendezvous’ reappearance at Wincanton… A race he won. :wink:

    Value Is Everything
    #465135
    Avatar photoWoolf121
    Participant
    • Total Posts 537

    It’s racing, if you don’t intend to win don’t enter the race.
    What is all this, ”get a run into him ” or get a blow into him ”??

    It’s retarded to make such statements if you are to be considered a serious contender. It’s obfuscation at best and pure deceit at worst.

    Prepare your horses out of the public gaze and stop p*****g about.

    #465143
    Avatar photoJJMSports
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2034

    Jeremy Scott is very much a realist and underplays most of his horses – remember him saying Melodic Rendezvous would probably need the run at Wincanton?

    #465147
    Avatar photoandrew_03
    Participant
    • Total Posts 819

    Must admit I don’t fully understand why a horse shouldn’t be as fit as possible when appearing on a racecourse.

    Trainers can produce their horses cherry ripe for Cheltenham having been put away for 3 months over the winter.

    And the likes of Pipe/Henderson/NTD can get them ready to run for their lives after a 2 year lay off.

    #465149
    Avatar photoKenh
    Participant
    • Total Posts 750

    Most horses won’t be 100% fit in their first race after a lay off, just as most footballers won’t be fully fit until they have had a game or two.

    #465157
    Avatar photoGingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 33198

    Most horses won’t be 100% fit in their first race after a lay off, just as most footballers won’t be fully fit until they have had a game or two.

    That may well still be the case Ken (ie most = over 50%) but that figure is getting less and less. Certainly a large minority of horses are 100% fit first time up. There’s even a significant number of horses nowadays I’d rather back on reappearance than any other time. At their best after long absences and subsequently regressing until another spell on the bench puts them right.

    Value Is Everything
    #465248
    no idea
    Member
    • Total Posts 684

    This is the jockeys comment after winning

    Jeremy was confident today so I’m glad it came off.

    So he had everyone away yesterday. I thought he was a good honest trainer but after this debacle I shall not follow him anymore.

    #465252
    Avatar photobetlarge
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2805

    This is the jockeys comment after winning

    Jeremy was confident today so I’m glad it came off.

    So he had everyone away yesterday. I thought he was a good honest trainer but after this debacle I shall not follow him anymore.

    Why on Earth would anyone listen to what an obviously myopic vested interest – a trainer – has to say about the chances of his horse in any particular race?

    It just astounds me how much credence is placed on the opinions of these individuals who realistically have very little idea how their horse is going to run and absolutely no idea whatsoever how those of their opponents will perform.

    You

    are vastly better placed to sum up the chances of any horse in a race (as is your dustman, newsagent, accountant etc etc).

    Mike

    #465255
    Avatar photoGingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 33198

    This is the jockeys comment after winning

    Jeremy was confident today so I’m glad it came off.

    So he had everyone away yesterday. I thought he was a good honest trainer but after this debacle I shall not follow him anymore.

    Know your trainers NI.
    Jeremy Scott never has a positive word to say in the press before any race. Many trainers don’t like doing so because they’re superstitious. Stupid I know, but is the same with all sorts of sportsmen. I fail to see why any punter would take any notice when the same negative comments were made before Melodic Rendezvous won at Wincanton. It’s not that he’s doing it deliberately, though PR-wise I agree it doesn’t look good.

    If not knowing the trainer, one tip for anyone in two minds is to have a look on Betfair. If the horse is priced significantly higher than bookmakers – then you can be fairly certain it’s true (eg Sam Twister last week on the novice chaser reverting to hurdles). If the Betfair price is only a fraction above bookmakers – then there’s probably nothing to worry about. I never saw Melodic Rendezvous more than one price above the top quote of bookies.

    There was no way Scott was going to put me off backing MR today.

    Value Is Everything
    #465268
    Avatar photoWoolf121
    Participant
    • Total Posts 537

    Insiders do not tell outsiders anything but lies, it’s all about keeping the odds attractive. A trainer I used to know was enraged when a tipster he’d welcomed to his yard had the temerity to tip one of the yard’s runners in a race that took place a short time after the stable visit. That tipster was never again invited to the yard in question.

    Racing isn’t organised for the peasantry to profit from.

    #465322
    Avatar photocormack15
    Keymaster
    • Total Posts 9232

    GT has it right. Some trainers are naturally pessimistic, some overly optimistic, some naturally bullish and others prefer to play things down. You have to get to know them and, for me, reading the runes is part of the game.

    Betlarge is right too, in as much as it is probably best to ignore everything said by trainers (certain ones at any rate). However, GT is right to highlght Nicholls. He is usually pretty candid about his horses and when he is bullish it is usually a very good sign.

    Woolf – I have no idea why you bother following racing at all. If I thought a sport was as corrupt as you clearly think racing is I wouldn’t bother with it.

    #465330
    Avatar photoricky lake
    Blocked
    • Total Posts 3003

    Its nice to have a devils advocate though …it opens up good debate

    carry on wolf , these other guys think they know …but we know you know more :o

    whats the matter with having polarised views folks , or are we that cliquey we cannot stand it !!!!

    gee whizz

    Ricky

    #465331
    Avatar photocormack15
    Keymaster
    • Total Posts 9232

    I don’t think anyone’s said there’s anything wrong with people expressing polarised views.

    Same as there is nothing wrong in disagreeing with them.

Viewing 17 posts - 1 through 17 (of 58 total)
  • You must be logged in to reply to this topic.