Home › Forums › Big Races – Discussion › Punchestown Festival 2021
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sporting sam.
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- April 30, 2021 at 18:00 #1538780
I want Gaillard Du Mesnil to win, having bet him for Cheltenham next year, but having a small interest on N’Golo at 16’s
April 30, 2021 at 18:14 #1538784Gaillard du Mesnil is a bit mental, didn’t look settled today either. But he’s still only 5. So is Ganapathi who was trying hard when he came down…he was Townend’s choice in the County and I wonder if he was one of the ones that wasn’t at full power there. Ie…still well handicapped!
April 30, 2021 at 18:21 #1538787I’d agree Greenasgrass, Ganapathi is one to take into next season.
14/1 looks like a fair price to me in the next for It Came To Pass
April 30, 2021 at 18:45 #1538791Bob and co really shouldve won that by further
Maxwell is weaker in a finish than rab havlin
Fair play to him though, deserves a big winner for the money he puts in
April 30, 2021 at 18:54 #1538793Really pleased for him, proper amateur and it likely means more to him than Patrick Mullins bunging another trophy on the shelf.
April 30, 2021 at 18:55 #1538794My last one today thankfully is Grand Bornand at 25/1 ew
April 30, 2021 at 18:57 #1538796I’m sticking with my strange wee pal El Barra at 12s ew
April 30, 2021 at 19:17 #1538801Had never been fully convinced by Honeysuckle, but her last 3 runs have been superb. Her jumping was a bit erratic today, made her win even more praiseworthy.
April 30, 2021 at 19:32 #1538805Well played again Grass
April 30, 2021 at 20:01 #1538816Thanks Bobby, knew he had it in him! Jockey kept it nice and simple and the omitted hurdles help front runners too. I was just hoping for a decent stride at the last which he got.
I stopped on the way home from work half a mile up the road by the entrance to a driveway to watch it but didn’t get to listen to the post race analysis cos the people came home and gave me a look like I was casing their house so I scuttled off home.
April 30, 2021 at 20:37 #1538830Last jumps bet of the season
The shunter off 143 in a handicap hurdle after jogging up off 140 and running a huge race in a grade 1 over fences
6/1 will do me very nicely
May 1, 2021 at 00:12 #1538871I said on the first post of the that I was hoping Regal Encore would turn up, but I wasn’t confident. Was so happy when I seen him in the entries, and I was refreshing on Oddschecker all afternoon looking for the early show. He opened 16’s, and I took a good swing at it. I had decided if he did turn up, he’d be one of my biggest bets of the season. I was hoping for 10’s, but I couldn’t believe the 16’s. I will go bananas if he wins.
Like Regal Encore, Neverushacon is a proper old favourite. He’s too short at the moment, but he’ll certainly be permed in, and I’d love him to hit 4’s. He was much better last time, and he must go very close.
The 1630 is a cracker as well, and for all they hold no secrets, I’m not deserting Ten Ten and Scoir Mear. Ten Ten hasn’t quite achieved what I thought he would, but he’s ran well enough, and I can’t desert him at 11’s. Scoir Mear has had a great year, and the current 14’s is too big, though I’m holding off for bigger.
In the 1740, I’ll be with Irregularheartbeat, who impressed me last time, but after the 1705, I’ll be needing a lie down.
Quite simply, that 1705 is the toughest race I’ve seen this season, though it usually is most years.
There’s twenty four runners, and I have seventeen of them having a live chance. It’s insane how good this race is.
Mullins takes this race very seriously, and it’s hard to look away from his, but I’m trying my hardest.
I’ve came down on Power of Pause and Sayo of his, while On Eagles Wings is also high on the shortlist. I’m betting him along with De Name Escapes me. I’ll bet one of the Mullins pair, and go three handed.
Colm Quinn BMW – Regal Encore 16’s
Porterstown – Scoir Mear
Porterstown – Ten Ten 11’s
Baroneracing Hurdle – De Name Escapes Me
Baroneracing Hurdle – On Eagles Wings
Mares Hurdle – IrregularheartbeatPossibles
Neverushacon
Power of Pause
Sayo
Some Day SoonMay 1, 2021 at 01:47 #1538953The shortened version of my DLAP rabbitting
2.15 Josies Orders ew- jockey could be better than you think
2.50 Dromore Lad ew- not just a mudlark
3.20 Concertista load up now, she won’t be odds against tomorrow
4.00 Quilixios
4.30 Myth Buster ew, still could turn out to be quite good.
5.05 Power of Pause, Ciel de Neige, Dandy Mag prob also add Bleu Berry . All ew. Get stuck into the first two before they shorten, they’re 22s and 18s now. Mullins your only man. Will school his nephew in how to win a handicap. Watch Crack Mome if it gets in – Galway hurdle winner 2021??
