Home › Forums › Big Races – Discussion › Nassau 2020
- This topic has 22 replies, 11 voices, and was last updated 5 years, 8 months ago by
FinalFurlong91.
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- July 24, 2020 at 18:04 #1494851July 25, 2020 at 18:45 #1495040
TAWKEEL 3/1 i took for me look like she coming over for it
July 26, 2020 at 21:02 #1495142Can definitely see the line of thinking with tawkeel Darren
She beat the two horses in behind her much easier than they were beaten in the prix de diane
Once decs are confirmed I will definitely be interested in her
Will hamdan really run nazeef and tawkeel against each other would be the only question
July 26, 2020 at 21:18 #1495143Just backed Nazeef @ 7/2. The other stays in France
July 26, 2020 at 21:18 #1495144Tawkeel skipping this according to today’s RP.
BUY THE SUN
July 26, 2020 at 21:23 #1495145Good to know
Will look for something else tonight as the value should be there before final decs if the fav isn’t running
July 26, 2020 at 21:36 #1495147Nazeef @ 7/2
I am with you here, although I do always seem to end up on the wrong side of her! Hopefully the Nassau will be a different story!
July 26, 2020 at 21:40 #1495149Another for Nazeef.
Speed track will help with the step up in distance. Settle near rear finish lateGaelic Warrior Gold Cup Winner 2026
July 26, 2020 at 21:50 #1495152Have come down on magic wand at 5/1 with a saver on fancy blue at 4/1
With her being by invincible spirit id have enough doubts about nazeef not staying to not want to take her current price
GL all
July 26, 2020 at 22:21 #1495161I timed that nicely as betfair have now removed tawkeel from the market and cut my two to 9/2 and 100/30
July 27, 2020 at 01:27 #1495173I will leave this one alone , this is a very hard race to work out. You have Nazeef stepping up in trip and you have Fancy Blue who beat Alpine Star in the French Oaks and you have Magic Wand who finished 4 1/2 lengths to
Ghaiyyath.July 27, 2020 at 09:13 #1495181I like Magic Wand for this. Racing prominently and keeping out of trouble.
Anyone remember Lush Lashes in this a few years ago for Napping Jim? Shockingly unlucky.
BUY THE SUN
July 29, 2020 at 14:42 #1495547One that’s going under the radar for me a bit is One Voice. 3-year-olds have an even better record in this than the Sussex, 14 wins from last 21 races.
Magic Wand is very short for a horse that can’t win much, Nazeef I’m not sure is crying out for 10F. Guess it depends on how the race pans out, but little short also on that doubt. Lavenders Blue and Queen Power are a little short on ratings and Deidre had the race completely run to suit last season.
So it looks like it’s the 3-year-olds again. Fancy Blue is the obvious one, but not sure she’s anything amazing to worry too much about, was a below-average winner of the French Oaks and also not that sure about trip, this could be a little too sharp for her.
So One Voice looks well overpriced as the other 3 year old. Progressive this year, working up though Listed, then winning Grp3 and then might well have won last time out in a Group 2 but for a horrible run up the rail could just not get a gap. Then still finished strong.
Dosage wise, her profile matches exactly pretty much to the average profile of past winners. The right mix of speed and stamina.
Little gutted only 8 horses, so will have to go for the win as not a fan of first 2 EW.
She has to go a prove she belongs at this level, but they have taken their time with her and maybe it’s going to pay off
One Voice 16/1
July 29, 2020 at 16:08 #1495573I like her Frenchy, but it’s worth considering the level of race that was. lemista does look useful, but the placed horses are all unlikely to be proper fillies. If she had got the space to run into perhaps she’d have won or just been beat, hard to be sure- is that enough to beat a classic winner?
Not sure what gives you the definite impression the French Oaks was definitely a poor renewal, peaceful a classic winner in there, alpine star won at ascot easy.Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!July 29, 2020 at 16:21 #1495577Well you know me Jack, I like to go on ratings
110 she got for that, average over the last 12 years is 115 for the French Oaks.Not sure it’s enough to beat a classic winner no, but one is 9/4 and the other 16/1.
I do think the margins these days on the flat are a little tighter and Fancy Blue’s breeding profile isn’t necessarily the perfect one for a quick 10F. Could be the difference, might not be.
It’s a punt though to be fair, she could finish last in this company, but happy to find out at 16s
July 30, 2020 at 14:07 #1495720I’m with you Frenchy on One Voice I think she is better than the results would suggest. She
was unlucky last time out, nowhere to go, but jockey looked to have plenty of horse
under him. I took the 16/1 this morning. I like Fancy Blue a lot, but she had a very hard
race in France and that might have left it’s mark.One Voice 16/1
July 30, 2020 at 15:04 #1495733Good luck Big G!
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