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Nassau 2020

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  • #1494851
    Istabraq
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    • Total Posts 469
    #1495040
    darren83
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    • Total Posts 8409

    TAWKEEL 3/1 i took for me look like she coming over for it

    #1495142
    FinalFurlong91
    Participant
    • Total Posts 6657

    Can definitely see the line of thinking with tawkeel Darren

    She beat the two horses in behind her much easier than they were beaten in the prix de diane

    Once decs are confirmed I will definitely be interested in her

    Will hamdan really run nazeef and tawkeel against each other would be the only question

    #1495143
    Avatar photobotchy1
    Participant
    • Total Posts 6560

    Just backed Nazeef @ 7/2. The other stays in France

    #1495144
    Avatar photoThe Tatling Cheekily
    Blocked
    • Total Posts 2723

    Tawkeel skipping this according to today’s RP.

    BUY THE SUN

    #1495145
    FinalFurlong91
    Participant
    • Total Posts 6657

    Good to know

    Will look for something else tonight as the value should be there before final decs if the fav isn’t running

    #1495147
    Clints
    Participant
    • Total Posts 244

    Nazeef @ 7/2

    I am with you here, although I do always seem to end up on the wrong side of her! Hopefully the Nassau will be a different story!

    #1495149
    Avatar photoNathan Hughes
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    • Total Posts 34569

    Another for Nazeef.
    Speed track will help with the step up in distance. Settle near rear finish late

    Gaelic Warrior Gold Cup Winner 2026

    #1495152
    FinalFurlong91
    Participant
    • Total Posts 6657

    Have come down on magic wand at 5/1 with a saver on fancy blue at 4/1

    With her being by invincible spirit id have enough doubts about nazeef not staying to not want to take her current price

    GL all

    #1495161
    FinalFurlong91
    Participant
    • Total Posts 6657

    I timed that nicely as betfair have now removed tawkeel from the market and cut my two to 9/2 and 100/30

    #1495173
    Mike987654
    Participant
    • Total Posts 328

    I will leave this one alone , this is a very hard race to work out. You have Nazeef stepping up in trip and you have Fancy Blue who beat Alpine Star in the French Oaks and you have Magic Wand who finished 4 1/2 lengths to
    Ghaiyyath.

    #1495181
    Avatar photoThe Tatling Cheekily
    Blocked
    • Total Posts 2723

    I like Magic Wand for this. Racing prominently and keeping out of trouble.

    Anyone remember Lush Lashes in this a few years ago for Napping Jim? Shockingly unlucky.

    BUY THE SUN

    #1495547
    Frenchy15
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    • Total Posts 1427

    One that’s going under the radar for me a bit is One Voice. 3-year-olds have an even better record in this than the Sussex, 14 wins from last 21 races.

    Magic Wand is very short for a horse that can’t win much, Nazeef I’m not sure is crying out for 10F. Guess it depends on how the race pans out, but little short also on that doubt. Lavenders Blue and Queen Power are a little short on ratings and Deidre had the race completely run to suit last season.

    So it looks like it’s the 3-year-olds again. Fancy Blue is the obvious one, but not sure she’s anything amazing to worry too much about, was a below-average winner of the French Oaks and also not that sure about trip, this could be a little too sharp for her.

    So One Voice looks well overpriced as the other 3 year old. Progressive this year, working up though Listed, then winning Grp3 and then might well have won last time out in a Group 2 but for a horrible run up the rail could just not get a gap. Then still finished strong.

    Dosage wise, her profile matches exactly pretty much to the average profile of past winners. The right mix of speed and stamina.

    Little gutted only 8 horses, so will have to go for the win as not a fan of first 2 EW.

    She has to go a prove she belongs at this level, but they have taken their time with her and maybe it’s going to pay off

    One Voice 16/1

    #1495573
    Avatar photojackh1092
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    • Total Posts 3939

    I like her Frenchy, but it’s worth considering the level of race that was. lemista does look useful, but the placed horses are all unlikely to be proper fillies. If she had got the space to run into perhaps she’d have won or just been beat, hard to be sure- is that enough to beat a classic winner?
    Not sure what gives you the definite impression the French Oaks was definitely a poor renewal, peaceful a classic winner in there, alpine star won at ascot easy.

    Twitter: Jackh1092
    Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!

    #1495577
    Frenchy15
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1427

    Well you know me Jack, I like to go on ratings :yes: 110 she got for that, average over the last 12 years is 115 for the French Oaks.

    Not sure it’s enough to beat a classic winner no, but one is 9/4 and the other 16/1.

    I do think the margins these days on the flat are a little tighter and Fancy Blue’s breeding profile isn’t necessarily the perfect one for a quick 10F. Could be the difference, might not be.

    It’s a punt though to be fair, she could finish last in this company, but happy to find out at 16s

    #1495720
    Avatar photoBigG
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    • Total Posts 14504

    I’m with you Frenchy on One Voice I think she is better than the results would suggest. She
    was unlucky last time out, nowhere to go, but jockey looked to have plenty of horse
    under him. I took the 16/1 this morning. I like Fancy Blue a lot, but she had a very hard
    race in France and that might have left it’s mark.

    One Voice 16/1

    #1495733
    Frenchy15
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1427

    Good luck Big G!

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