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Hungerford 2020

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  • #1496806
    Venture to CognacVenture to Cognac
    Moderator
    • Total Posts 17559

    Not a race I usually have a big go on, but it’s a quality entry……

    https://www.racingpost.com/racecards/36/newbury/2020-08-15/763100

    https://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing/ante-post-racing/flat/hungerford-stakes/winner

    Jumping out at 12’s is Brando. Questionable whether he’ll line up here over seven, but is it maybe what he needs now. I think it might be. I’m very tempted to back just now, but I’ll wait until he’s declared and see what he is then.

    Goes without saying that Limato is a massive player here, and he’s bound to go close, but if I do play one Antepost, it’ll be a regular of mine, Ropey Guest. He continues to acquit himself well in races of this nature, and often makes the frame. 50’s is hugely tempting, but I might just get four places after Final Decs, and his price will probably hold, so I’m as well waiting.

    That’s the two for me anyway, but no bet for now.

    Brando Win
    Ropey Guest EW

    #1496818
    FinalFurlong91
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2018

    One master surely wins if we get the forecast rain this week

    Id like to see some confirmation she is running though as its fairly soon after goodwood

    #1496827
    Frenchy15
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1215

    Looks a good race this if they all turn up. One Master, Limato were good last time out and Dream of Dreams is gelded now and ran well in the Diamond Jubilee. The one I really like at the prices though is Threat. I’ve been waiting for him to run over 7furlongs this season and I’m delighted to get 10/1 on that.

    Hoping we get GF ground, although it’s currently Good with all the overwatering so hoping it misses any thunderstorms.

    Threat is going to the sales after this race, is that a negative in any way? Not sure what to think?

    #1496828
    FinalFurlong91
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2018

    He will probably win frenchy now iv given up on him

    #1496829
    Frenchy15
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1215

    Bit early to give up on him FF, only 2 runs as a 3 year old! Keep the faith!

    #1496837
    FinalFurlong91
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2018

    I’m not as forgiving as you are frenchy

    Very easy to poke holes in almost all of his 2yo form and I have very little faith in the trainer

    #1496840
    Mike987654
    Participant
    • Total Posts 296

    If this was a race at Newmarket I would have been all over Limato. This is a hard race to sort out, the top three have equal chance and we have last years winner AT 12/1 Glorious Journey who could suddenly find form. One Master how he got in trouble last time out and still won was impressive. This is not an easy race.

    #1496870
    jackh1092jackh1092
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2777

    The ground is hard to guess isn’t it? Forecasts for heavy rain throughout the week, but 30 degrees lol.

    I was looking at this race with an eye to something that handles all ground. I wouldn’t like to be backing horses like, Limato, Tabarrak, Threat or Breathtaking Look until i knew the rain didn’t hit Newbury at all as they could well swerve the race completely.

    Threat being sold probably suggests what we know, he won’t make a top class stallion so CP don’t want him. A new trainer could revive him.

    Liked Glorious Journey and Dream of Dreams for this. Oisin booked for DOD’s seems a good booking too.

    Twitter: Jackh1092
    Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!

    #1496880
    Frenchy15
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1215

    Yes, it’s got even worse now the forecast, impossible to tell. Could be loads, could be nothing. I haven’t backed Threat yet, just held off at the last moment on him yesterday. Worth waiting I agree. In fact this isn’t an antipost market really now, will wait for the decs at least

    #1496899
    FinalFurlong91
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2018

    Looking at the weather radar id be fairly confident the ground will be soft

    #1496902
    Nathan HughesNathan Hughes
    Participant
    • Total Posts 22650

    A shame about the weather forecast as Threat would be in a race he is capable of winning for the first time this year.
    If he is being sold afterwards Hannon will have him spot on if he is getting any commission as he loves a few extra quid in his back pocket.

    Member since March 2008
    #1496903
    jackh1092jackh1092
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2777

    See i thought that, but depending whic forecast you read, it’s not certain to hit the racecourse. A lot of it is mentioned as 40% chance etc. With the temperatures they are getting, it might not be soft.

    Twitter: Jackh1092
    Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!

    #1496946
    TriptychTriptych
    Participant
    • Total Posts 10489

    Hoping the ground stays on the good side I’m with LIMATO to win with a fast finishing run from Dream Of Dreams. This has been his target race since winning last time at his beloved Newmarket and Henry Candy will have him spot on. :good:

    One Master taking on the colts and geldings here hasn”t been running well at this level this season and I’m opposing her in this.

    Last years winner Glorious Journey has tougher opposition this year.

    Dream Of Dreams always seems to find one better and has never won at 7f. He could be vulnerable to a fast finisher as happened with Sir Dancealot in 2018.

    Threat could be the big danger having won his only race over 7f and back at Group 2 level.

    Limato WIN 7/2
    (Haven’t backed him yet)

    Best of luck .. let’s hope Jack is right and the rain stays away. :good:
    Jac

    Things turn out best for those who make the best of how things turn out...
    #1496963
    BigGBigG
    Participant
    • Total Posts 7501

    As has been said, I think the ground will have a big say in who goes here and who give it a
    miss. Limato is a terrific horse, but checking the forecast again today I think it will be
    soft. I don’t mean to put the hoodoo on him Jac, but I have doubts about his appearance.
    Equally Threat 1st time out would have to have a shout, but again I think the ground may not
    be to his liking. I think that Dream Of Dreams looked back to the form that saw him win 2
    and then go close in the Diamond Jubilee at Ascot. He went off the boil after that but perhaps
    being gelded has got him focused. He’ll manage in the ground and 4/1 is going to look awful
    big come Saturday if Limato fails to trap.

    #1496964
    TriptychTriptych
    Participant
    • Total Posts 10489

    Best of luck Graham :good: I’m not betting until Friday night just in case. B-)

    Just read on RP that Michael Stoute’s long term partner has sadly died.
    Dream Of Dreams winning on Saturday may help to put a smile on his face, he is one of the nicest trainers around Newmarket. :rose: Jac

    Things turn out best for those who make the best of how things turn out...
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