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  • #437371
    hovis1956
    Member
    • Total Posts 179

    Beverley 14:05 – La Sylphe – 1st- KWM – Dream Vale -crap
    Beverley 14:35 – Hows Life – 1st- MW – Cinderslipper -3rd – KW (My selection for this race)
    Beverley 14:35 – Multisure – Byrons Dream – 2nd (My System selection)
    Beverley 15:05 – Hiddon Coin – N/R – Marshland – KWM- E/W on Delores Rocket-crap
    Beverley 15:35 – Arizona John – 2nd – E/W on Sir Boss -crap
    Beverley 16:05 – Flying Applause -crap
    Beverley 16:35 – Dolphin Village 2nd – Nine Iron -3rd – KWM
    Beverley 17:10 – Awake My Soul – KWM – 1st
    ———————————
    Perth 14:15 – Right To Rule -crap – KW – Yes Daddy -crap – MW
    Perth 14:45 – Urban Kode – 1st
    Perth 15:15 – Nodforms Violet – KW – Fell
    Perth 15:45 Seebright – KWM- 1st
    Perth 16:15 – Micheal Flips 2nd – MW- Mac Aeda-4th
    Perth 16:45 – Sotovik – KWM -crap
    Perth 17:20 – Now This Is It – MW 2nd
    ———————————-
    Wolverhampton 14:25 – Lady Frances – MW- 1st
    Wolverhampton 14:55 – Jake The Snake – KWM- 1st
    Wolverhampton 15:25 – Mr Plod – KW – 2nd
    Wolverhampton 15:55 – Dontpaytheferryman – KW -crap
    Wolverhampton 16:30 – Lowther – 1st – 5/1
    Wolverhampton 17:00 – Just Five – N/R
    Wolverhampton 17:35 – Dark Lane -3rd

    #437474
    hovis1956
    Member
    • Total Posts 179

    Doncaster 13:30 – Tamara Bay
    Doncaster 14:00 – See The Storm
    Doncaster 14:30 – See Clearly – E/W on Ficelle
    Doncaster 15:05 – Disclaimer – KWM (N)
    Doncaster 15:35 – Khudoua – KWM – E/W on Woodacre
    Doncaster 16:10 – Zaplamation
    Doncaster 16:45 – Rivellino
    Doncaster 17:15 – Another Citizen
    ————————————-
    Sandown 13:40 – Barracuda Boy – MW – Smoothtalkinrascal – MW – RFC – (N)
    Sandown 14:10 – Yarroom
    Sandown 14:45 – Highland Knight – MW – (N)
    Sandown 15:15 – Al Waab – MW
    Sandown 15:50 – Mujazif – MW
    Sandown 16:25 – Muthmera
    Sandown 17:00 – Blue Jack – MW
    —————————————–
    Perth 14:20 – The Cockney Mackem – MW – Jimmy the Hat – MWK
    Perth 14:55 – Opera Og – MWK – (N)
    Perth 15:25 – Goat Castle
    Perth 16:00 – Aneyeforaneye – KW
    Perth 16:35 – Cerium – E/W on Etxalar – KW
    Perth 17:05 – Daasij – KW
    Perth 17:35 – Frankies Promise
    ——————————————
    —————————
    Lucky 15 Bet