5.40 ?Klassy Kay? ?Moonball?
6.10 Golden Wonders + Kilbarry Chianti for an ew interest.Good luck all.
May 1, 2021 at 10:57 #1539028Been a tough week for winners for me, only for places keeping my head above water id’d be well drowned by now
.
Excited for todays racing though. Lots of open looking racing for me with nice prices and plenty of enhanced ew terms
.2.15 Hurricane Darwin, Unseated rider last time over these banks but previously has run really well with a few 2nds,4ths and a 5th. Has had a recent run at the track over hurdles where he ran really well and i think 16/1 4 places with bet365 very fair.
2.50 Chavi Artist
Interesting they step this horse up markedly in trip, doesn’t seem the most obvious of moves but Tom and Tony Mullins both tend to have their handicappers in the right races in the big handicaps in Ireland so i’m guessing this has been the plan.
2 of his 3 career wins have come at this course and Jack Foley who was on for his November win here returns. 16’s widely available again 5 places ew.3.20
My Sister Sarah
Has been a good mare for Mullins but not in the same class as some of his bigger named wondermares. Had a wind op prior to her Cheltenham run where she ran well to finish 5th albeit well beaten but Bryan Cooper i feel didn’t give her the greatest ride he has ever given and with a bit of luck today she could be a lot closer to Concertista, 12/1 ew.4.00
Saint Sam
Well beaten behind Zanahiyr and Quilixios earlier in the season but i think he can turn the tables today. Brilliant performance to finish 2nd to Jeff Kidder giving him a stone in the Fred Winter and he’s won a grade 2 since.
Quilixios and Zanahiyrs trainers are having horrendous weeks so couldn’t be backed at the prices and Willies horse that ran well in the triumph is silly short.
10/1 ew4.30 Popong
Had every chance of getting involved on handicap debut when falling over a trip i think is short for her, step up in trip today will help and some of her form from her novice chases early in the year makes her look well treated, Colreevy only beat her 15 lengths(crazy to say only but she’s a 160+ horse), she beat rapid response who won yesterday,was close up with a Wave of the sea(Won handicap at Drf), Polished Steel(Fell the other day 2 or 3 out when leading) and Zarkareva(not boosted form since) but generally she looks well handicapped especially if as i suspect the trip brings about more improvement. Big issue is the form of the yard but i still think she’s worth a bet ew at 13/2. Hard to see her out of the 5 even allowing for the trainers form.5.05 Sayo
A fiercely competitive looking handicap but Sayo, a horse that keeps running a decent race in big field handicaps without getting seriously involved due to interference/being a bit of a quirkbag is my ew pick.
Needs to come with one sweeping run so needs plenty of luck but i’m giving him another chance and hopefully Rachel can perform some magic for Willie and get another owner on Willies list of winnners for this week.May 1, 2021 at 12:53 #1539077A disaster of a day yesterday, not even a place. However I’m still up overall on Punchestown even with no bets yet returned today and them all already placed. That has to be a good week, and I have a day of horse racing and beer to look forward to already in the profit. Then, over the next few days, I’m starting a new spreadsheet for tracking bets, seeing as I feel I’ve earned a fresh start with a new focus on the game (and a new season.) I just have to hope Racing TV give me an offer when I go back to them in August.
2.15 Josies Orders 8/1 ew 4 places
2.50 Young Dev 9/1 ew 4 places
3.20 Minella Melody 16/1 ew 3 places
4.00 Jeff Kidder 20/1 ew 3 places
4.30 Fag An Bealach 7/1
5.05 Lady Breffni 10/1 ew 4 places
5.40 Rebel Early 18/1 ew 4 placesMay 1, 2021 at 13:45 #1539095Last day, hopefully some luck.
2:50 Flinck 12/1 EW
3:20 Burning Victory 11/1
4:00 Quilixios 2/1
4:30 Mythbuster 25/1 EW
5:05 Tronador 16/1 EWMay 1, 2021 at 13:48 #15390992 winners yesterday so I’ll throw a few sheckles at the last day
2.50 Dounikos , won has won here at 3m 4 in sim conditions , much has been made of stable form but I still reckon there,s a good hcap in him , played e.w
3.20 Concertista will win , be interested how far burning victory is behind her
16.00 Quilixios , think he,s a cracking price as i think he,ll be even better on this ground
16.30 Brahma bull has all the weight but his has some lovely form inc a 2nd behind minella Indo this season , I can’t see him being out the first 4 , at bigger roaring bull is very in and out but a good stayer on his day , both e.w
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