- This topic has 11 replies, 3 voices, and was last updated 20 years, 6 months ago by
.
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Afternoon
My System is simple.I concentrate on races where my ratings pinpoint just two horses with solid chances.<br>This is normally the Favourite,and one other horse.<br>The System is to PLACE Bet that "Other" horse at Betfair.<br>Starting bank is £400.Stakes will always be 10% of the starting day bank.
<br>Friday [14 October]
FOUR Bets
DISCO LIGHTS [2.25 Brighton] Fav is Yarqus<br>£40 Place @ 1.35
EDAARA [2.35 Newmarket] Fav,Achill Bay<br>£40 Place @ 1.44
SUN AND SHOWERS [3.35 Brighton] Fav,Zeeba<br>£40 Place @ 1.99
LET IT BE [4.35 Redcar] Fav,Whispering Death<br>£40 Place @ 1.65 [Betfair pay 123]<br>
Placed
Disco Lights [2nd]<br>Edaara [2nd,Dead/Heat]<br>Let It Be [3rd]
Loss on Day:£11.20:angry: [Bank:£388.80]
Notes
All 4 Favourites Won.
Wednesday October 19
FOUR Bets
GREY PLOVER [4.40 Newcastle] Fav is A Thousand Smiles<br>£38 Place @ 1.57
EL ALAMEIN [2.20 Nottingham] Fav,Halfwaytoparadise<br>£38 Place @ 2.14
BRAVE FIGHT [3.20 Nottingham] Fav,Mortaboard<br>£38 Place @ 1.72
SHY GLANCE [4.50 Nottingham] Fav,Ninth House<br>£38 Place @ 2.78
Hi FHL,
Good luck with this, I’ve had a little play around with BF’s place betting before and never had too much joy, so I wish you well.
I was, however, surprised to see that your ratings pinpointed an unraced 3 yr old (Shy Glance). No criticism intended as I’m aware that in Maiden races, one may go on previous successes of the stable or stable/jockey combination and cost of the horse etc. It’s just that when someone talks of ratings I always think of Form ratings.
Anyway again good luck. :)
Thanks for the feedback Snowman
Im quite into stallion stats,and include them in my ratings hence the unraced horses being short listed.<br>Didnt do me much good yesterday though!
Placed [1 Non Runner]
Grey Plover [Won]
Loss on Day:£54.34:o [Bank,334.46]
Notes
No Favourites Won
Thursday,October 20
THREE Bets
ROSLEA LADY [3.25 Brighton] Fav is Sophist<br>£33 Place @ 1.73
BARTON FLOWER [2.30 Haydock] Fav,Crow Wood<br>£33 Place @ 1.84
BAKHTYAR [5.20 Ludlow] Fav,Dont Ask Me<br>£33 Place @ 2.34
Placed
Barton Flower [2nd]
Loss on Day:£38.28:( [Bank,296.18]
Notes
No Favourites Won
Friday,October 21
Bets
ORDNANCE ROW [1.20 Doncaster] Fav is Galactic Star<br>£29 Place @ 2.04
DISTINCTIVE VOICE [2.00 Newbury] Fav,Poseidon Adven<br>£29 Place @ 1.93
COULD BE ALRIGHT [5.25 Fakenham] Fav,Bonchester Bri<br>£29 Place @ 1.88
Placed
Ordance Row [2nd]<br>Distinctive Voice [3rd]
Profit on Day:£28.13]:cheesy: [Bank,324.31]
Notes
One Favourite Won
Monday,24 October
Bets
TILLY"S DREAM [2.40 Lingfield] Fav is Time For Life<br>£32 Place @ 2.66
SOUL PROVIDER [3.50 Wolverhampton] Fav,Young Kate<br>£32 Place @ 1.94
Hi FHL
The main problem with this type of system is that it is difficult for everyone to get the same odds on the exchanges.
There have been a few systems posted here over the last few years that have used exchange odds and indeed bookmaker’s early morning prices. These may be available to the person tracking the system, but may not be available generally.
This doesn’t mean the system is unviable. It just means it is difficult to follow if you are not the main person tracking it.
Even if you state a set of rules for the system, so that everyone knows the selection in advance, results in terms of profit or loss will depend on the time the odds are taken from the exchange(or the bookmaker’s odds).
Using SP as a measure of profit and loss seems fairer but it can easily be argued that most of us(I hope!) only bet at particular odds which we consider fair. SP betting is really an anaethama to anyone who takes betting seriously.
Anyhow, FHL, good luck with your place betting.
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