    Austria : Erste Liga : First Vienna v Hartberg – First Vienna to win @ EVS

    Austria : Erste Liga : Altach v A.Lustenau – Altach to win @ EVS

    France : Ligue 2 : Auxerre v Chateauroux – Auxerre to win @ 10/11

    France : Ligue 2 : Niort v Nantes – Nantes to win @ 7/5

    Lucky 15. Odds as per Bet365

    #437848
    hovis1956
    Member
    • Total Posts 179

    RSA Arlington 14:25 – Stormy Coast – Pamela Sue
    RSA Arlington 15:05 – Drill Sargeant – Ice Flag
    RSA Arlington 15:40 – Zezinho Campeao
    RSA Arlington 16:15 – Sir Isaac
    ——————————————-
    Wolverhampton 13:50 – Striker Torres – KWM – (N)- Prince Of Passion
    Wolverhampton 14:20 – Silly Billy
    Wolverhampton 14:50 – Dark Lane – KWM – (N) – Desert Icon – RFC
    Wolverhampton 15:20 – Rock Song – KW
    Wolverhampton 15:50 – Viva Vettori – MW – (N) – Honey Of A Kitten – KW
    Wolverhampton 16:20 – (Maiden) — Call Ahead – MW
    Wolverhampton 16:50 – Sylvia Pankhurst
    Wolverhampton 17:20 – Monsieur Pontaven – KW
    —————————————-
    Towcester 14:00 – Western Kate – KWM – (N)- E/W on Bellosguardo
    Towcester 14:30 – (Maiden) – Sharivarry – Rebel High
    Towcester 15:00 – Jameel – Farbreaga – KWM – (N)
    Towcester 15:30 – Roi De Garde
    Towcester 16:00 – (Novice)- Twelve Roses – MW – Call A Truce – KW – RFC
    Towcester 16:30 – Oranger – KW
    Towcester 17:00 – Rising Teal
    Towcester 17:30 – Bonnets Vino – MW (N)
    ———————————–

    Kelso 14:10 – (Maiden) – Ueueteotl
    Kelso 14:40 – Soul Magic
    Kelso 15:10 – Purcells Bridge – KW – Merrydown – RFC
    Kelso 15:40 – Or de Grugy – KW
    Kelso 16:10 – (Novice) – Sleep In First
    Kelso 16:40 – Waltz Darling – MW – (N)- E/W on Sam Lord
    Kelso 17:10 – (Novice)- Buckstruther – MW – Senor Alco – MW- RFC
    ———————————–

    #437980
    hovis1956
    Member
    • Total Posts 179

    RSA Clairwood 13:05 – Radio Waves – Maluti
    RSA Clairwood 13:40 – Euphoria – Brora
    RSA Clairwood 14:15 – Sutherfeni – Faire Silvano
    RSA Clairwood 15:30 – Cherry Tripper – Honolulu
    RSA Clairwood 16:05 – Last Shot
    —————————————
    Lingfield 14:00 – Back On The Trail – KW – Fiducia
    Lingfield 14:30 – Maiden – No selection
    Lingfield 15:00 – Gaul Wood –
    Lingfield 15:30 – Angels Calling
    Lingfield 16:00 – Not Now Blondie – KW – Girl Of Cadiz – KW
    Lingfield 16:30 – Maiden – No selection
    Lingfield 17:00 – Safwaan
    ———————————
    Yarmouth 15:10 – George Cinq – Yourartisonfire
    Yarmouth 15:40 – Khubala
    Yarmouth 16:10 – Tahlia Ree – Olney Lass – KW
    Yarmouth 16:40 – Silver Alliance – KW
    Yarmouth 17:10 – Corn Maiden – KW
    ———————————–
    Bath 14:50 – Lady Lunchalot
    Bath 15:50 – Silver Samba – KW
    Bath 16:20 – Rioja Day- E/W
    Bath 16:50 – Mubtadi – KW
    Bath 17:20 – Picansort – KW
    ——————————–

    #438080
    hovis1956
    Member
    • Total Posts 179

    Caulfields Venture – 1.40 – Southwell
    Adios Alonso in the 3.10 at Southwell

    Double
    ——————————————–
    Southwell 14:10 – Kayfton Pete
    Southwell 14:40 – Kings Grey
    Ascot 15:00 – Stipulate

    Patent
    ———————————–
    Pontefract 15:20 – Eutropius
    Pontefract 15:55 – Abilene
    Ascot 16:10 – Hasopop

    Patent
    —————————————-
    Southwell 13:40 – Farewellatmidnight
    Ascot 16:45 – Rockalong

    Double
    ————————————
    Southwell 13:40 – Farewellatmidnight – Caulfields Venture – KWM
    Southwell 14:10 – Kayfton Pete – MW
    Southwell 14:40 – Kings Grey – KWM
    Southwell 15:10 – Adios Alonso – E/W on Granwood
    Southwell 15:45 – Earcomesthedream – KW
    Southwell 16:55 – Floral Spinner
    Southwell 17:30 – Starlight Air – KW
    —————————————–
    Ascot 14:00 – Justice Day – MW
    Ascot 14:30 – Cruck Realta – KW- Typhoon Lily – RFC
    Ascot 15:00 – Stipulate – KWM
    Ascot 15:35 – Steps To Freedom – MW- E/W on Buckland
    Ascot 16:10 – Hasopop – MW
    Ascot 16:45 – Rockalong – MW
    ————————————
    Pontefract 15:20 – Eutropius
    Pontefract 15:55 – Abilene
    Pontefract 16:30 – Theodore Gericault – MW
    Pontefract 17:00 – Hartwright – KW
    Pontefract 17:35 – Gold Show – KWM- Blades Lad – KWM – RFC
    ——————————————

