Mind the Gap

[billion]

Friday August 27

2.55 Newmarket PICENO (6/4 – 7/2) 11/10 Wm Hill

Won 4/5

755 Newcastle AFRICAN WAVE (11/8 – 4/1) 1/1 Bet365

LOST

There was also Green Pearl (7/4 – 6/1) andTamarillo Grove (6/5 – 7/2) but gap had closed on the Odds Checker market and so for me they are NO BETS.

Billy's Outback Shack

[billion]

Friday August 27

Racing Post (sorry for the lateness)

Ffos Las 3.05 SENNOCKIAN STORM 11/8 – 11/2

Won 15/8

Ffos Las 4.50 GRAND LAHOU 7/4 – 11/2

LOST

Irish if you want: –

Wexford 5.30 LUXURIOUS 15/8 – 7/2

Won 13/8

Wexford 7.40 APT MANOR 15/8 – 4/1

LOST

Billy's Outback Shack

[elcartero]

Selections for Saturday 28 August 2010 (Sporting Life)

2.05 Cartmel Frankie Anson 11/8 next 11/4
2.30 Goodwood Drunken Sailor 7/4 next 4/1
3.55 Newmarket Zebedee 11/10 next 9/2
4.55 Cartmel Perez 6/5 next 9/2
6.40 Windsor Hot Prospect 11/10 next 11/4

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[billion]

R. Post = 6/10

S. Life = 6/8

O.Checker = 3/4

Billy's Outback Shack

[billion]

Saturday August 28

Goodwood 2.30 DRUNKEN SAILOR (13/8 – 4/1) 11/8 Ladbrokes

Won 5/4

Newmarket 3.55 ZEBEDEE (1/1 – 4/1) Evens-Coral

Won 1/1

Billy's Outback Shack

[billion]

Saturday August 28

Racing Post selections: –

Goodwood 2.30 DRUNKEN SAILOR (11/8 – 5/1)

Won 5/4

Beverley 5.15 KIAMA BAY (15/8 – 4/1)

Non runner

Goodwood 5.25 MIGHTY MAMBO (2/1 – 4/1)

LOST

Windsor 5.40 MORACHE MUSIC (11/10 – 11/2)

Won 8/13

Irish: –
Galway 3.25 TOYSHOP (11/8 – 4/1)

LOST

Billy's Outback Shack

[billion]

R. Post = 8/14

S/Life = 9/13

D. Mail/Odds Checker = 5/6

Billy's Outback Shack

[billion]

Sunday August 29

Although I am unable to check D. Mail’s forecast I have worked another and cross referenced with Odds Checker.

Goodwood 2.10 SLIP SLIDING AWAY (7/4 – 9/2) 2/1 S James

LOST

Yarmouth 6.00 FOLIO (1/1 – 5/2) 11/10 Bet365

LOST

———————————————————

Racing Post selections: –

Beverley 2.20 Sunnyside Tom 15/8-7/2

WON

Goodwood 2.10 SlipSliding Away 6/4-4/1

LOST

Goodwood 2.45 Pintura 7/4-4/1

WON

Goodwood 5.05 Innocuous 6/4-11/2

LOST

IRISH:-
Curagh 4.15 Memory 11/10-11/4

LOST

Galway 4.00 Dream Champion 6/4-9/2

Non Runner

Billy's Outback Shack

[billion]

Results update

R. Post = 10/17

Sp. Life 9/13 (unchanged)

Odds Ch. = 5/8

Just out of curiosity I ran ATR forecast and got 2 wins from 8

Billy's Outback Shack

[billion]

Bank Holiday Monday – August 30

NO SELECTIONS today with D. Mail crossed with Odds Checker.

(There were 8 qualifiers but ALL failed to meet staking requirement with O.C. Market)

=========================================================

R.Post (qualifiers)

Bath 3.15 Happy Today 6/4-11/4

WON 8/1

Epsom 2.00 Noonenose 2/1-4/1

LOST

Epsom 5.30 Mr Harmoosh 2/1-9/2

WON 9/2

Huntingdon 4.50 Mutadarrej 6/4-100/30

LOST

Newcastle 2.50 Sud Pacifique 13/8-3/1

LOST

Newcastle 5.10 Captain Royale 2/1-9/2

LOST

Newcastle 5.45 Bronze Beau 2/1-4/1

WON 11/4

Warwick 2.10 Kingarrick 7/4-7/2

WON 6/5

IRISH
Downpatrick 3.10 Boragh Princess 7/4-9/2

WON 11/8

Billy's Outback Shack

[elcartero]

Flat Racing selections 30 August 2010 (Sporting Life)

5.45 Newcastle Bronze Beau…..Won 11/4
2.35 Epsom Dream Number……..Lost
4.55 Epsom Resurge………….2nd
3.20 Warwick Marywell……….Won 4/9
4.30 Warwick Relative Strength.Lost

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[billion]

Update

RP = 15/26

S/Life = 11/18

Mail/Odds Checker = 5/8

Billy's Outback Shack

[billion]

Tuesday August 31 – final day of the transfer window (football)

D.Mail cross checked to Odds Checker

Newton Abbot 2.20 SASSANIAN (11/10 – 7/2) 11/8 bet365

Lost

Newton Abbot 2.50 BENEDICT SPIRIT (5/4 – 4/1) 5/4
V Chandler Won

4/5

———————————————————

R. Post qualifiers: –

Folk. 5.25 Grams and Ounces 7/4-7/2 Won 1/1
Leic. 2.10 The Mongoose 2/1-6/1 Lost
Leic. 3.40 Singeur 5/4-100/30 Lost
N. Abb.
2.20 Sassanian 2/1-4/1 Lost
250 Benedict Spirit 6/4-4/1 Won 4/5
350 Swiss Art 11/10 – 5/1 Won 4/9

Billy's Outback Shack

[elcartero]

Flat (Turf) Selections for Tuesday 31 August 2010

4.00 Ripon Choose Wisely 1/1 next 7/2
4.30 Ripon Abzolutely 11/10 next 7/2

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[billion]

I don’t think much more can be achieved with his checking of betting forecasts and must come down to personal choice.

Racing Post (All selections) 18 wins from 29 being 62%

Sporting Life (All selections) 12 wins from 19 being 63%

D.Mail (Selections meeting price requirement via Odds Checker when bet placed) 6 wins from 9 being 66%

Only the thickness of a fag paper between the percentages and therefore the choice is for as many selections as possible or the minimum, as said it is all down to personal choice.

Billy's Outback Shack

[snowman]

An interesting thread, moreso because i’ve been using something very similar, but

)

I’ve been applying the ‘gap’ principle but not the fave price starting point.

Once I have my selection I back the place only.

The logic is this:- Here’s a handicap, a race in which the official handicapper has tried his very best, to make sure that every horse finishes at the same time and yet,

My longest winning run is 11, my longest losing 3.

As for the system here, someone gently chastised billion for using oddschecker to check the gap at midmorning. However I must say in his defence, that non runners can make a significant difference to this system and make a new selection, where one didn’t exist before. I personally never finalise a selection, if it is based around price, until after midday for afternoon racing. Of course you can have non runners up to the ‘off’ but the usual raft of non runners are known by half twelve I find.

[billion]

Intersesting post

Snowman

, lot’s of food for thought.

Billy's Outback Shack

[Author]

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