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HDB said in the racing post today that APT will pretty much be going here although id imagine that changes if he wins again at 2 miles! They would have to fancy there chances (hope he comes a very strong 3rd!)
Sorry Jack, I just seen your reply about Cadmium. I’m hopeful with him, and I’m convinced that The Topham run was not one of a handicapper.
Good luck with Voix Du Reve. I’m a fan of him as well, and I was expecting him in The Thyestes. He’s better than he’s shown recently, and that’s a fair bet.
A Plus Tard still my main hope, and though not as big a profit margin as with some of the other races, I still had some wiggle room for one more, so
I’ve added Politologue.The price I got suggests there’s either an issue, or he’s Champion Chase bound, but I had to take it. Nicholls can get a wee bit extra out of this type, so I’d love to see him head here.
Politologue 240’s
A Plus Tard 5/1 NRNB is a right bet. Beat CPS easily enough at a distance short of his best and Cheltenham course form is massive.
This is his target and if you look through the potential field it’s hard to see three horses that would push this beast out of the frame.Min did nothing for me on Sunday, jumping wasn’t great and his Durkan win hasn’t exactly worked out. Think he’ll probably lead APT most of the way and APT will come by him after the second last.
Ridersonthestorm is a good progressive horse which NTD has done an excellent job with but he’s still needing to improve to win this and Ascot next weekend isn’t an ideal prep for this.
If altior bolts up tomorrow I will be hovering over the 10/1 defi du seuil for this
“But while Hobbs was impressed, it is Altior who will have a bigger impact on Defi Du Seuil’s target. He said: “Chacun Pour Soi ran very well but we’ll watch Altior this weekend as well, that’s the important thing really. We’ll see what happens on Saturday and then decide which race we go for.””
Have had a fiver on defi for this on the exchange at 16.5
Worth throwing away a fiver at that price imo
I was undecided about this race, but had been looking at Hardline. Oddschecker is showing a lot of blue, so I’m wondering if he is the Pricewise selection.
I’ve decided to bet him just now, and I took 50/1 ew
The last of my unlikely NRNB horses (for now) is Voix du Reve at 66-1 ew. Soundly put in his place by Real Steel amongst others this season, not very big, makes a hatful of mistakes, tried to run out on his last start, probably not got the engine to be absolutely top class anyway even if he was a reliable jumper. Sounds appealing huh?
But he was Ruby’s first choice in the JLT last year and spring ground (possibly the reason for not being declared tomorrow) could help.Couldnt have riders onThe storm after that at all
He was gonna be beat by traffic fluide before the fall and probably had a very hard race
Jockey of Traffic Fluide said the fall at the last was because he was tired and he wasn’t sure if he would’ve won. Also ROTS served it up to Cyrname from about 6 furlongs out and on that ground no wonder he was getting legless coming to the last. If he is over that in time, that’s the big if, he is a Ryanair player.
I don’t actually think that Voix Du Reve will win today, he’s looked like a Handicap “job” all year, but I couldn’t leave the 330’s alone here.
Cadmium 130’s
Politologue 240’s
Voix Du Reve 330’sLove Frodon, but his ability seems fully exposed and if either A Plus Tard or Min show their form it’s extremely difficult to see him being good enough… And at his best (in last year’s race) is only a 1 1/4 lengths better horse than today’s rank outsider Aso. Latter has run two poor races this term, but Cheltenham suits him far better than flat right-handed tracks. If Aso gets any bigger in the market I’ll be taking a chance; although this looks a better race than 2019.
I like the progressive Ridersonthestorm as a horse, but he had a very hard race last time out and stable could be in better form. Had a good win last year on Duc De Gen’ but he’s been very disappointing since. Saint Calvados has been transformed from a runnaway 2 mile chaser in to a hold up 2 1/2 mile horse. Almost won the (new) Paddy Power handicap under 11-8; beaten a nose. Only a seven year old and could yet improve – needs to. Shattered Love won the 2018 Marsh/JLT but has been inconsistant since and shouldn’t be good enough even at her best.
For me – unless something happens with too much pace – this looks between A Plus Tard and Min. Toss up between the two as to who the main and saver bets are. Main: Just gone for the progressive A Plus Tard 15/8 from the bang in form Henry De Bromhead. Saver: Min 5/2 who is (at the moment) possibly the better horse but (although has some good runs at the Festival – particularly second to Altior) hasn’t been that consistent here… And am not 100% convinced will stay 2 1/2 in a strongly run race on soft ground on a stiff track.
Value Is EverythingMixed feelings about taking the early profit on A Plus Tard at 25’s, but still have him going in a few Multis at 20’s, so I’ll still be cheering him on.
It’s The Ryanair, so I don’t mind having two.
I’ll add Frodon for sure if he gets bigger, and although her limitations have been exposed, Shattered Love at 28’s is interesting.
I find plus tard a bit short in t(e market for me. Nothing came out of the close brother s race last festival to set the world alight so it’s largely based on his last run. Is that enough for the price?
Frodon makes more sense. Didn’t Nichols state that he’s going to come on a lot for kempton?
Frodon had ulcers which is why his first two runs were poor apparently
Nicholls will have him at his best today hopefully
I’d be against min and ridersonthestorm after both had such hard races last time
For me the main trend so far this week has been having a fresh horse is the way to go
So a plus tard or frodon for me, at the prices I went with frodon
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