the top two speed raters–forecast/trebled/doubles

[Pompete]

Well done today Mr F, very nice indeed.

[mr forecast]

Well done today Mr F, very nice indeed.

this is the second big win since 22/6/2009,the system takes ages to write all the horses down,then keep checking for non runners

but it does seem to work so far,was giving up slowly but only started with 100 points and betting 20-40 bets a day…….lost nearly half my bank before hitting this win ,but lets see how i get on over the next few days

[mr forecast]

as you know i use http://www.patternform.co.uk
for all my stats

for this threads top two speed raters system i will always use the top two

now i would like to point something out and give you a example..

if you use this site sometimes there are no speed stats,normaly maiden runs but if you come across a race with no speed stats then use the class stats,as a back up

example–newmarket–today
2009-07-09 NEWMARKET (JULY) 2:35 1m 2f – Blue Square Stakes (Heritage Handicap)(Class 2)(3yo 0-105) £49,848 How to use PatternForm | Pace
Finishing Position (> 9th = 0) Win% Runners AgeWei Class Speed Multi RanTo
115- 67 % 1) Aqwaal [10] 3-9-7 24 7
2211- 50 % 2) Firebet [16] 3-9-5 15 7
221213- 33 % 3) Barwell Bridge [14] 3-8-11 6 4
106- 33 % 4) Roman Republic [6] 3-8-10 16
above you can see the stats for todays race,notice only form,%of wins-horse name age and weight and class

so you know its a class two race so look for the horses that have ran class 2 and below,or closest to

firebet….roman republic—both ran in class 1 races

firebet won and roman republic came second

just in case you may think this was a one off then ill give you a second example to help

2009-07-09 NEWMARKET (JULY) 2:00 6f – Tnt July Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings)(Class 1)(2yo) £45,416 How to use PatternForm | Pace
Finishing Position (> 9th = 0) Win% Runners AgeWei Class Speed Multi RanTo
183- 33 % 1) Angel´s Pursuit [8] 2-8-12 5
1- 100 % 2) Arcano [10] 2-8-12 5
26- 0 % 3) Diamond Johnny g [6] 2-8-12
31- 50 % 4) Ghostwing [1] 2-8-12 3
11- 100 % 5) Niran [9] 2-8-12 6 4
2- 0 % 6) Noble Greek [11] 2-8-12
14- 50 % 7) Nosedive [4] 2-8-12 5
511- 67 % Orpen Grey [3] 2-8-12 8 2
117- 67 % 9) Red Jazz [2] 2-8-12 6 2
5122- 25 % 10) Reignier [7] 2-8-12 3
213- 33 % 11) Tawaabb [5] 2-8-12 4

again i had no speed stats to work with so i look at the class rating and no horses have ran a class 1 race,but two have ran a class 2 they are orpen grey and red jazz

both placed 2nd and 3rd

[mr forecast]

opening balance 262.04

back to the top two system
all top two speed raters forecast in every afternoon race of today

19 races–19 points bet

[mr forecast]

fridays results

alan brook and sweetheart was the only winning forecast of 10 points………but did swap them round thou as alan brook was to short a fav to ignore

three races had 2nd and third places
red cape happy aniver
dakiyah relative strenght
crackdown soveriegn remedy

19 bets
19 forecasts 19 points–10 back minus 9 points

will continue in to the evening as crap on tele

end of day results

hit two in evening
glamorous spirit–noble storm–110 points
thebes–baron spy–16 points

had three 2nd and third only again

262.04 opening balance

minus 19 add 10 (afternoon) minus 17 points (evening ) add 16 add 110=

362.04 closing balance

[mr forecast]

362.04 opening ballance

all top two horses forecast in all 4 afternoon race

27 races–27 bets–27 points

1 refund
26 bets
two winners
social grace–shes ok–5 points
shaws diamond–baynya–6 points

362.04 minus 26 add 11 = 347.04

no evening bets on week end

[mr forecast]

347.04 opening balance

19 races 19 forecasts 19 points

backstage–batchelor lad–coothill–treble 1 point e.w

total bets 21 points

treble paid back 2.02 so thats 2 p profit(woohoo)

no forecasts won

alicia and captain crackers came 1st and second but had them round other way

i need to start introducing filters in order to reduce the losses……….some tracks are performing realy bad so over the next few weeks i will decide on dropping a few tracks until they start performing better…………….stratford today–1 winner 1 placed–14 horses were mussleb is showing 1 in 3 wins