    #438119
    warchief
    Member
    • Total Posts 14

    Hi Hovis,

    Thanks for posting these selections. I’ve been keeping an eye on them and they are pretty consistent. Thanks for the advice on stopping at a win. I’ve been trying to figure out the most sensible way to start accumulating. As obvious as it may be, I’m still new at this so it’s taken a while for it all to sink in.

    Some good results today so I look forward to tomorrow to start betting small and stopping at 2 wins. I’ll see how that goes.

    Meanwhile, respect for sharing your tips. It’s appreciated.

    THANKS!

    Warchief

    #438146
    hovis1956
    Member
    • Total Posts 179

    Warchief

    I have re-wrote my system suftware and the results today look promising

    I do a £10 stake on the race
    If I do not win after 4 races I stop

    As you can see below
    1st – place

    Southwell 14:40 – Kings Grey – KWM – 1st 3/1
    Southwell 15:10 – Adios Alonso – 1st – 4/1
    Southwell 17:30 – Starlight Air – KW – 1st – 9/1
    Ascot 16:45 – Rockalong – MW – 1st – 10/3
    Pontefract 15:20 – Eutropius – 1st – 8/1
    Pontefract 16:30 – Theodore Gericault – MW 1st – 7/2

    2nd – place

    Southwell 14:10 – Kayfton Pete – MW – 2nd – 4/1
    Southwell 16:55 – Floral Spinner – 2nd – 7/4
    Ascot 14:00 – Justice Day – MW – 2nd – 11/8

    3rd – place

    Ascot 15:00 – Stipulate – KWM – 3rd – 11/4
    Ascot 16:10 – Hasopop – MW -3rd – 5/1
    Pontefract 15:55 – Abilene – -3rd

    #438215
    Avatar photoel249
    Member
    • Total Posts 66

    Hi Hovis, been following this for a while now and just been using it to back my own selections. I.e, if we both have the same selection, i’ll definitely take it.

    Been returning a steady profit, and whilst I appreciate that you wouldn’t want to reveal the method in the madness, I was hoping you’d be able to give some insight into how your system selects the horses? I’m hoping to design my own system, but deciding which parameters to collect data for is proving difficult.

    You get some pretty good winners, especially on the flat, short distance sprints.

    Thanks in advance.

    #438222
    hovis1956
    Member
    • Total Posts 179

    Hi Hovis, been following this for a while now and just been using it to back my own selections. I.e, if we both have the same selection, i’ll definitely take it.

    Been returning a steady profit, and whilst I appreciate that you wouldn’t want to reveal the method in the madness, I was hoping you’d be able to give some insight into how your system selects the horses? I’m hoping to design my own system, but deciding which parameters to collect data for is proving difficult.

    You get some pretty good winners, especially on the flat, short distance sprints.

    Thanks in advance.

    My system looks at the following criteria

    Days since last run ( Anything with less than 60 days)
    Jockey/Trainer strike rate ( Anything over 30%)
    Speed Ratings
    Ground Condition
    C?D Winners
    Stall Number
    BHA Ranking ( Anything below 5 )

    Hope this helps.

    #438223
    hovis1956
    Member
    • Total Posts 179

    Hi Hovis, been following this for a while now and just been using it to back my own selections. I.e, if we both have the same selection, i’ll definitely take it.

    Been returning a steady profit, and whilst I appreciate that you wouldn’t want to reveal the method in the madness, I was hoping you’d be able to give some insight into how your system selects the horses? I’m hoping to design my own system, but deciding which parameters to collect data for is proving difficult.

    You get some pretty good winners, especially on the flat, short distance sprints.

    Thanks in advance.

    My system looks at the following criteria

    Days since last run ( Anything with less than 60 days)
    Jockey/Trainer strike rate ( Anything over 30%)
    Speed Ratings
    Ground Condition
    C?D Winners
    Stall Number
    BHA Ranking ( Anything below 5 )

    I do not do Maiden Races ( Not enough information)
    I do not races with less than 6 runners unless system selects high score for horse.

    Hope this helps.

