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Wow, just saw this – another stunning analysis and a real heartbreaker to have that villain Eastlake do you. Spent an hour on this last night and had a few quid on Cold March with various savers. Looked at every race on the basis of good ground and Cold March – rare I know for the trainer – wants proper good ground. Very, very unlucky, Zark
Hope TAPK backed Eastlake @ 33/1, one he usually follows over the cliff.
Actually, he’ll probably be on in a minute claiming 70 “on the machine”.
Well I hate to put a spanner in Zarks excellent preview Ginge but you know I did…33/1 was an insult for a horse who should have won the Grand annual round there,his victory at Aintree this year alone gave him e/w chances,he’s won this bloody race before..Need I go on? You will be shocked to know just how much I had on him though…A Tenner!
Cold March also ran in this last year off 150 – now rated 145. He ran last year after 2 prep runs + may have been tired. He was off the bridle a long way out but finished strongly. Comes into the race off the back of only 1 prep this year. If you look at Cold March’s first 2 starts off a break of 60+ days, you’ll find all 4 career wins and 4 of his 6 places. He qualifies under a good Venetia Williams system and even gets his preferred ground. I think it’s telling that he still held an entry for the Queen Mother until the late stages of the season. Ran badly time before at Cheltenham over 2m 4f but he was close to the pace that day. He’s 1lb better off with Vaniteux (beaten 1 1/2L by Vaniteux at Ascot), so given how much Venetia Williams’ string improve for their first run, I can’t see Cold March not beating Vaniteux in these conditions. Off 4lb better terms with Keel Haul compared to last year’s running (Keel Haul beat Cold March 1 1/2L last year), and 5lb better off with Owen Na View (Owen Na View beat him by a neck). So I’d expect Cold March to beat Keel Haul and Owen Na View comfortably, and I’d expect him to beat Vaniteux. If you wish to poke holes in his form, all his wins have been RH, but he’s only run LH twice, both times at Cheltenham (P6) but had excuses both runs. If he runs badly in this, I think it’s fair to conclude that he either doesn’t like Cheltenham or going LH. Has strong claims.
Well it came 3 weeks later but Cold March did the business today at 6/1.
I hope you were on Cold March Zark, 6/1 seems pretty generous. I was out most of the afternoon,
and missed Cogry, who I’ve banging on about for a while. He reverts to hurdles today at Cheltenham,
just as well as he can’t jump, and scoots in at 9/2…..buggeri was in same boat bigG was out all day with missus and missed cold march. who i tipped up last time. didnt even know he was running gutted
i was in same boat bigG was out all day with missus and missed cold march. who i tipped up last time. didnt even know he was running gutted
Well that’s our bad luck done for 2017 lionroars, the rest of the year should be plain sailing from now on
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