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kersly,
It was your thread on pointers that started me posting the ratings method I use from the Racing Post, and I have been following your pointers with interest for the last three months. It is showing a healthy profit on a relatively small turnover, which is no mean feat for any method from a newspaper, and it will be interesting to see how it goes over a longer period of time. Personally, I find it very difficult to confine myself to a small number of bets at shortish odds and I don’t like the blank days, but your selective approach is looking more profitable than my scattergun approach at the moment. I am often tempted to bring in filters to improve profitability, but I don’t want to reduce the quantity of races offering prospective bets.<br>Another factor is that (like yourself), I calculate all returns to SP because this price is always available to a decent sized wager. Most of the horses mentioned(and we use the same sources) are available at bigger odds in the early betting markets and on the exchanges, so I would estimate that your profits(and mine) will be around 10/ 20% higher if these prices were taken.<br>
Wednesday 17th Nov
Hi Artemis-Blank days do occur.There is another blank day today.I record the results to SP-this I feel gives a true reflection.I use Betfair(thankfully not Sporting Options!) and you can definitely improve on SP.I also run the Novice Hurdle idea which keeps the pot boiling(hopefully).Always check your posts with interest.I’m working on other ideas.Time is the enemy If I get chance I’ll post.You are right the Pointers idea hasn’t really stood the test of time as yet although the Novice Hurdle idea has in slightly different formats been successful for the last two years.If I had time I would like to add reasoning to the selections.<br>If I do find time to post further ideas your thoughts would be appreciated.
kersly,
Thursday 18th Nov<br>Couldn’t log on earlier.To keep the record up to date<br> <br>Pointers<br>1.30 Winc-Icarus Dream……..Lost<br>2.20 Hereford-Pink Harbour….Won 5/6
Running Total(+6.82)
kersly
No qualifiers Friday 19th Nov
Saturday 20th Nov<br>Better late than never
Pointers<br>12.45 Aintree-Football Crazy…Lost(2nd)<br>3.05Windsor-Colliers Court……Won 11/10
Running Total(+6.92)
kersly
(Edited by kersly at 3:47 pm on Nov. 20, 2004)
Sunday 21st Nov
Pointers<br>1.25 Plumpton-Eva So Charming….Lost(2nd)<br>2.10 Aintree-Over The Creek……….Won 7/4
Running Total(+7.67)
kersly
(Edited by kersly at 2:39 pm on Nov. 21, 2004)
Hi Kersley
Great to see you in profit for Nov, nice result today.
Wondered if you could let me have an update on your year to date performance as have been off the forums for a few months until about a week ago.
Keep up the good work
All the best<br>
:angry: Monday 22nd Nov
Pointers
3.20 Ludlow-Lord Of Illusion……Won 10/11
Running Total(+8.57)
kersly
Paul hopefully in touch soon
(Edited by kersly at 7:35 pm on Nov. 22, 2004)
Wednesday 24th Nov
Pointers<br>1.05 Chep-Icy Blast………………Lost(2nd)<br>2.35 Weth-Beamish Prince…….Lost(!!!)<br>3.10 Weth-Strong Resolve…….Won 15/8
Running Total(+8.44
kersly
(Edited by kersly at 4:17 pm on Nov. 24, 2004)<br>
(Edited by kersly at 4:18 pm on Nov. 24, 2004)
Hi Paul-Pointers in its present format is in profit by 32.88 points this is over a period of about three months.<br>The results are calculated to SP.Taking early prices or using the exchanges has added a further 8.50 points.Just hoping it can maintain this progress but I realise it can soon go against you in this game.
<br>kersly
Thursday 25th Nov
Pointers<br>1.15 Carlisle-Provocative…….Lost<br>3.45 Uttox-Le Rochelais………Lost
Running Total(+6.44)
kersly<br>
(Edited by kersly at 8:22 pm on Nov. 25, 2004)
Friday 26th Nov
Pointers<br>12.30 Muss-Dolmus………………….Lost(3rd)<br>1.00 Muss-Moor Spirit……………….Lost(2nd)<br>1.40 Bangor-Onyourheadbeit…….Lost
Running Total(+3.44)
kersly
(Edited by kersly at 3:57 pm on Nov. 26, 2004)
Saturday 27th Nov<br>Just got back in time for the 11.50.Late posting.Poor day yesterday.
Pointers<br>11.50 Ling-Kinrande…………….Won 4/1<br>12.40 Newc-Your A Gassman…Won 11/10<br>2.40 Newb-Celestial Gold………Won 9/4
Running Total(+10.79)
kersly<br>
(Edited by kersly at 11:51 am on Nov. 28, 2004)
Sunday 28th Nov<br>Hi Carl-To qualify a horse must f/c 1/1+ in the Racing Post.Follow The Flow was f/c at 4/5.It is up to the individual if they want to include f/c ods on you will have winners but I prefer not to use them.It went with Follow The Flow as it returned 6/4.Alternatively if you have access to the live market make sure it is 1/1+ when you place your bet.<br>Cheers-Ollie
Pointers<br>3.05 Leic-Romany Dream…Lost(2nd-well beat)
Running Total(Nov +9.79)
kersly
(Edited by kersly at 11:47 am on Nov. 28, 2004)<br>
(Edited by kersly at 4:12 pm on Nov. 28, 2004)
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