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“It must be more than 0.5 pts up though?”
This is Nathan’s NAP thread Sam, me and you are akin to those people in the bookies telling the machine players which numbers to pick on the roulette, before asking for some of the profit when their random number hits, yet never dream of covering your losses the 99% of the time their numbers don’t hit!
LOL good analogy, ben
feel free guys to continue putting your picks
unfortunately I can only keep record of my own, time restraints. and the bad maths make it awkward.A strange selection today as the horse has never run before so experience could count against it but those around it in the betting haven’t put up much in the way of form. The pedigree looks more than half decent and its the only runner of Simcock and only ride for Jamie Spencer this evening which can point to them having expectations at least and already a sea of blue on oddschecker
9/2 (17:30 Wolverhampton) Expert Sniper
-0.5 pts
Charles Darwin to conquer the World
Jeez, must have been half asleep this morning as the horse is called Snipers Eye, not sure where I got Expert Sniper from..
The good news is the horse has been backed into 2/1 fav
Charles Darwin to conquer the World
The bad news is it’s being ridden by Jamie Spencer. While many a horse has its own idea about the game this Jockey is a total different kettle of fish.
Watching him ride is like watching a Tom cruise film. Same storyline for every race, days of thunder, top gun.
Maverick jockey rides differently to everyone else won’t take advice, eventually wins the day but not before he’s lost a ton of races..Another interesting runner here for me is JUNEY whose dam has produced one foal already to win over this trip. I’m going to go each way on that.
For my nap though.
Tiger Beetle
5pm.You are not Spencers biggest fan I take it..
I’m not only in the Spencer fan club… I am the fan club.
Understand fully his critics, he has his own riding way and I like that.
Something about him, Richard Hughes, Carberry that bring style to the saddle, beautiful way of riding. I know I’m in the minority but good to have different takes on things.Charles Darwin to conquer the World
I love him follow off the end of a flat Earth.
I can blow my wad well enough without his help.
I do have a thread dedicated to him though and occasionally put up a winner by him.I’ve just checked that thread out Sam,
hadn’t noticed it before
Spencer wasn’t hard on Snipers Eye at all so I think he could be worth noting if running again soon now hes had a bit of experience, slightly green.Charles Darwin to conquer the World
I don’t normally run it unless I think he has one to win on, I’d be pretty busy if it was a lay system. His horses are terribly underpriced for his win rate. I like him and think he is a good jockey, he rode that one correctly.
I was expecting Muatadel to be about half the odds.. Ok he is a serial loser but so are the rest of these. Maybe its because he’s up in trip that the price is bigger.
16/1 (13:50 Newcastle) Muatadel 0.5 pts
4/1 (13:50 Newcastle) Muatadel 3 PLACES 0.5 pts-1.5
Charles Darwin to conquer the World
Muatadel was half the odds.. started 33/1
V Williams has her ground conditions tomorrow, why do her runners all like the soft/heavy going? pick of her lot for me is Dentley De Mee. finish a strong 2nd at this course last time out and has previous good form with the going conditions and distance
9/4 (15:30 FFos Las) Dentley De Mee
-2.5
Charles Darwin to conquer the World
Didn’t see your or Sams thread Nathan but I backed that Venitia Williams horse last night too! Took 13/8 and don’t even want to know what price the horse must have been in play!
The jockey had an absolute shocker there, wanted to win by the minimum possible distance it looked like, should have started riding 2 furlongs out not in the final 50 yards ff!! Feel robbed lol
Spot on Ben.
The winner horse and jockey put everything into that. Think the jockey hit the horse 3 or 4 times in the final half furlong whilst Charlie was just getting going…Charles Darwin to conquer the World
Mental isn’t it lol, had it in a double with that other Venitia Williams horse Sole Solution that just won the bumper at ffos las lol, typical ey :D
Think I’ll just stick to Cheltenham ante post bets from here on out!
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