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Nobody managed to land the Scoop 6 last weekend and the win fund currently stands at a huge £518,617 with the bonus fund at £222,265.
A number of syndicates will be going for glory with the sums on offer this Saturday but lets see if we can stop them in their tracks with our Scoop 6 Select!
2.05 Newbury – Scintillo was very impressive when winning the Winter Derby holding of Premio Loco last month imo and he could well have a fitness edge over some of today’s rivals. He should prove a difficult opponent for favourite Spanish Moon. Sir Michael Stoute’s runner does look tough to beat on form and it’s very hard to see him finishing outside the first 3 after a recent pipe opener. A repeat of his effort in the Group 1 Dubai Sheema Classic would make him very hard to beat.
2.35 Newbury – A decent quality handicap here but with 25 runners going to post, it looks almost impossible. John Gosden’s Charm School is worth another chance after his slightly disappointing run in the Lincoln last month. He probably didn’t have the best of draws that day and stayed on well to finish 8th. Zaahid ran a big race to finish 2nd that day but he’s up another 3lbs and is opposable off 99. The unexposed Manassas is probably also worth keeping on the right side of after the improved form he showed to win the Spring Mile at Doncaster. He’s up 5lbs for that victory but that doesn’t look harsh.
2.50 Ayr – The Scottish Champion Hurdle features a number of horses that have been on the go for a long time. It may pay to look for a fresh runner and I quite like the profile of Nicky Richards’ Noble Alan. He disappointed behind Sentry Duty at Ascot but his pull in the weights should seem him finish closer to that rival and it looks like they have kept him off the track since with this target in mind. 16/1 looks good value. Of those at the head of the market, Medermit would be the one most likely to run his race.
3.10 Newbury – I don’t often get heavily involved in fillies races because the form doesn’t always hold up but I do like the look of Mick Channon’s Lahaleeb. She’s a Group 2 winner and has also won over course and distance. There are a number of unexposed fillies in the line up but Daryl Holland’s mount certainly sets the standard.
Sir Michael Stoute has a healthy 20.3% strike rate at Newbury and Purissima is worth consideration. She won very nicely at Warwick before disappointing at Newmarket but that race could well have come too soon.
3.25 Ayr – There are a number of trends we can use to narrow down the Scottish National field.
Oppose any runners that competed in this season’s Aintree Grand National.
7 of the last 10 winners finished 1st, 2nd or 3rd last time out.
7 of the last 11 winners have been eight year olds.
Only 2 winning favourites in the last 10 years (one of which was a joint favourite).
Trainer Ferdy Murphy has won 3 of the last 9 renewals.
8 of the last 11 winners were 1st or 2nd season chasers.
9 of the last 10 winners had unseated or fallen less than twice previously.
The one that makes most appeal using this approach is Ferdy Murphy’s Nine De Sivola. Murphy has a great record here and the horse fits the majority of the key trends. Merigo is a worthy alternative if the rain continues to fall between now and post time. The more of a slog it turns into, the better for the chances of Timmy Murphy’s ride.
3.45 Newbury – Lord Shanakill makes a lot of appeal for me in this Group 3 contest. He was a model of consistency last season and finished 2nd in the Group 1 Dewhurst in his final start, just ahead of Marcus Tregoning’s Finjan. It’s likely to be another close contest between the pair of them today but I think Karl Burke’s runner is a tougher sort and can be victorious again.
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Lord Shanakill doesn’t run, Mabbs – he was taken out of the race this morning due to running a temperature.
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