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my prediction for 3:10 Lingfield

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  • #21105
    deeman
    Member
    • Total Posts 103

    Interesting one here is Belle Josephine for mark Johnson. looked good on debut, "held up, ran green, stayed on" won by 3/4 lengths. Next time at Lingfield "held up, never travelling, dropped off" disappointing.
    The mark of 70 doesn’t look to harsh, upped in trip to 2 miles, was the last race just a one off?
    Here’s how its going to go tomorrow – 3:10 Lingfield:

    "cotton grass will lead and set a very steady pace, so wont be much of a test of stamina, Belle Josephine will start slowly and be held up again in about 4/5th place, it will turn into a sprint in the last 3 furlongs , Fanning will be sitting calmly in the rear, the leaders will weaken and Belle Josephine will be staying on dourly, winning by 1/2 a length".

    Lets see how my prediction does tomorrow.
    Thoughts??

    Deeman

    #393975
    Eclipse First
    Member
    • Total Posts 1569

    A curious race and rather a trappy little contest. On breeding, you would think she will not have too much trouble with the distance. She could be a late maturing type which may account for her late debut on the track, either that or she is not the easiest to train. Being from the Meon Valley Stud, her pedigree means that having won already, unless she shows significant improvement today, a hasty detour to the paddocks awaits.
    There appears to be no great confidence behind her on Betfair, but there is little interest thus far. Opinion seems divided between the 2 George Moore runners though there is interest in both his runners, as yet one does not seem to be significantly stronger than the other.
    Kahfre appears significantly better at Lingfield than elsewhere and would get my vote to follow last year’s win from only 2lbs higher.

    #394062
    deeman
    Member
    • Total Posts 103

    Well pretty good as Belle Josephine won well but made all the running which was unexpected.

    Strange how it weakened being held up over a much shorter distance before but ran on well front running over a much longer distance.
    How does that work?

    Deeman

    #394087
    Eclipse First
    Member
    • Total Posts 1569

    Joe Fanning was able to dictate the pace so she was always travelling within herself. Having ridden for Johnston for many years, he is among the best judges of pace from the front and is currently riding as well as he ever has.
    Not sure how strong the race was and she was exceptionally weak in the market. However she won you get paid on the result not trying to guess how the race will unfold :D

    Well done!

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