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.
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So Far   103 bets<br>         32 wins<br>     strike rate  31%<br>      Loss -18.83 pts
Distance winners<br>37 bets<br>15 wins<br>Strike rate 40.5%<br>avg sp of 7/4
Rather than taking the axe to most of the qualifiers, I’ll post up the confidence rating as % based on liklihood ratios.
1.00K  Staceymac      34% Won 2/5<br>3.20M  The pious Prince  36% Won 15/8<br>4.00K  King Of Knight   24% Lost<br>4.30K  Mozakhraf      44% Lost
(Edited by Factorman at 7:10 pm on Dec. 10, 2006)
well done factorman for trying to get the game sorted, can i ask are you considering the r.post handicap ratings as the rtf% figures are those horses who are running to form. maybe if you considered the top two or three rated horses within maybe 7lb’s of the top rated runner???
Hello Evens and thanks for your post, the rtf% comes straight from the racing posts assesment of current form, a percentage of the trainers runners running to within 5lbs of their last run, I was pleased to see the addition of the rtf% on the web form pages and decided to use it in part of the system.<br>Hope thats answered your question.<br>Any comments toward bettering the system are most welcome.
Factorman<br>
12.40P  Leamington Lad  28%  Lost<br>12.50A  Echo Point       37% nr<br>1.45P   Captains Legacy  24% Lost<br>2.15P   Zimbabwe       41% Won 2/1<br>2.35W  Art Hitorian      26% Lost<br>3.10W  Happy As Larry   41% Lost
The percentages are based on the results from the systems rules with a few added extras from my own reading of form etc, looking at those selections with a confidence rating of 30%+, and representing value<br> could be the way forward<br>
(Edited by Factorman at 10:51 pm on Dec. 11, 2006)
12.10F Our Samson   47% lost<br>12.20S Moyayer      22% Won 5/2<br>12.40F Kings Signal   41% Lost<br>1.10F  Snakebite     46% Won 8/13<br>2.10F  Castle Frome    8% Lost<br>2.40F  Superrollercoaster  35% Won 3/1<br>
(Edited by Factorman at 6:42 pm on Dec. 12, 2006)
12.40L  Finished Article   35% Lost<br>1.20N  Oco            21% Lost<br>2.15L   Artzola         43% Won 4/6<br>
(Edited by Factorman at 6:58 pm on Dec. 13, 2006)
12.50C  Joe Malone   19% Lost<br>1.40E   Mariah Rollings  28% Lost<br>2.00S   Hilltop Destiny  30% Won 2/1<br>3.40E   Tabora       28% Lost<br>4.50W   Beauchamp Viceroy  32% Won 8/13<br>5.20W   City Of Conquest  32% Lost<br>6.20W   Emilys Place       23% Lost
(Edited by Factorman at 10:17 pm on Dec. 14, 2006)
12.15U  Never So Blue    31% Won 5/1<br>1.50U   Opera De Coeur   50% Lost<br>2.15W   Beauchamp Viceroy  45% Lost<br>2.50W   Buy On Red     25% Lost<br>5.20K   African Concerto  25% Lost<br>5.50K   King Marju     11% Lost
Narrowing down the selections to those with a confidence rating of 30%+ has had some success, shall update the overall system selection, distance winners and the 30%+ selections in due course, almost time to start wagering!:o <br>
(Edited by Factorman at 8:24 pm on Dec. 15, 2006)
2.00L  Onenightinlisbon   25% Lost<br>2.10A  Mighty Man        47% Won 8/11<br>2.40L  Kindlelight Delight   28% Lost<br>4.50K  Musical Beat       28% Lost<br>
(Edited by Factorman at 5:24 pm on Dec. 16, 2006)
12.30T  Dillay Brook   30% Lost<br>3.45T   Noble Calling  12% Lost<br>
(Edited by Factorman at 8:24 pm on Dec. 18, 2006)
12.20A   Gunadoir     39% Lost<br>1.45S    Optimum     21% Lost<br>2.05L    Corlough Mountain  23% Lost<br>2.25A    Joan’s Girl    22% Lost<br>3.20S    La Colline     43% nr<br>
(Edited by Factorman at 8:23 pm on Jan. 5, 2007)
Sorry about the gap in results, I pressed a button on the computer which sent something in motion and CRASH.
Many thanks Cormack for helping me back onto the forum.
A few results have been lost whilst off-line but the results I do have are as follows.
All system bets
Total Bets 216<br>Wins 73<br>Lost 143<br>Strike Rate 34%<br>Loss -28.76
Distance Winners<br>Bets 88<br>Won 38<br>Lost 50<br>Strike Rate 43%<br>Avg S/P 1.61
Distance winners
2.30C Moorlands Again   46% nr<br>3.25H Roman Ark        51% Won 7/4
<br>
(Edited by Factorman at 4:59 pm on Jan. 6, 2007)
Distance Winners
2.40 Dance With Wolves  45% Won 5/4<br>3.20 Cragganmore Creek  43%  Lost
(Edited by Factorman at 4:13 pm on Jan. 7, 2007)
2.10w  Sweet Pickle  46% DH 1st 7/1<br>2.50T  Little Rort     44% Lost<br>
(Edited by Factorman at 6:45 am on Jan. 9, 2007)
3.50  Jimmy The Guesser   34% Lost<br>
(Edited by Factorman at 7:49 pm on Jan. 9, 2007)
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