Topic: Question for tha racing media

This topic has 190 replies, 46 voices, and was last updated 17 years, 2 months ago by Gingertipster.

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November 27, 2008 at 22:03 #192609
Gingertipster
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O.K.
Here is my 100% book (prices to beat) on the 2:40 at Newbury tomorrow. If there is significant rain there will be changes. For example Bob Bob Bobbin and Portland Bill’s chance would increase, the two Henderson horses decrease.
Prices are for soft going.
Kings Brook 0.5% 200/1 (66/1) SP 100/1
Portland Bill 4% 25/1 (16/1) SP 20/1
Loulou Nivernais 2.5% 40/1 (25/1) SP 66/1
Charles Future 3% 33/1 (22/1) SP 16/1
Alright Now M’Lord 6% 16/1 (13/1) SP 14/1
Briery Fox 14.25% 6/1 (11/2) SP 11/2
Aztec Warrior 3% 33/1 (22/1) SP 11/1
Bob Bob Bobbin 1.5% 66/1 (33/1) SP 14/1
Double Dizzy 20% 4/1 (100/30) SP 5/1
Chiaro 6.75% 14/1 (11/1) SP 16/1
Appleaday 5% 20/1 (14/1) SP 7/1
Jean Le Poisson 10.5% 17/2 (7/1) SP 8/1
High Oscar 13.5%13/2 (11/2) SP 10/1
Pepsybrook 9% 9/1 (8/1) SP 5/1
Double Dizzy and High Oscar currently available at 5/1 and 9/1 look the best bets now. Would be the two in particular I would expect to shorten. Though both are ridden by conditionals which some punters are put off by.
Pepsyrock looks good too (14/1 available at time) but it’s his reappearance, for a new stable, on jockey bookings looks the second string and may not be suited by a test if there is (as seems) a lot of rain. So is difficult to quantify.
Prices in brackets are my prices plus a relative mark up so as you can judge it against a bookmakers price.
Mark
The Ginger Preacher
Value Is Everything
November 27, 2008 at 22:05 #192611
Gingertipster
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I expect Ginge that your reputation as the king of the percentages meant people were reluctant to challenge you on it!

Mark
Value Is Everything
November 27, 2008 at 22:13 #192613
Fist of Fury 2k8
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O.K.
Here is my 100% book (prices to beat) on the 2:40 at Newbury tomorrow. If there is significant rain there will be changes. For example Bob Bob Bobbin and Portland Bill’s chance would increase, the two Henderson horses decrease.
Prices are for soft going.
Kings Brook 0.5% 200/1 (66/1) SP 100/1
Portland Bill 4% 25/1 (16/1) SP 20/1
Loulou Nivernais 2.5% 40/1 (25/1) SP 66/1
Charles Future 3% 33/1 (22/1) SP 16/1
Alright Now M’Lord 6% 16/1 (13/1) SP 14/1
Briery Fox 14.25% 6/1 (11/2) SP 11/2
Aztec Warrior 3% 33/1 (22/1) SP 11/1
Bob Bob Bobbin 1.5% 66/1 (33/1) SP 14/1
Double Dizzy 20% 4/1 (100/30) SP 5/1
Chiaro 6.75% 14/1 (11/1) SP 16/1
Appleaday 5% 20/1 (14/1) SP 7/1
Jean Le Poisson 10.5% 17/2 (7/1) SP 8/1
High Oscar 13.5%13/2 (11/2) SP 10/1
Pepsybrook 9% 9/1 (8/1) SP 5/1
Double Dizzy and High Oscar currently available at 5/1 and 9/1 look the best bets now. Would be the two in particular I would expect to shorten. Though both are ridden by conditionals which some punters are put off by.
Pepsyrock looks good too (14/1 available at time) but it’s his reappearance, for a new stable, on jockey bookings looks the second string and may not be suited by a test if there is (as seems) a lot of rain. So is difficult to quantify.
Prices in brackets are my prices plus a relative mark up so as you can judge it against a bookmakers price.
Mark
The Ginger Preacher
Can I have 500 euros EW on Alright Now M’Lord 16/1 please?
November 27, 2008 at 22:16 #192616
Gingertipster
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ginge how long does it take you to work out a race with the system you use..
KJ,
To do a race like the above one would usually take around 1hr 30 mins. (class 3 or 4 handicap). The two novice chases took 15 to 20 mins (12:55) and 30 to 35 mins (2:05). The better quality a race is the easier I find it to work out (also of course the fewer runners).
The system Sean was talking about takes 5 mins because it is not my working out I use but the bookies odds compilers.
Value Is Everything
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