    #438224
    hovis1956
    Member
    • Total Posts 179

    Selections for Today

    The races with Stars next to them are Recommended Bets

    Patent
    Redcar 14:30 – Haajes – *
    Redcar 16:00 – Hamoody – *
    Sedgefield 15:10 – Ballyvoneen – *
    ——————————————–
    Patent

    Sedgefield 16:40 – Tahiti Pearl – *
    Lingfield 14:20 – Honest Strike – *
    Lingfield 16:20 – Avonvalley – *
    ——————————————-
    Lucky 15

    Redcar 15:30 – Jessies Spirit
    Redcar 16:30 – Mixed Message
    Lingfield 16:20 – Avonvalley
    Lingfield 16:50 – Ready

    ———————————————–
    Redcar 14:30 – Haajes – *
    Redcar 15:30 – Jessies Spirit
    Redcar 16:00 – Hamoody – * – KW
    Redcar 16:30 – Mixed Message – KW
    Redcar 17:00 – Rocket Ronnie – KW- Surround Sound – RFC
    Redcar 17:35 – Multifact
    ————————————–
    Sedgefield – 2.40 – Cape Explorer –
    Sedgefield 15:10 – Ballyvoneen – *
    Sedgefield – 3.40 – Breeze With Ease – KW
    Sedgefield 16:40 – Tahiti Pearl – KW – *
    Sedgefield 17:10 – Ballybriggan – KW
    —————————————
    Lingfield 14:20 – Honest Strike – KW- *
    Lingfield 15:50 – Tornado Force – E/W on Scamperdale
    Lingfield 16:20 – Avonvalley – *
    Lingfield 16:50 – Ready – KW
    Lingfield 17:25 – Flying Tempo – KW
    ————————————–

    #438226
    Avatar photoel249
    Member
    • Total Posts 66

    Ah okay thanks for that, it’s a big help. Is there exceptions though? I.e you say anything over 60 days is discarded I assume.. Yet Jessie’s Spirit hasn’t ran for 573 days?

    #438229
    hovis1956
    Member
    • Total Posts 179

    Ah okay thanks for that, it’s a big help. Is there exceptions though? I.e you say anything over 60 days is discarded I assume.. Yet Jessie’s Spirit hasn’t ran for 573 days?

    If the horse scores more than 70 on my system then I will put it up as an E/W bet

    In some races you have to take chance on long lay offs.

    Some horses run better after a long lay off.

    You have to research this to find out though.

    System score was what made me choose Jessie’s Spirit as a value E/W bet

    #438232
    hovis1956
    Member
    • Total Posts 179

    Chepstow 17:40 – Dashwood
    Chepstow 18:10 – Royal Sea
    Chepstow 18:40 – Admirable Duque
    Chepstow 19:10 – Frozen Over
    Chepstow 19:40 – Upper Lambourn – E/W
    Chepstow 20:10 – Dark Lane
    ———————————-
    Taunton 17:50 – Courtesy Call – Forresters Folly – RFC
    Taunton 18:20 – Falcon Island
    Taunton 18:50 – Cry of Freedom
    Taunton 19:20 – Lady Bridget
    Taunton 19:50 – Stormyisland Ahead – Solitary Palm – RFC
    ————————————————-
    Tipperary 18:30 – Allegra Tak – KW
    Tipperary 20:00 – De Benno –

    #438234
    Avatar photoel249
    Member
    • Total Posts 66

    Ah right fair enough, well I’ve just backed your lucky 15 for 0.10p each way, est returns of about £2000 or something ridiculous, so we’ll see what we can rake in today!

    Good luck on your bets!

    #438236
    hovis1956
    Member
    • Total Posts 179

    Ah right fair enough, well I’ve just backed your lucky 15 for 0.10p each way, est returns of about £2000 or something ridiculous, so we’ll see what we can rake in today!

    Good luck on your bets!

    Good Luck with your bets today

    Skytrain scored high on my system but did not meet all the criteria to select it.

    Do not have anything in that race I don’t think.

    #438240
    Avatar photoel249
    Member
    • Total Posts 66

    You’ve got Ready in that race :)

    And yeah maybe so, I just like the horse. Backed it twice before where it’s returned me some dosh, consistent sort so I’d always have it each way especially at anything over 10’s. Sometimes I just pick based on a hunch, which probably isn’t the best system to go by, but it has it’s moments.

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