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The Bleeding Obvious

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  • #266464
    Avatar photoGerald
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    • Total Posts 4293

    Had to go into town, so I missed the pleasure of watching the race. Gymcrack has got richer.

    Yeah Gerald, a 9yo on the Flat that hasn’t won for 4 years is the obvious choice. Good job it was a paper bet, because that means I can tear it up.

    Balance -1.90[/color:352wufad]

    I’ll get tomorrow’s selection(s) out of the way now, so that I don’t have to look when I’m tired.

    #266474
    Avatar photoGerald
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    • Total Posts 4293

    12.30 Lingfield
    2yo Median Auction Maiden – Division I
    [/color:2ggwjvpf]
    Looks easier than the other Division

    I like La Toya J and Red Yarn on form. They come from the same Kempton race, and finished within a length of each other, with Red Yarn running green on her debut.

    They are both comparatively well bred:

    Class Of Dam
    53.33 Cuthbert
    71.79 Desert Recluse
    66.69 Jodawes
    57.15 Katchmore
    63.97 Maxijack
    71.67 Spice Fair
    66.23 Chichi
    77.86 La Toya J
    71.04 Red Yarn

    Can’t provide dosage for all the horses, as Pedigree Query was playing up.

    And their dams have produced a couple of decent horses before:-

    Cuthbert

    Desert Recluse

    Jodawes

    Katchmore
    RPR HORSE SIRE WINS PLACES RUNS £PRIZE RPR DIST
    62 Second To Nun (IRE) 06f Bishop Of Cashel 8.3f 1 1 11 £2,551.67 62 8f
    58 Katchmore (IRE) 07g Catcher In The Rye (IRE) 9.3f 0 0 2 £0.00 58 9f

    Maxijack
    RPR HORSE SIRE WINS PLACES RUNS £PRIZE RPR DIST
    48 Maxijack (IRE) 07g Governor Brown (USA) 0 0 1 £0.00 48 7f
    4 Alevic (IRE) 04h Tendulkar (USA) 9.0f 0 0 3 £0.00 4 7f

    Spice Fair
    RPR HORSE SIRE WINS PLACES RUNS £PRIZE RPR DIST
    67 Spice Fair 07g Trade Fair 0 1 1 £584.35 67 8f
    52 Pembo 05g Choisir (AUS) 7.4f 1 0 12 £1,260.45 52 8f
    52 Fly The World 04m Agnes World (USA) 7.8f 0 0 3 £0.00 52 7f
    10 Welsh Passion 06f Marju (IRE) 9.3f 0 0 5 £0.00 10 8f

    Chichi

    La Toya J
    RPR HORSE SIRE WINS PLACES RUNS £PRIZE RPR DIST
    102 Farrfesheena (USA) 97m Rahy (USA) 9.5f 0 1 3 £2,605.00 102 8f
    93 Heavenly Bay (USA) 00m Rahy (USA) 9.5f 1 5 9 £21,725.50 93 12f
    90 Haddice (USA) 99h Dixieland Band (USA) 9.4f 0 2 7 £2,290.50 90 10f
    82 Beldon Hill (USA) 03m Rahy (USA) 9.5f 3 4 14 £14,942.13 82 14f
    73 Payola (USA) 01m Red Ransom (USA) 8.9f 1 0 5 £4,461.60 73 12f
    62 Bevier 94g Nashwan (USA) 10.0f 2 3 30 £7,572.88 62 8f
    61 Lindhoven (USA) 04h Monarchos (USA) 11.0f 0 0 6 £0.00 61 10f
    60 La Toya J (IRE) 07f Noverre (USA) 7.8f 0 1 2 £433.35 60 7f

    Red Yarn
    RPR HORSE SIRE WINS PLACES RUNS £PRIZE RPR DIST
    104 Relative Order 05c Diktat 8.2f 3 4 11 £72,810.80 104 7f
    99 South Cape 03g Cape Cross (IRE) 8.7f 7 8 50 £93,186.35 99 8f
    58 Rubilini 04m Bertolini (USA) 6.6f 1 2 22 £3,004.00 58 7f
    58 Eye For The Girls 06g Bertolini (USA) 6.6f 1 1 11 £2,241.33 58 7f
    57 Red Yarn 07f Lucky Story (USA) 8.3f 0 0 1 £0.00 57 7f

    The simplest thing to do seems to be to put them in a 1 point Reversed Forecast
    La Toya J
    Red Yarn

    [/color:2ggwjvpf]

    #266485
    Avatar photoGerald
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    • Total Posts 4293

    Not sure why Spice Fair is favourite for the race on betfair, when the winning favourite in the race he was second in was 1/3, indicating that there wasn’t anything else decent in the race, and the race was run 8 seconds outside of RP Standard.

    I’ll have a look at the race on ATR, to see if I can work it out.

    #266598
    gimcrack
    Member
    • Total Posts 20

    hi Gerald,cried off that dodge pot in that seller yesterday,probably run in the other seller on the 4th,

    you must subscribe to the racing post to get the ped stats,i think its a cheek myself im a good mind to go back to the high street,lol.lol.,a couple i would "NOT" be laying in this is.i think they will run well but which one to win it i can not choose,help.but a slight pref to the last named.

    KATCHMORE
    and
    LA TOYA J

    #266637
    gimcrack
    Member
    • Total Posts 20

    strange that since i put KATCHMORE up

    on betfair its in from 50/1 to 14/1 not me.lol.ummmmm

    #266671
    Avatar photoGerald
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    • Total Posts 4293

    Forgot to watch the race, because I was busy with the St Leger. The good news is that it also meant I forgot to bet on it.

    Balance -3.90
    [/color:pm6iwbg8]

    Let’s see if I can reach -100 before Halfwaytoheaven reaches +100.

    The ironic thing is that I said this Division looked easier than the other, and the other was won by Fazza, who had handicap form, which is always the most solid kind.

    #266756
    Avatar photoGerald
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    • Total Posts 4293

    Jass jumps well, stays well, and has had a couple of promising runs this season. Favourite. [In addition to which, I need him to win or come second to get into the GN field.]

    Punchestowns, not too far behind the best horse in training.

    Jass
    Punchestowns

    1 pt double

    #266900
    Avatar photoGerald
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    • Total Posts 4293

    Balance -4.90[/color:2scyatge]

    Gee, what a bad race. Maybe it can be blamed on the 40 minutes in the Parade Ring, or for Jass the trip from up North.

    The jockey on Sherwoods Folly will probably get a fine/suspension as he raised his arm 3 times above his shoulder, even if he wasn’t using his whip I think the windmill action is outlawed.

    #285533
    Avatar photoGerald
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    • Total Posts 4293

    http://m.gmgrd.co.uk/res/584.$plit/C_71_article_1105341_image_list_image_list_item_0_image.jpg

    Vicky showing how much it meant to her to retain the World Women’s Sprint Title last year.

    Can’t have a bet on Victoria Pendleton at the World Track Cycling Championships, as Betfair don’t have any markets.

    Going to have a bet on the aussie

    Eagle Falls

    in the AW Sprint race at Dubai on Saturday. Came second in the Newmarket Handicap a couple of weeks ago, burdened by my bet. The trainer David Hayes has gone over to Dubai to supervise, rather than leave it in the hands of one of his minions.

    edit: it is the 3.15 race.

    Erm, stupid question: Is this race on a straight track, or around a bend???

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