Home › Forums › Big Races – Discussion › Paddy Power Gold Cup 2023
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ep1987.
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- November 13, 2023 at 21:27 #1670407
Sebastopol still for me.
It doesn’t look like the best version of the race in recent years and there’s nothing which jumps off the page really.
But this lad has seemingly been aimed at this after a pipe opener at Kelso 6 weeks ago. Has beaten stage star previously and his recent form makes him a bit of an insult at 40’s! Beat pyramid place and francky du berlais without getting out of 2nd gear in the summer!
Out of 30 jumps and hurdle races he’s won or been placed 19 times!
November 14, 2023 at 04:06 #1670418Sebastopol unlikely to be in contention on soft ground looking at his profile.
November 14, 2023 at 07:08 #1670423True enough Mike. Currently given as Good to soft but a mixture of sunshine and rain in the forecast leading to Saturday.
It’s only been raced on a couple of times this year so the track should be taking it well at this stage you would hope.
November 14, 2023 at 10:01 #1670426I’m a big fan of The Real Whacker but he may need comeback run to put him on so probably placed
I’ve sided with
Unexpected Party
NotlongtillmayTorn and Frayed e/w
VF x
November 14, 2023 at 22:35 #1670471I agree with Yogi about Notlongtillmay… The benefit of a run could prove key
Gaelic Warrior Gold Cup Winner 2026
November 15, 2023 at 04:40 #1670479Both Nicholls winners won after a break (100+ days).
November 15, 2023 at 08:44 #1670483Like with WPM, there’s one thing i wouldn’t worry about and that’s Nicholl’s horses on their first run back. Just got to workout if the horse is BMG or a Frodon. BMG having targets down the line, whereas a horse like Frodon often was sent out to do his business early because they knew he wouldn’t be winning when the big boys came out fit and firing.
In regards to Stage Star given his ownership + his profile i think he’ll be fit and firing for Saturday. They’ll have the Ryanair in their minds etc, but i’d say they will be happy to get this out of the road first.
Still wouldn’t fancy him off 155.
One that i’d half consider at a price if running is Easy As That for Venetia. Handles all the ground it seems, career best on G/S but seems happy to run around in the mud too. Went off 6/4f for a G3 h’cap last March off 142 where he bombed out. A key part of my angle on this horse is not only do they obviously believe he has lbs in hand, but Venetia has been flyyyyying.
Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!November 15, 2023 at 08:53 #1670484“Both Nicholls winners won after a break (100+ days).”
Yes, but would they have won by further or less with a previous run or by the same margin..

Gaelic Warrior Gold Cup Winner 2026
November 15, 2023 at 17:48 #1670536I would like to see The Real Whacker run well, given I have backed him for the Gold Cup. I will probably back him here as well. The drop in distance does not worry me too much.
November 17, 2023 at 18:06 #1670756Main bet Angels Breath at 12s
2nd bet Final Orders 25s –
after finding Foxy Jacks today at 14s, which seemed like a typical Mouse Morris plot job with a 5lb claimer on board, cant help thinking Cromwell might be primed to ping a surprise in this race doing much the same.Best of luck to all
November 17, 2023 at 20:09 #1670768Angels Breath is one of my cliff horses as is Foxy Jacks. I’ll follow you with Final Orders, too, as I’m travelling tomorrow and won’t have much time to look at the race.
November 17, 2023 at 22:20 #1670778It looks like a strong edition. You can basically make a case for every runner. I went for Il Ridoto. With Freddy Gingell claiming five he is running of the same weight as he did last season when in all the same handicaps here at Cheltenham. He is only six so improvement isn’t unlikely. Also added the outsider of the field Black Gerry. He is coming here after two handicaps wins in a row. Those might nog have been the strongest races, but he is a big price for someone who has won four of his last six runs.
Il Ridoto 10/1
Black Gerry 40/1 EW (5 places)November 18, 2023 at 07:41 #1670814Not often a horse wins this on their first run of the reason. Unexpected Party has had a prep race and beat a good horse in Knappers Hill in the process. He’s been backed so I will leave it until the last minute in the hope that he drifts. Happy to leave him alone at 5s.
I’ve already mentioned that this is usually won by a horse with a run under their belt. However, I have a real soft spot for Harper’s Brook. Strong traveller who needs to be played very late but rarely has been. There are plenty of pace angles here and it could be run to suit a late arrival. I’ve talked myself into backing him each way at 16s.
November 18, 2023 at 08:59 #1670817I got a free fiver from Paddy Power for Cheltenham today (does everybody get these or is it just pity freebies for their benefactors?) so put it on Authorized Art ew 5pl. He’s better on better ground, but at least he’s fit and the trip will suit. If you can jump round Galway you can jump round Cheltenham.
November 18, 2023 at 10:33 #1670824Not added to my Stage Star 6-1 ew antepost pick.
If he’s a Ryanair horse he ought to be winning this off 155 and what looks like a manageable weight. Connections of Ryanair winners in their pomp like Allaho etc would fancy their chances off 155 and 11 7 against this lot I would’ve thought. Nicholls reports he’s fresh and ready to win.
November 18, 2023 at 10:42 #1670826Fugitif caught my eye the other week and am sticking with him.
The more I know the less I understand.
November 18, 2023 at 12:47 #1670860Torn & Frayed for me
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