347.04 minus 21 add 2.02 = 328.06

[mr forecast]

15 races in the afternoon

15 races 15 forcasts–15 points

lucky 15 bet
ingleby star—rothsay dancer—chunky lad—boogie dancer
50p line = 7.5 points

[mr forecast]

wow what a day,think is must of been something in the ayr

5 void forecasts at ayr=5 points
lucky 15 returned 4 points
one forecast won candle–ring for time=4.1 points

13.1 points

328.06 minus 15 (forecasts)minus 7.5 points (unlucky 15) add 13.1 points=318.66

318.66
tuesdays bets all afternoon races forecast-top two speed raters

today i have two lists….the top two speed rated………..and the top two fastest,formed and class rated horses

will see if this makes a difference,

[mr forecast]

15 races 15 bets 15 points

only one winning forecast of the afternoon

pseudomyn–long boat keys —returned 21 points

did not bet in evening but yarmouth produced silver prelude—-guto

using the top two speed raters single bets
beverley
3 winners———–4 place only—————18 horses
brighton
1 winner—————-6 place only————-14 horses
southwell
3 winners————4 placed only————-12 horses
yarmouth
3 winners————-4 placed—————-12 horses

318.66 minus 15 add 21= 324.66 closing balance

by using the patternform web site and using the top speed rated and class and course and distant winner returned the following results(no bets)

beverley
5 winners——–4 placed—-1 forecast
brighton
3 winners————4 placed

to busy to do evening results

[mr forecast]

i missed luscivious and kinigi which were both top speed raters at southwell and both 40 plus on betfair,looking at there form you wouldnt of guessed it…..and no class ratings either ……..i would of gone for don pele so just goes to show that form is not always the best indicator

[mr forecast]

i had a tip last night for secret dancer at uttoxeter
it was 55/1 last night so put a lump on

wednesdays bets
19 races–19 bets –19 points

top two speed rated forecast
lingfield
almuktahem–shakalaka–5 points
swordmans–mohawk star–42 points
uttoxeter
persian warrior–ormond lad……..around wrong way
catterick
paddy bear–ingleby princess—17 points

45 points profit on the day

closing balnce 369.36

(must point out a horse called temperence hall which ran at lingfield today,LTO it was 780/1 and 50/1 place on betfair and came 3rd………today it was 25/1 5/1 place and come 2nd)

[mr forecast]

heres the top two speed rated single bets for today

lingfield
4 winners–6 placed only 12 horses
uttoxeter
2 winners—7 placed only——-14 horses
catterick
4 winners–3 placed—-12 horses

evening
kempton
3 placed only 14 horses
worcester
3 winners–6 placed only–12 horses

[mr forecast]

thursday afternoon races
20 races–20 bets–20 points

[mr forecast]

afternoon results
carmtmel
anglestone–corinas—-8 points
peacefull means–wensleydale web—-40 points
hamilton
obe gold–racoon—5 points
liecester
angel of fashion–gillburg—43 points
big bound–libel law—-14 points

opening balance 369.36

minus 20 add 8,40,5,43,14 = 459.36

closing balance 459.36

[KevinTHFC]

Why don’t any of the CSF prices concur with your cliamed profits?

Leicester 3.50 CSF £14.32
Hamilton 2.50 CSF £4.66
Cartmel 2.30 CSF £9.88
Leicester 2.10 CSF £42.22
Cartmel 5.20 CSF £39.61

Kevin

[mr forecast]

Why don’t any of the CSF prices concur with your cliamed profits?

Leicester 3.50 CSF £14.32
Hamilton 2.50 CSF £4.66
Cartmel 2.30 CSF £9.88
Leicester 2.10 CSF £42.22
Cartmel 5.20 CSF £39.61

Kevin

i go by my winnings and divide it by the stake, i have loads of bets so its hard going down the list and digging them out…………will check again

i am supposed to use 1 quid but ive moved up since then but kept it at a quid here to save confussions……………..and now im confussed

so if my calculations are wrong i must apologise as this system as only made 90 points in one day and not the 120 i have quoted

i do write the odds down next to the horse in the mornings and may of just times the two odds with out realising………….

[Author]

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