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Lay the fav…..

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  • #1831
    LetsGetRacing
    Member
    • Total Posts 1147

    I’m not one for systems (in fact I can’t stand them) but I thought I’d put this one up just to see how it goes.

    There is one rule, and one rule only:

    Lay any Phillip Hobbs trained favourite – to 2pts if greater than 2/1, double that if below.

    Petitjean looks a likely first candidate in Newbury’s 3.15 tomorrow.

    (Edited by LetsGetRacing at 1:11 am on Mar. 23, 2007)

    #62894
    dave jay
    Member
    • Total Posts 3386

    Good luck with this LGR .. laying systems are amazing if you can get them right. I’ll be watching with interest.

    #62895
    LetsGetRacing
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    • Total Posts 1147

    Phillip Hobbs had three favourites in Mark The Book (8/15), Petitjean (15/8) and Pyleigh Lady (4/1) on Friday, with two losers and one winner.

    Both Mark The Book and Petitjean were successfully laid to win a total of 8 points (4 points each as both were priced below 2/1), but Pyleigh Lady’s victory left us level for the day.

    I can see that there might be a tweak or two to the system, restricting lays only to those below a certain price, but I’ll leave things as they are for now.

    Updates will follow for Saturday’s likely lays.

    (Edited by LetsGetRacing at 12:23 am on Mar. 24, 2007)

    #62896
    LetsGetRacing
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    • Total Posts 1147

    Solid support for Hobbs-trained favourites Nawaadi (7/2) and Snap Tie (7/2) left me a little apprehensive, but both were beaten to give a profit of 4 points for the afternoon.

    Total profit: +4 points.

    #62897
    LetsGetRacing
    Member
    • Total Posts 1147

    Just the one Hobbs favourite in Remember Ramon (2/1) on Sunday, who was again successfully laid for a profit of 4 points.

    Lays to date: 6<br>Profitable lays to date: 5<br>Strike rate: 83.3%<br>Profit: +8 points

    #62898
    LetsGetRacing
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    • Total Posts 1147

    Phillip Hobbs had only the one runner in Selibase (5/2) this afternoon, who went off favourite for Kempton’s 2.55. Despite reasonable support the five year old could only finish third, giving rise to a profit of 2 points.

    Lays to date: 7<br>Profitable lays to date: 6<br>Strike rate: 85.7%<br>Profit: +10 points

    #62899
    LetsGetRacing
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    • Total Posts 1147

    Boychuk (8/15) was Hobbs’s only favourite on Saturday and he was successfully laid for a profit of 4 points, Tom George’s lightly raced Ballyfoy getting the better of him in the closing stages.

    Lays to date: 8<br>Profitable lays to date: 7<br>Strike rate: 87.5%<br>Profit: +14 points

    (Edited by LetsGetRacing at 5:41 pm on Mar. 31, 2007)

    #62900
    dave jay
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    • Total Posts 3386

    Well done LGR .. I think you’ll make money here, hope you had plenty on!

    #62901
    LetsGetRacing
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    • Total Posts 1147

    I’m fairly pleased overall, dj :biggrin:

    #62902
    cormack15cormack15
    Keymaster
    • Total Posts 8783

    Intersting thread.

    Tell me LGR – how did you arrive at the system. Is there historical data supporting the profitability of this one?

    #62903
    LetsGetRacing
    Member
    • Total Posts 1147

    I’ll see if I can put some statistics together for you, corm, though I did come across it by chance – just one of those things you spot without really thinking about it.

    #62904
    LetsGetRacing
    Member
    • Total Posts 1147

    Pyleigh Lady (10/11) was a winner for Phillip Hobbs (at 4/1) a few days ago, but found one too good this afternoon to provide a profit of 4 points on the lay.

    Lays to date: 9<br>Profitable lays to date: 8<br>Strike rate: 88.88%<br>Profit: +18 points

    (Edited by LetsGetRacing at 4:43 pm on April 1, 2007)

    #62905
    LetsGetRacing
    Member
    • Total Posts 1147

    Today didn’t prove to be overly lucky as Phillip Hobbs’s Pearl King (11/8) scored under Tony McCoy.

    Lays to date: 10<br>Profitable lays to date: 8<br>Strike rate: 80%<br>Profit: +12.5 points

    (Edited by LetsGetRacing at 2:47 pm on April 6, 2007)

    #62906
    LetsGetRacing
    Member
    • Total Posts 1147

    I haven’t been keeping up-to-date with this, but Hobbs has had three favourites turned over in the last couple of days, all at 7/4 and shorter.

    I’ll try and get things on par later tonight.

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