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Simply class form & price

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  • #27095
    Avatar photoFormath
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    • Total Posts 1451

    Newbury – Southfield Theatre, Ned Stark, Daneking.
    Kempton – ZaraZest

    Ignoring any shorter than 6/4.

    #496556
    Avatar photoMatron
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    • Total Posts 6933

    Nice to see you back Formath.

    #496591
    Avatar photoFormath
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    • Total Posts 1451

    I didn’t think anyone would notice me sneaking back in. :oops:

    I might as well put some flesh on the bones whilst I am here for selection, odds and staking.

    Selection being the critical element as without winners the rest doesn’t matter.
    Class – Trying not to drop below class 3.
    No race without wins in the form record.
    Not more than around 12 runners to avoid excessive over=round margins.
    Must be form rated backed up by time rating, not necessarily top-rated
    in either case.

    Odds – No bet knowingly shorter than 6/4 as it is so difficult to cover losses regularly betting at shorter odds.

    Staking – Level stakes if you prefer to keep it simple and minimise risk to the bank. I shall use the one given by VDW in the late 70’s with a bank of 200 points as it can be risky on a long losing run:

    AIM TO WIN 1 POINT FOR EACH BET.
    Commence with 1 point and increase by another point after each loser.
    Add losses plus 1 point win aim to the debit after each loser.
    On winning deduct amount won less 1 point aim from the debit.
    Next bet must not be more than 1 point higher than any remaining debit.
    Headings for the required betting book columns:

    STAKE/RESULT/WON/LOST/DEBIT/CREDIT/BANK

    #496599
    Avatar photoFormath
    Member
    • Total Posts 1451

    This is a detailed example of the staking plan for anyone interested:

    Staking Plan (aiming to win at least 1 point from each bet).

    Stake/Result/Won/Lost/Debit/Credit
    1….Lost…..0…1…..2
    2….Lost…..0…2…..5
    3….Lost…..0…3…..9
    4….W2/1…..8…0…..2
    3….Lost…..0…3…..6
    4….Lost…..0…4…..11
    5….W3/1.,,.15…0….. 0
    Total……..23….13……….10

    AIM TO WIN 1 POINT ON EACH BET.
    Stakes are increased progressively by 1 point each bet until any debit is reduced to nought.
    However, note that the staking progression should not exceed the existing debit by more than 1 point.
    Any further losses are treated the same and added to the previous deficit. A winning bet has one point deducted from the amount won (profit required) before deducting the remainder from the debit column. The resultant figure is deducted from the debit column.
    When the debit reduces to nought subtract the Loss from the Win and enter the profit in Credit column (in this illustration the profit is 10 points).

    #496619
    Avatar photoNathan Hughes
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    • Total Posts 34753

    Welcome back Formath.
    I’m sure Billy boy would be interested but he’s on a strict diet of carrots and no internet.

    Gaelic Warrior Gold Cup Winner 2026

    #496659
    Avatar photoFormath
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    • Total Posts 1451

    Ned Stark +2.5
    Daneking -1, debit 2
    Zara Zest -2, debit 5

    Newbury
    2.05 Dell’ Arca
    2.40 The Paparazi Kid
    Wolverhampton
    5.55 Badr Al Badoor

    #496668
    Avatar photoelcartero
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    • Total Posts 861

    Welcome back to Ward 7, Formath…its been very quiet in here for quite a while since MrE and Billion were wheeled out.

    Powered by Linux

    #496678
    Avatar photoFormath
    Member
    • Total Posts 1451

    Just a thought – if you don’t like my selections you could Google Totesport then tipping for Racing Post advice, select the one from each column tipped up the most. Keep to my basic guidelines for selection and you should be OK.
    Newbury
    1.30 Unique De Cotte
    2.40 Sound Investment
    Doncaster
    2.30 Big Water (I am adding this to my selections for the day)
    Wolverhampton
    5.55 Majeyda

    #496800
    Avatar photoFormath
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    • Total Posts 1451

    Just the Principal meeting Newbury today and will catch with the results table later.

    12.20 Carrigmoorna Rock
    12.50 Turn Over Sivola
    1.50 Exitas
    2.25 More Of That
    3.00 The Druids Nephew, Djackadam, Annacotty, Smad Place (too many runners for the system so just for interest).
    3.35 Monetaire

    #496804
    Avatar photoFormath
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    • Total Posts 1451

    If money talks, these were beingbacked on Befair at 10.30.

    Newbury

    Carrigmoorna Rock
    Tara Road
    Dushrembrandt
    Hammersly Lake
    Cole Harden
    Smad Place
    Monetaire

    #496805
    Avatar photoFormath
    Member
    • Total Posts 1451

    If money talks, these were beingbacked on Befair at 10.30.

    Newbury

    Carrigmoorna Rock
    Tara Road
    Dushrembrandt
    Hammersly Lake
    Cole Harden
    Smad Place
    Monetaire

    #497064
    Avatar photoFormath
    Member
    • Total Posts 1451

    Had problems with internet access for a couple of days :cry: .

    Plumpton
    1.40 Cannon Fodder
    Wolverhampton
    3.30 Uncle Bernie

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