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Hi Guys
I will continue to post on this thread. I am sorry that my previous thread was locked due to measures beyond my control.
Thank you for those people that have sent messages of support it is much appreciated. Will post in the next 10 mins if any selections
Tues 25th Jan
Sedge 2.40 La Perrotine 5/6 Win
Leic 3.20 Once Seen 5/2 Lost
Total = + 22.7 pts
(Edited by paul66 at 9:05 pm on Jan. 25, 2005)
La Perrotine is an excellent selection, it’s today’s bet for me.
Good Luck with it.
Well Done today Paul, I thought Ela Re might win the other race but not confident enough to have a bet on either.
:cool:
Weds 26th Jan
Wetherby 1.25 Tom Fruit 6/4 Win
Total = + 24.2pts
(Edited by paul66 at 1:35 pm on Jan. 26, 2005)
Hi dave
Thanks for your thoughts, interestingly on retrospect I would not have included the second horse as a bet, however I did, but still basically a neutral day.
With any system there will be ups and down, however at the moment it is just flat over the last week. Still needs to be reviewed on 31st Dec!
Nice one,that saved me a bit today,in a bloody hands and whatever race.<br>Cheers and a 15% apology
Thurs 27th Jan
Warwick 1.30 Rosetown 10/3 3rd
Total = + 23.2pts
Seems one step forward one step back one step forward etc etc<br>
(Edited by paul66 at 6:02 pm on Jan. 27, 2005)
Sat 29th Jan
Busy day – must admit these scare me a bit!
Chelt 12.55 Brewster 7/4 2nd
Ayr 1.55 Torkinking 2/1 Win
Ayr 3pm Minster Shadow 5/2 2nd
Total = + 23.2 pts<br>
(Edited by paul66 at 4:23 pm on Jan. 29, 2005)
Either today later, or tomorrow I will do some analysis to review how successful this system is, projected profits etc etc
Disappointed today in not moving forward, but equally not moving back, but we could have made a hat full of points if those two seconds had gone one better.
Still at least using superodds made a bit of cash!<br>
These results include pre posting horeses, as you will see this does not improve the overall results, but will give potentially a better idea of how well the system MAY perform in the future.
Final revised system was started on 13th Oct
Total profit = +35.71pts
Oct = 8.78 pts <br>Nov = 7.45 pts <br>Dec = 4.82 pts <br>Jan = 14.66 pts
Total number of bets = 92
Strike Rate = 53%
Average price = 1.81 (between 7/4 and 15/
Average predicted points per month = 10.2 pts
Placed horses = 77
Strike Rate = 84%
Extrapolated results = 122.4 pts/year
HOWEVER target = 50 pts/year
Therefore target to 31st Dec = 35.34 pts
Longest lossing run = 7
Using the combined system with near miss selections
Total points = +44.21 pts
Total number of bets = 127
Strike rate = 50%
Average price = 1.88 (15/
Average price per month = 12.6 pts
Placed horses = 98
Strike rate = 77%
Longest losing run = 7
SUMMARY
Although the combined system has produced more points, the reduced S/R means that by using randomised statistical analysis this could produce potentially longer losing runs than the normal selections alone.
However I will continue to post both selections and see how they progress and do another report at the end of Feb.
Hope this is some use to those of you that are following the selections, please let me know what you think.
Cheers<br>
Hi Paul, I’m glad you continued posting, despite the slings and arrows .. :biggrin: .. well done!
Your results are vey good and I always nip in to see how you are getting on and what you are up to. Because I think this system is well worth following.
I think your projected profits are reasonably realistic, but I would want to watch it for a season on the flat before getting involved with the hard earned .. on the other hand your average priced winner is relatively low and although profits from October are 37%ish, I doubt that this will be sustained after the Cheltenham Festival. Not meaning to be critical, just my opinion!
Thanks for posting and well done today .. break even is good …. :biggrin:
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