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London National 2019

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  • #1476548
    Avatar photoVenture to Cognac
    Moderator
    • Total Posts 15971

    I do like to have a midweek play on this race, but it’s very difficult this year.

    As De Mee and Sharp Response would be big fancies, but both look to have other priorities at Aintree and Kelso respectively.

    Doesn’t make things that much easier though……

    https://www.racingpost.com/racecards/54/sandown/2019-12-07/744492

    https://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing/ante-post-racing/national-hunt/betfair-london-national/winner

    At their very best, both Houblon Des Obeaux and Step Back would be the clear picks.

    Houblon has certainly paid the price for his heroics round here the last 12 months, but he’s just too difficult to ignore. It would be easy to write him off here for his rise in the weights, but there’s just a suspicion that he’s got one last big run in him, and I’d give him a strong chance.

    Conversely, Step Back hasn’t had a great 12 months, and his very impressive win in The 2018 Bet365 Gold Cup, now seems a long time ago. He is coming back down the weights though, and his run in this year’s renewal was a definite step in the right direction.

    The other one to really jump out is the Richard Rowe trained Dark Flame. He never truly threatened Houblon here last time, but it was a fine comeback off of a fair old layoff. The 14’s makes a fair bit of appeal.

    Last year’s winner Morney Wing wouldn’t be a forlorn hope at 20’s, while both Caroles Destrier and Le Breuil look a tad overpriced.

    Royal Vacation is a hard horse to catch right, but he also looks to have a live chance, but as good a chance as that it, I won’t be playing him at current price, given his unpredictability.

    The quintet of

    Shanroe Santos
    Vinnie Lewis
    Potters Legend
    Get On The Yager
    Milansbar

    should all relish this test, and have a chance if in a going day, but they just add to the confusion.

    Houblon Des Obeaux and Dark Flame would be my main choices right now, but I’ll definitely sit this out until Final Decs.

    #1476561
    Avatar photopeter .h
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1854

    Too many sharing entries with Aintree, so best waiting. I’ll never abandon my old friend Houby after all we’ve been through! Even if he looks weighted out of this.

    #1476563
    Avatar photoVenture to Cognac
    Moderator
    • Total Posts 15971

    Same here Peter, I’ll definitely be with him if he goes. Just a question of him still being good enough off of that mark.

    It’s definitely not out of the question.

    #1476584
    homersimpson
    Participant
    • Total Posts 3080

    Me neither Peter and VTC. I have been backing him since I was in short pants.

    #1476587
    Avatar photoraymo61
    Participant
    • Total Posts 6747

    I proper fancy one in this folks!!
    I have been backing it since he prices come out at 10/1 and I think come race day it will be half that price.

    POTTERS LEGEND of Lucy Wadham’s was thought good enough to contest the Ladbroke last season and went on to win well at Haydock in a class 2 handicap. I think having an over hurdles first time out and then third in a Grade 3 behind West Approach. Looks a good stayer in the making and I AM ON!!

    Just hope it turns up now LOL

    #1476660
    Avatar photoVenture to Cognac
    Moderator
    • Total Posts 15971

    Such a good renewal, and it was very tough to ditch Dark Flame and Sharp Response.

    I’ll stick with this pair….

    Houblon Des Obeaux win
    Caroles Destrier EW 4 Places

    #1476685
    Avatar photopeter .h
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1854

    Purely sentimental selections for me in Houblon Des Obeaux and Royal Vacation. Always enjoy this race even with my terrible record!

    #1476724
    Avatar photoDBRDBR
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1276

    I was quite keen on Get on the Yager for the two months ago at Cheltenham. I’m willing to forgive that run and give him another chance here. I think this is his optimal trip and he is definitely on a nice mark now.

    Get on the Yager 14/1 EW

    #1476736
    Avatar photoraymo61
    Participant
    • Total Posts 6747

    AS PL hasn’t turned up I thought I better have a go!!

    Have backed SHARP RESPONSE at 8/1 and CONINGSBY at 16/1 both four places.

    :good: :good:

    #1476739
    Avatar photoDBRDBR
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1276

    Edit: wrong topic.

    #1476754
    greenasgrass
    Participant
    • Total Posts 8772

    Dragon d’Estruval win only for an interest for me.

    #1476762
    Avatar photoHe Didnt Like Ground
    Participant
    • Total Posts 7858

    Yager is a good e.w shout , played this along with classic Ben

    #1476794
    Avatar photoEx RubyLight
    Participant
    • Total Posts 5266

    YELLOW FLAG=VOID RACE

    #1476795
    Avatar photopeter .h
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1854

    Well that was horrible. You wonder how many more times you can stand to see it. Utter sickener.

    #1476796
    Avatar photoEx RubyLight
    Participant
    • Total Posts 5266

    Only logical decision to void the race. Screens were put up on the wrong side of the horse. Horses might have crashed into poor Houblon

    #1476797
    Illavim
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1065

    Absolutely heartbreaking, rip Houblon. Legend of a horse.

    #1476799
    moehat
    Participant
    • Total Posts 9921

    I think we all feel we’ve lost an old friend today.

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