The Exacta Dilemma for Exacta Players

[zilzal]

With so many casual punters placing the fav to beat the fancied outsider, surely there is little value here and it much more profitable to back the outsider to turn over the favourite. Or is it better to back the favourite to win if only to avoid the possiblity of a morale-sapping, lenghty, losing streak. Afterall, the 9/4 fav Jazz D’Estruval beating of 4th fav Murghas 10/1 exacta paid out almost 50/1 today !

What do the Systems people think ?

[slipperytoad]

I’m also interested in any opinions Zilzal as I have also feel there is potential value in playing “exoticsâ€ÂÂ

[Artemis]

I don’t play exactas very much although sometimes I think I should.

The big negative is the percentage take-out you have to buck to make it pay and the positive is that the majority of players are not as shrewd as most people on this forum. Also, there is a danger if you do exactas exclusively that you will ‘miss’ some big priced winners. This shouldn’t really matter to experienced and hardened punters, but somehow it does leave a mark if it happens a lot (and, it will!)

I’ve only one peice of advice for exacta players. Over the years, I’ve noticed that if a ‘good thing’ gets turned over, it’s often out of a place. Easy to explain over the jumps because it might fall or get brought down but less easy to account for on the flat. The implication is to leave real hot pots out of exactas if you are not keen on them at restrictive odds. Maybe someone has done research and will refute this suggestion.

[zilzal]

Thanks for the replies. I suppose the drawback of the exacta is that we have often  little or no idea what the size of our stake will do to the dividend/payout. Am I an ageing cynic or could the Tote companies not programme their computer to replicate bets of their registered successful punters, thereby decimating the dividend. I think it may be due to such concerns that serious punters (and I’m not one) spurn tote bets.

Even though the Bookies CSF offers poorer dividends, perhaps they are a better vehicle for those interested in a  serious forecast punt in a weak market.

(Edited by zilzal at 7:16 pm on Dec. 19, 2005)

[Matron]

Must admit I have never dabbled in Exacta’s.

I think you quite right in saying that any long losing run is "morale-sapping" and why people probably stick to short price selections.

Zilzal, maybe you should "paper-trade" and see how you get on over a period of time and see which is the more profitable method of selection.

Regards- Matron<br>:cool:

[Author]

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