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  • #1459
    kersly
    Member
    • Total Posts 949

    More time at the moment.<br>The basic idea……. study the cards to find horses that competed in races worth more than todays(at least £1500)check class of previous race -must be same or lower class,finally check that the horse finished within a reasonable distance to the winner.

    Todays basic selections

    2.20 Folk-E Hcp-£3484<br>Double M-D Hcp-£5616-3rd of 18-btn0.75,nk<br>Hard To Catch-D Hcp-£5421-1st of 10-won<br>Law Maker-D Mdn-£5574-4th of 14-btn2.75,hd<br>———————————————————————–<br>3.50 Folk-E-£3494<br>Spring Jim-B-£21795-7th of 21-btn 5l<br>———————————————————————–<br>4.50 Folk-E Mdn-£3601<br>Appetina-D Mdn-£5499-5th of 12-btn 6l,hd<br>Whitsbury Cross-D Mdn-5th of 17-btn 6l,nk<br>————————————————————————<br>To save time the following also qualify using the same criteria<br>7.00 Windsor<br>Johannian<br>Pango<br>_____________________________________________<br>7.30 Windsor<br>Glimmer of Light<br>Todlea<br>————————————————————————<br>8.00 Windsor<br>Seven No Trumps<br>————————————————————————<br>8.15 Ponte<br>Chorist<br>————————————————————————<br>8.45 Ponte<br>Online Investor<br>————————————————————————9.15 Ponte<br>Bollin Edward<br>————————————————————————<br>A basic idea which may be open to more filters.Food for thought?

    Good Luck

    #53874
    RichNFord
    Member
    • Total Posts 252

    Cracking result in the first!!! I see the time of your post was after the race though – was it that result which gave you the idea or was it something you were working on anyway?

    Either way, will watch the other races with much interest.

    Be Lucky!

    Rich<br>

    (Edited by RichNFord at 3:31 pm on June 7, 2004)

    #53876
    kersly
    Member
    • Total Posts 949

    Have been noting this for a while now,it has thrown up some good winners just put it up as food for thought,I’ve no financial interest at the moment.The fact that it was posted at 3.17 it first chance to get to my computer today.<br>There may be filters which could improve it.

    Its a case of wait and see

    #53878
    kersly
    Member
    • Total Posts 949

    One point win on each selection yesterday gave 14 points staked with 13.57 returned.

    Further filters may well improve the results.Todays selections are horses that have been beaten less than 3 lengths or less<br>Todays selections must be…<br>1.Previous race worth £1500 more than todays<br>2.Class of todays race must be the same as or lower than last race.<br>3.Horse to have finished 3 lengths or less from the winner.

    The following qualify…also checked other variables-draw postdata gives all relevant info.<br>3.30 Redcar-Summer Shades<br>6.50 Chester-Master Robbie/True Night(both well drawn for Chester)Flying Express(left out because of wide draw)<br>8.50 Chester-Obe One(beware not well drawn I’d give it a miss) <br>5.15 Salisbury-Aonich<br>————————————————————————<br>In the 4.00 Redcar-Beautiful Mover looks strong but todays race doesn’t quite reach the £1500 criteria<br>2.15 Salisbury-Caly Dancer distance should suit but again doesn’t meet the £1500 criteria.

    Maybe the type of race could effect the results?

    Good Luck <br>

    (Edited by kersly at 12:13 pm on June 8, 2004)

    #53879
    dave jay
    Member
    • Total Posts 3386

    Hello Kers, I was thinking about you last night when I was watching the racing. I thought you might have had ‘Ile Facile’ as a selection. Reading through your rules I see why not now.

    Best of luck with this, will be watching with interest,

    Dave.

    #53881
    kersly
    Member
    • Total Posts 949

    Pity Ile Facile didn’t qualify what a price.<br>Four losers yesterday.Just over 4 points down so far.<br>Lets try again

    3.20 Bev-Lauro/Oldenway<br>6.50 Hamilton-College Maid/One Way Ticket<br>8.35 Newbury-Star Sensation<br>9.05 Newbury-Motu

    Time for a winner or two-hopefully

    Good Luck

    #53882
    kersly
    Member
    • Total Posts 949

    Just one winner at 7/2 -a loss of1.5 points.Over the first three days a loss of 5.93 points.

    Thursdays selections…<br>4.30 Yarm-Considine/Siegfrieds Night

    Thats it today<br>kersly

    #53884
    boylee
    Member
    • Total Posts 25

    Hi Kersly, would horses last speed be same as, or very close to horses top speed be any use as a filter.

                                            Barry

                                               

    #53885
    kersly
    Member
    • Total Posts 949

    Hi Barry,<br>Thanks for that. Topspeed had Considine latest 54 and best 54 indicating a horse at his peak or near his peak,Siegfrieds Night had figures of 58-60.Only Ilwadod<br>could match that 63-65.<br>It could well be of some significance.I’ll check.Thanks again

    kersly

    #53887
    kersly
    Member
    • Total Posts 949

    A 3/1 winner yesterday 3.93 points down so far.

    A large number of qualifiers today

    *Last speed figure equal to or very near best figure

    2.35 Sandown-Mister Saif *<br>3.05 Sandown-Juste Pour L’Amour*<br>4.50 Sandown-Girl Warrior/Sand and Stars*

    6.50 Goodwood-Lady Georgina*<br>7.55 Goodwood-Fu Fighter*Mustang Ali*

    7.05 Chepstow-Idealistic*/Goslar*<br>8.45 Chepstow-Hazewind/Tidal*

    4.25 York-Connect*/Watching

    Fingers crossed<br>kersly<br>

    #53889
    kersly
    Member
    • Total Posts 949

    I’ve taken a bit of time out to further analyse these selections and have added  filters to reduce the selections to hopefully the ones who have the best credentials.

    Monday 21st June<br>3.15 Nott-Malibu<br>4.45 Nott-Foley Prince<br>4.00 Muss-Roxanne Mill<br>4.30 Muss-Mickledor

    kersly  

    #53891
    kersly
    Member
    • Total Posts 949

    Poor results yesterday.Further analysis has reduced todays selections.Still using the basic idea

    4.45 Bev-Ballybunion(9 ticks Postdata-Previous race £7083-today£3690.Comments""finished well"

    9.15 N.Abbot-Dinarelli/Lightning Star.<br>Dinarelli-previous 3rd of 9 inD Hcp Hdl £9239 today E Hcp £3504.Comments"headway kept on from last"

    Lightning Star won 9 runner E Hcp Hdl worth £6825 today £3504 E Hcp Hdl.Comment-prominent,led two out driven out"

    Maybe this more structured approach will catch some winners.This idea is very much its formative stage.<br>Any thoughts/comments welcome.

    kersly

    #53892
    kersly
    Member
    • Total Posts 949

    Hopefully will be able to keep this up to date<br>Following helpful suggestions from fellow enthusiasts todays selections

    .30 Worc-Silver Dagger<br>4.30 Worc-Punchy(Nap)

    3.20 Carlisle-True Night

    kersly

    #53894
    kersly
    Member
    • Total Posts 949

    Little success so far.Todays selections using criteria suggested.

    8.05 Hamilton-Celtic Heroine<br>8.35 Hamilton-Midnight Tycoon

    kersly

    #53897
    kersly
    Member
    • Total Posts 949

    Looks like this should be a laying system!

    Today the following meet all criteria including toprated with topspeed and RPR.Short prices .

    7.40 Newm-Tony THe Tap<br>9.10 Newm-Wait For The Will

    kersly

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