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The home of intelligent horse racing discussion

Is it wrong….

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  • #24680
    Avatar photoIanDavies
    Blocked
    • Total Posts 12996

    ….that I compare every ante-post Classic offer to the 8/1 available about Shergar for The Derby after he won the 1m 2f Classic Trial at Sandown by ten lengths in 1981?

    Free Eagle was 9/1 for The Derby after winning a maiden as a 2yo.

    Australia, who destroyed him today, must rate as somewhat better value at 8/1 with Ladbrokes and Paddy Power having at least won a Group 3 over 1m as a 2yo.

    But he’s still got a long way to go and, for all his purple pedigree, he is the first of Ouija Board’s foals to win a pattern race. <!– s:D –>:D<!– s:D –>

    I am "The Horse Racing Punter" on Facebook
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    #450531
    Getzippy
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    • Total Posts 1152

    8/1 is definitely a good price IMHO. Deffo a Derby horse, and has always been a looker. Only 6/1 on Betfair as I type.

    Wish I had some money on 5/2 for his romp (currently brassic).

    Zip

    #450532
    Avatar photoNathan Hughes
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    • Total Posts 34685

    Free Eagle was 25/1 then 20/1 after his maiden victory and kept shortening with others from that maiden winning. He only went 9/1 after Kingfisher hosed up the other evening.

    Gaelic Warrior Gold Cup Winner 2026

    #450626
    Avatar photoIanDavies
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    • Total Posts 12996

    Good point, but though it may look like after timing, I don’t think ANY horse should ever be single-figure odds for The Derby after winning a maiden as a 2yo.

    I am "The Horse Racing Punter" on Facebook
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    https://www.facebook.com/ThePointtoPointNHandFlatracingpunter/
    It's the "Millwall FC" of Point broadcasts: "No One Likes Us - We Don't Care"

    #450636
    Avatar photoNathan Hughes
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    • Total Posts 34685

    True. Mars was also very short after his maiden win last year at Dundalk.

    Gaelic Warrior Gold Cup Winner 2026

    #450648
    Avatar photoIanDavies
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    • Total Posts 12996

    EXACTLY. :D

    I am "The Horse Racing Punter" on Facebook
    https://mobile.twitter.com/Ian_Davies_
    https://www.facebook.com/ThePointtoPointNHandFlatracingpunter/
    It's the "Millwall FC" of Point broadcasts: "No One Likes Us - We Don't Care"

    #450651
    Avatar photogamble
    Participant
    • Total Posts 5724

    How can I vote on this
    thread Ted I mean its
    brilliant better than
    skateboarding
    and the man in black
    Ted, I mean he talks so
    much sense do you think
    he’s a priest ?

    Probably not Dougal

    #450653
    Avatar photoNathan Hughes
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    • Total Posts 34685

    On the hand Ian if you had backed Australia after his maiden loss you would have a not too shabby 25/1 ticket in your back pocket.

    Gaelic Warrior Gold Cup Winner 2026

    #450686
    Glenn
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2003

    If aftertiming an odds-on winner (and somebody else’s tip to boot) 32 years after the event is wrong, IanDavies doesn’t want to be right! :lol:

    #450755
    Avatar photoIanDavies
    Blocked
    • Total Posts 12996

    You’re not wrong, Glenn! :D

    The late Richard Baerlein taught me everything I know – it didn’t take him long! :mrgreen:

    I am "The Horse Racing Punter" on Facebook
    https://mobile.twitter.com/Ian_Davies_
    https://www.facebook.com/ThePointtoPointNHandFlatracingpunter/
    It's the "Millwall FC" of Point broadcasts: "No One Likes Us - We Don't Care"

    #450793
    andyod
    Member
    • Total Posts 4012

    He may have taught you everything you know but did he teach you everything he knew?

    #450831
    Avatar photoIanDavies
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    • Total Posts 12996

    Well, I did say it didn’t take him long! :D

    I am "The Horse Racing Punter" on Facebook
    https://mobile.twitter.com/Ian_Davies_
    https://www.facebook.com/ThePointtoPointNHandFlatracingpunter/
    It's the "Millwall FC" of Point broadcasts: "No One Likes Us - We Don't Care"

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