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Some trainers seem to be specialists as well – I think Kim Bailey has a definite RH preference, although there may be some geographical factors at play as well (based on where the greatest concentrations of RH tracks are).
An interesting hypothesis. With regard to Bailey in particular, it might be too early to say as he continues to struggle desperately compared to 10-15 years ago, but has that RH bias of his string been weakened at all since (a) he moved away from right next door to Towcester, (b) Glen Thyne was moved to Caroline Bailey?
gc
Jeremy Grayson. Son of immigrant. Adoptive father of two. Metadata librarian. Freelance point-to-point / horse racing writer, analyst and commentator wonk. Loves music, buses, cats, the BBC Micro, ale. Advocate of CBT, PACE and therapeutic parenting. Aspergers.
Jeremy,
I’m sure his Towcester location had some influence, and I admit to not having had the time to go through and aggregate all his runners but for the last three seasons his wins have broken down as follows:
07/08 – 3/111 – 3xRH, 0xLH
06/07 – 9/118 – 6xRH, 3xLH
05/06 – 6/162 – 4xRH, 2xLHNotable at how few runners (and winners) he actually sends out these days…
Ok then, I put my dull hat on and crunched some stats…
Over the last five seasons, Kim Bailey has sent out 24 winners in total, from 523 runners.
His figures can be broken down as…
Overall : 24/523 = 4.59%
Left-handed or Figure-of-8 : 6/249 = 2.41%
Right-handed : 18/274 = 6.57%
Right-handed WITHOUT Towcester : 12/223 = 5.38%So I would say his runners seem to display a definite bias towards right-handed tracks.
That said, his strike rate is very low, and his stats for hurdles and NHF are punting disaster-zones! If you had put £1 on all 296 of his bumper and hurdles runners in the last five years, you would have scraped a feeble return of just £36.50 and be well over £250 out of pocket!!!
I think when a horse jumps to the left or right , thats just his quirk and nothing to do with which lead leg he prefers,unless his back is niggleing, horses should jump straight.
the only time it might stop me having a bet would be at chester on a right rein horse, when they are constantly on the turn, don’t think it would make much difference on most other courses.I completely disagree. Keeping lists of right and left favouring horses over jumps is one of the cornerstones of my punting. OK DJ my 20% figure is probably an exaggeration but my current list has about a hundred horses in it who have shown a definite preference one way or the other. I don’t know if it’s to do with leading leg or not, but I won’t have it that it makes no difference (actually, keep on believing that please!)
If you watch horses over fences in almost every race you’ll see one that lugs a bit left or right coming into a fence and takes it at a slight angle. They can get away with it early on but as they tire it tends to become more pronounced and cost them more ground. Have a look at Drunken Disorderly or watch Kuato’s run at Ascot this season.
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