June 7, 2004 at 14:17 #1459
More time at the moment.<br>The basic idea……. study the cards to find horses that competed in races worth more than todays(at least Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£1500)check class of previous race -must be same or lower class,finally check that the horse finished within a reasonable distance to the winner.
Todays basic selections
2.20 Folk-E Hcp-Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£3484<br>Double M-D Hcp-Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£5616-3rd of 18-btn0.75,nk<br>Hard To Catch-D Hcp-Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£5421-1st of 10-won<br>Law Maker-D Mdn-Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£5574-4th of 14-btn2.75,hd<br>———————————————————————–<br>3.50 Folk-E-Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£3494<br>Spring Jim-B-Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£21795-7th of 21-btn 5l<br>———————————————————————–<br>4.50 Folk-E Mdn-Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£3601<br>Appetina-D Mdn-Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£5499-5th of 12-btn 6l,hd<br>Whitsbury Cross-D Mdn-5th of 17-btn 6l,nk<br>————————————————————————<br>To save time the following also qualify using the same criteria<br>7.00 Windsor<br>Johannian<br>Pango<br>_____________________________________________<br>7.30 Windsor<br>Glimmer of Light<br>Todlea<br>————————————————————————<br>8.00 Windsor<br>Seven No Trumps<br>————————————————————————<br>8.15 Ponte<br>Chorist<br>————————————————————————<br>8.45 Ponte<br>Online Investor<br>————————————————————————9.15 Ponte<br>Bollin Edward<br>————————————————————————<br>A basic idea which may be open to more filters.Food for thought?
Good LuckJune 7, 2004 at 14:30 #53874RichNFordMember
- Total Posts 252
Cracking result in the first!!! I see the time of your post was after the race though – was it that result which gave you the idea or was it something you were working on anyway?
Either way, will watch the other races with much interest.
(Edited by RichNFord at 3:31 pm on June 7, 2004)June 7, 2004 at 14:57 #53876
Have been noting this for a while now,it has thrown up some good winners just put it up as food for thought,I’ve no financial interest at the moment.The fact that it was posted at 3.17 it first chance to get to my computer today.<br>There may be filters which could improve it.
Its a case of wait and seeJune 8, 2004 at 11:02 #53878
One point win on each selection yesterday gave 14 points staked with 13.57 returned.
Further filters may well improve the results.Todays selections are horses that have been beaten less than 3 lengths or less<br>Todays selections must be…<br>1.Previous race worth Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£1500 more than todays<br>2.Class of todays race must be the same as or lower than last race.<br>3.Horse to have finished 3 lengths or less from the winner.
The following qualify…also checked other variables-draw postdata gives all relevant info.<br>3.30 Redcar-Summer Shades<br>6.50 Chester-Master Robbie/True Night(both well drawn for Chester)Flying Express(left out because of wide draw)<br>8.50 Chester-Obe One(beware not well drawn I’d give it a miss) <br>5.15 Salisbury-Aonich<br>————————————————————————<br>In the 4.00 Redcar-Beautiful Mover looks strong but todays race doesn’t quite reach the Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£1500 criteria<br>2.15 Salisbury-Caly Dancer distance should suit but again doesn’t meet the Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£1500 criteria.
Maybe the type of race could effect the results?
Good Luck <br>
(Edited by kersly at 12:13 pm on June 8, 2004)June 8, 2004 at 17:28 #53879dave jayMember
- Total Posts 3386
Hello Kers, I was thinking about you last night when I was watching the racing. I thought you might have had ‘Ile Facile’ as a selection. Reading through your rules I see why not now.
Best of luck with this, will be watching with interest,
Dave.June 9, 2004 at 10:50 #53881
Pity Ile Facile didn’t qualify what a price.<br>Four losers yesterday.Just over 4 points down so far.<br>Lets try again
3.20 Bev-Lauro/Oldenway<br>6.50 Hamilton-College Maid/One Way Ticket<br>8.35 Newbury-Star Sensation<br>9.05 Newbury-Motu
Time for a winner or two-hopefully
Good LuckJune 10, 2004 at 12:55 #53882
Just one winner at 7/2 -a loss of1.5 points.Over the first three days a loss of 5.93 points.
Thursdays selections…<br>4.30 Yarm-Considine/Siegfrieds Night
Thats it today<br>kerslyJune 10, 2004 at 14:27 #53884boyleeMember
- Total Posts 25
Hi Kersly, would horses last speed be same as, or very close to horses top speed be any use as a filter.
BarryJune 10, 2004 at 18:26 #53885
Hi Barry,<br>Thanks for that. Topspeed had Considine latest 54 and best 54 indicating a horse at his peak or near his peak,Siegfrieds Night had figures of 58-60.Only Ilwadod<br>could match that 63-65.<br>It could well be of some significance.I’ll check.Thanks again
kerslyJune 11, 2004 at 10:55 #53887
A 3/1 winner yesterday 3.93 points down so far.
A large number of qualifiers today
*Last speed figure equal to or very near best figure
2.35 Sandown-Mister Saif *<br>3.05 Sandown-Juste Pour L’Amour*<br>4.50 Sandown-Girl Warrior/Sand and Stars*
6.50 Goodwood-Lady Georgina*<br>7.55 Goodwood-Fu Fighter*Mustang Ali*
7.05 Chepstow-Idealistic*/Goslar*<br>8.45 Chepstow-Hazewind/Tidal*
Fingers crossed<br>kersly<br>June 21, 2004 at 13:36 #53889
I’ve taken a bit of time out to further analyse these selections and have added filters to reduce the selections to hopefully the ones who have the best credentials.
Monday 21st June<br>3.15 Nott-Malibu<br>4.45 Nott-Foley Prince<br>4.00 Muss-Roxanne Mill<br>4.30 Muss-Mickledor
kerslyJune 22, 2004 at 13:47 #53891
Poor results yesterday.Further analysis has reduced todays selections.Still using the basic idea
4.45 Bev-Ballybunion(9 ticks Postdata-Previous race Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£7083-todayÃƒâ€šÃ‚Â£3690.Comments""finished well"
9.15 N.Abbot-Dinarelli/Lightning Star.<br>Dinarelli-previous 3rd of 9 inD Hcp Hdl Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£9239 today E Hcp Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£3504.Comments"headway kept on from last"
Lightning Star won 9 runner E Hcp Hdl worth Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£6825 today Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£3504 E Hcp Hdl.Comment-prominent,led two out driven out"
Maybe this more structured approach will catch some winners.This idea is very much its formative stage.<br>Any thoughts/comments welcome.
kerslyJune 23, 2004 at 13:40 #53892
Hopefully will be able to keep this up to date<br>Following helpful suggestions from fellow enthusiasts todays selections
.30 Worc-Silver Dagger<br>4.30 Worc-Punchy(Nap)
3.20 Carlisle-True Night
kerslyJune 24, 2004 at 12:13 #53894
Little success so far.Todays selections using criteria suggested.
8.05 Hamilton-Celtic Heroine<br>8.35 Hamilton-Midnight Tycoon
kerslyJune 25, 2004 at 12:27 #53897
Looks like this should be a laying system!
Today the following meet all criteria including toprated with topspeed and RPR.Short prices .
7.40 Newm-Tony THe Tap<br>9.10 Newm-Wait For The Will
- You must be logged in to reply to this topic.