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Crankel.
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- September 29, 2011 at 04:08 #19728
Hi
Was wondering if anyone has any stats on Official SP v Betfair sp.
ie, would Betfair’s SP be lower or higher on average?
Cheers
September 29, 2011 at 15:21 #372459Check this link out. I think this is what you are looking for.
http://www.bettingmarket.com/overround.htm
http://imagicon.info/cat/10-3/1.gif
September 29, 2011 at 15:46 #372462Since 23 April 2011 to the 2.20 at Bangor today the average Offical SP for every winning Hurdler is 6.672 and the average Betfair SP is 8.833.
That’s 572 races in total and includes Deadheats but does not include R4 or Reduction Factors, and course you will need to adjust for commission and any other Betfair charges.
However, things do vary when considering different price ranges and also the odd freak result. I haven’t got time now but will do a proper breakdown for you tommorrow if it helps.
September 29, 2011 at 20:28 #372477Below is from a sample of 9357 races from August 2009 to June 2011. Betfair SP is after 5% deduction
Odds Races Average SP Average Betfair SP
<Evens 1419 0.62 0.66
Evens – <2/1 2180 1.47 1.52
2/1 – <3/1 1956 2.39 2.49
3/1 – <4/1 1342 3.28 3.49
4/1 – <5/1 889 4.24 4.50
5/1 – <10/1 1398 6.35 6.82
10/1 – <20/1 172 12.10 13.24
20/1+ 1 20.00 39.76
Total 9357 2.98 3.17September 30, 2011 at 00:31 #372500That is tremendous information folks.
Thank you all so very much. - AuthorPosts
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