October 14, 2005 at 11:43 #1729
My System is simple.I concentrate on races where my ratings pinpoint just two horses with solid chances.<br>This is normally the Favourite,and one other horse.<br>The System is to PLACE Bet that "Other" horse at Betfair.<br>Starting bank is Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£400.Stakes will always be 10% of the starting day bank.
<br>Friday [14 October]
DISCO LIGHTS [2.25 Brighton] Fav is Yarqus<br>Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£40 Place @ 1.35
EDAARA [2.35 Newmarket] Fav,Achill Bay<br>Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£40 Place @ 1.44
SUN AND SHOWERS [3.35 Brighton] Fav,Zeeba<br>Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£40 Place @ 1.99
LET IT BE [4.35 Redcar] Fav,Whispering Death<br>Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£40 Place @ 1.65 [Betfair pay 123]<br>October 14, 2005 at 17:29 #60830
Disco Lights [2nd]<br>Edaara [2nd,Dead/Heat]<br>Let It Be [3rd]
Loss on Day:Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£11.20:angry: [Bank:Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£388.80]
All 4 Favourites Won.October 19, 2005 at 11:40 #60831
Wednesday October 19
GREY PLOVER [4.40 Newcastle] Fav is A Thousand Smiles<br>Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£38 Place @ 1.57
EL ALAMEIN [2.20 Nottingham] Fav,Halfwaytoparadise<br>Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£38 Place @ 2.14
BRAVE FIGHT [3.20 Nottingham] Fav,Mortaboard<br>Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£38 Place @ 1.72
SHY GLANCE [4.50 Nottingham] Fav,Ninth House<br>Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£38 Place @ 2.78October 19, 2005 at 17:21 #60832snowmanParticipant
- Total Posts 554
Good luck with this, I’ve had a little play around with BF’s place betting before and never had too much joy, so I wish you well.
I was, however, surprised to see that your ratings pinpointed an unraced 3 yr old (Shy Glance). No criticism intended as I’m aware that in Maiden races, one may go on previous successes of the stable or stable/jockey combination and cost of the horse etc. It’s just that when someone talks of ratings I always think of Form ratings.
Anyway again good luck. :)October 20, 2005 at 07:06 #60833
Thanks for the feedback Snowman
Im quite into stallion stats,and include them in my ratings hence the unraced horses being short listed.<br>Didnt do me much good yesterday though!October 20, 2005 at 11:27 #60834
Placed [1 Non Runner]
Grey Plover [Won]
Loss on Day:Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£54.34:o [Bank,334.46]
No Favourites WonOctober 20, 2005 at 11:35 #60835
ROSLEA LADY [3.25 Brighton] Fav is Sophist<br>Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£33 Place @ 1.73
BARTON FLOWER [2.30 Haydock] Fav,Crow Wood<br>Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£33 Place @ 1.84
BAKHTYAR [5.20 Ludlow] Fav,Dont Ask Me<br>Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£33 Place @ 2.34October 21, 2005 at 11:47 #60836
Barton Flower [2nd]
Loss on Day:Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£38.28:( [Bank,296.18]
No Favourites WonOctober 21, 2005 at 11:53 #60837
ORDNANCE ROW [1.20 Doncaster] Fav is Galactic Star<br>Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£29 Place @ 2.04
DISTINCTIVE VOICE [2.00 Newbury] Fav,Poseidon Adven<br>Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£29 Place @ 1.93
COULD BE ALRIGHT [5.25 Fakenham] Fav,Bonchester Bri<br>Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£29 Place @ 1.88October 24, 2005 at 11:16 #60838
Ordance Row [2nd]<br>Distinctive Voice [3rd]
Profit on Day:Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£28.13]:cheesy: [Bank,324.31]
One Favourite WonOctober 24, 2005 at 11:20 #60839
TILLY"S DREAM [2.40 Lingfield] Fav is Time For Life<br>Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£32 Place @ 2.66
SOUL PROVIDER [3.50 Wolverhampton] Fav,Young Kate<br>Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£32 Place @ 1.94October 28, 2005 at 09:02 #60840ArtemisParticipant
- Total Posts 1736
The main problem with this type of system is that it is difficult for everyone to get the same odds on the exchanges.
There have been a few systems posted here over the last few years that have used exchange odds and indeed bookmaker’s early morning prices. These may be available to the person tracking the system, but may not be available generally.
This doesn’t mean the system is unviable. It just means it is difficult to follow if you are not the main person tracking it.
Even if you state a set of rules for the system, so that everyone knows the selection in advance, results in terms of profit or loss will depend on the time the odds are taken from the exchange(or the bookmaker’s odds).
Using SP as a measure of profit and loss seems fairer but it can easily be argued that most of us(I hope!) only bet at particular odds which we consider fair. SP betting is really an anaethama to anyone who takes betting seriously.
Anyhow, FHL, good luck with your place betting.
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