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“If Shan blue hacks up at wetherby this weekend then he’s likely to halve in price and is the only one in the field who’s still potentially holding some cards close to his chest and offering some value in the sense his price has got a lot of room left in it.”
OTOH, if Bravemansgame fails to concede weight to the race-fit Gentlemansgame in the Charlie Hall, and Pic d’Orhy hacks up in the 1965, it’ll be the Clan des Obeaux/ Cyrname thing all over again. So it might be worth taking the 25s for Pic if you have an exchange account to lay it off before the King George which he won’t win because he won’t stay.
I saw Stage Star mentioned, but he will not go right handed. Nicholls has stated he must go left handed as he hangs. Suspect therefore we’ll continue to see him regularly at Cheltenham. Like the idea they may step him up to 3 miles as well. 66/1 for the Gold Cup, but I’m dreaming now (I own a toe-nail).
Decided that 33’s is wrong for Hewick. Trying to win Galway Plate off 12lbs higher proved too much, and that was after a fairly busy spell. He’s been kept under wraps since, and I was hoping not to see him entered for the John Durkan, which is the case. He’s a very risky horse Antepost, especially as it could be very soft at Christmas, but I couldn’t leave the 33’s
The other I’ve bet is Frodon. Been changing my mind every five minutes tonight over whether to bet him for Wincanton, and decided to just do it. He’s been a crazy horse to follow for me, and if he’s treading the same path as last year, running in this as well as Wincanton, then I have to risk him at 50’s. It might be a double blow for me, getting stuffed at Wincanton, which till probably see him retired, but if he runs well then I’m sure this’ll be his swan song. If that is the case, then he’ll come here without a hard race round Haydock
Don’t see any reason why Royal Pagaille shouldn’t run well, but the other outsider I’m looking at is Midnight River. Nice run to blow away the cobwebs the other day, and hardly asked a question. I’d have no hesitation in adding him, and definitely considering it
Frodon 66’s EW
Hewick 33’sFavourite has hard race at Haydock. Second favourite refuses to race at Ascot.
It must be worth someone rolling the dice here with doubts at the head of the market.
‘hon Frodon!
I had a bit on Protektorat ew at 20s but that doesn’t look so clever now.
The other I’ve had backed is Gran Diose ew at 66s. He’s a bit big and perhaps ponderous- I don’t know how much acceleration he has- but he has had a nice break from the Prix Jousselin.Elliott is hinting at a trip here for Gerri Colombe.
The more I know the less I understand.
With all due respect RTB, Id not take Elliots hints as a definite runner. Id rather see Gerri Colombe on the ferry on Xmas day before looking at the race.
Yep, Ive been stung by Elliots hints before..
I don’t think Gerri has the pace for a KG , let’s face it the Irish horse we want to see us Allaho
Refuse to bend that explain why he has been backed into him into 5/2 fav from 4/1
VF x
L’Homme Presse is my call here at 10-1. I’m very keen on him for Cheltenham Gold Cup, and although his soundness can’t be guaranteed, that 10-1 looks a big price to me
Venetia Williams was very non committal on ITV today about L’Homme Presse, he doesn’t sound ready and she made little comment.
The more I know the less I understand.
I’m expecting to see L homme at the Cheltenham GC trial in Jan then straight to the GC
A Bobby like punt on My Drogo e.w , if the Irish don’t turn up he’s a huge price , he’s had issues but its telling they have entered him
At the minute it’s looking like a pretty dog **** renewal in truth! I don’t necessarily mean in terms of overall talent (although it’s far from a glittering field) but in terms of actually being sure of a horse making the final field or being confident it’s going to run to previous levels.
I’d still be siding with BMG but I’m not sure I could say I think the 5/2 is value or worth getting stuck into! He’s a risky 5/1 shot for me!
Edit. And looking at what’s currently entered I’d be amazed if this gets more than 8/9 runners. Protektorat definitely not going. Allaho, GDC, Royal Pagaille, l’homme, midnight river, Edwardstone 99% certain not to run. My drogo, Shan blue, the real whacker, pic d’orhy and hewick all highly unlikely.
Does that leave a field of 7/8??
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