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May 14, 2016 at 11:49 #1245933
Incidentally Richard Fahey explains the changing pattern at Thirsk in his column today.
Kocollada is our first runner on Saturday in the Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden Fillies’ Stakes at Thirsk.
She’s drawn nine which normally would be a very good spot but they’ve realigned the track there now and come nine yards off the stands’ rail which means horses are going to the far side. This is a filly we like. She’s well and will win races – but the draw is a worry.
Bahamian Sunrise has won three races this year so you can’t knock him. I think the handicapper probably has him now but he’s fully entitled to take his chance in the BDS Yorkshire Handicap.
Energia Flavio ran well at Chester last time when she was one of the very few of Marwan Koukash’s horses that were well drawn all week. On that form she’d have every chance in division one of the Marion Gibson Brown Memorial Handicap but she is inconsistent and hard to predict.
Character Onesie was disappointing on his reappearance at Doncaster but everything seems right for him in division two and I’d expect to see a better run here.
Grandad’s World needs to bounce back to his very best in the Constant Security Services Handicap. He worked well last week which I’m hoping is a sign that he’s turning the corner. He’s typical of many sprinters who just seem to lose their way but he could be on his way back now.
We’ve three in the Wharton Construction Handicap and I wouldn’t really want to pick between Growl and Beardwood. I was pleased with the former at Chester, it was sharp enough for him around there and this should suit better.
Beardwood is a horse we do like. I was disappointed with his reappearance run at Pontefract but he’s better than that. He was entitled to need it and will be sharper here so I’d expect more.
Our third runner is Gabrial The Tiger. I think he’s badly handicapped but the handicapper disagrees so we’ll keep going with him and see who’s right.
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Strange then that he doesn’t prefer Growl to Beardswood given they are drawn on opposite sides.
May 14, 2016 at 13:08 #1245947thanks for that, but what is the point of a realignment if it simply shifts the bias from one side to the other? i see mr fahey’s won nice, but i’m going to watch the next before betting on the later races.
ripon tomorrow
May 14, 2016 at 14:42 #1245977so i’m staying high: my bets are:
4.00 tumblewind and barnet fair
4.35 barkston ash
5.40 pearl acclaimMay 14, 2016 at 16:24 #1245995sod’s law dictates, got the draw right and wrong horses, so far
backed stalls 11 and 12, won by 9 (14/1)
backed stall 16 won by 13 (13/2)
backed stall 9 won by ?i’m now covering myself by a little bit on stalls 8, 10 and 11
May 14, 2016 at 19:13 #1246016vindicated myself, backing 4 horses for a £42 profit, finishing 1st 2nd 4th and 5th. the horse that ran 3rd was the top weight from stall 6 Just us two. given a decent draw it must be backed next time out
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