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Beverley D Stakes

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  • #1555459
    Avatar photosporting sam
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    • Total Posts 16526

    Arlington park
    1049
    Beverley D Stakes

    £175k to the winner

    I’m no expert on us racing.
    (Evidenced by the fact I’ve listed it as Saratoga.) or any racing for that matter.
    This race has seven runners and from what I can make of it four principles.

    Ryan Moore is here again and won onboard last time in the US a shade cosily, albeit after getting into a fix.
    The key elements here concern pace, form, weight, trainer’s race record and the application of Lassix
    Mean Mary
    Naval Laughter
    Lemista
    Santa Barbara

    Both the above (in bold) receive Lassix for the first time.
    This is significant due to its dramatic effect on the horses as witnessed by the form defying performances by AP O’Briens trio in the Breeder’s cup.
    Lassix gives first time horses a huge advantage over those already on it.
    The trainer Chad Brown has won this race six times including the last five, which puts his horse at the front of the queue here. By all accounts the rest of the field are already on Lassix.
    In pecking order
    This looks to be a straight battle between
    Lemista and Santa Barbara
    With Mean Mary taking third ahead of Naval Laughter.
    Probably the reverse forecast
    And two Trifectas ( as described above)
    The other crucial element is weight allowance.
    Relative Juvenile Santa Barbara gets a 8lb pull so added to the Lassix is well in here and really should place( at least 1st or second) if kept handy just off the pace.

    #1555786
    Avatar photosporting sam
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    • Total Posts 16526

    Arlington 1049
    Lemista
    Santa Barbara
    Mean Mary
    Trifecta

    Santa Barbara
    Lemista
    Mean Mary
    Trifecta

    Santa Barbara win

    #1555981
    Avatar photosporting sam
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    • Total Posts 16526

    Disappointing when you get the first three correct and don’t collect.
    Santa Barbara was always going to win this with weight allowance and first time Lassix.
    Lateral thinking and the correct call needed to be a banker tricast.

    Ho hum the winner anyway.
    The question is with the 8lbs of free energy was Lassix really needed?
    You could see the other horses bar three hit the wall at the extent of their Lassix range late on.
    There is an air of surreal around this racing. A bit like watching the men’s Olympic 100 metres final.

    #1556044
    Avatar photoThe Tatling Cheekily
    Blocked
    • Total Posts 2723

    Why didn’t Santa Barbara have Lasix in her penultimate run in the good ol’ yoo ess eh?

    BUY THE SUN

    #1556116
    Avatar photosporting sam
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    • Total Posts 16526

    I don’t know.
    I would guess the opposition were not that strong. If you watch that race you can actually see the moment most of the field hit “the wall”.

    #1556762
    Mincamus
    Participant
    • Total Posts 221

    Lasix is banned from NYRA stakes races TTC

    #1556783
    Avatar photosporting sam
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    • Total Posts 16526

    Thank you for clearing that up.
    Santa Barbara got on ok there without it.
    The specific reason I can see is to,1. be on a level playing field and 2.take advantage of the clear ( clear and immediate) boost over horses already on it.

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