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Is Dads Lad absolutely thrown in? last chase beat Editeur du Gite by 13 lengths receiving 15lbs so taken literally would be rated 158 but off 145 in this race. Ran in a hurdle last time and came nowhere but was that conserving chase rating?
Rouge Vif is my main fancy here, and annoyingly put up on a Preview show this week, which means I can’t really claim any more than 20-1, as he’s now been bet accordingly.
The other horse that I like, though in reality trying hard to make a concrete case for is Riders Onthe Storm at 33-1
Quite interested in Frero Banbou in this.
Came from absolutely miles back to finish 3rd in the race last year, might have been 2nd without a horrendous blunder at the last, and is 6lb better off this time around.
Got to be worth a few quid at 25s.
Sorry I got excited and didn’t write the rest of my post, the horse finished in third, a respectable 6 lengths behind the winner in this race last year off a mark of 141 and is now 6lbs below that mark on 135. He’s versatile ground-wise as well, last years running being on Heavy going but I feel this years anticipated better going won’t be a negative.
“Sorry I got excited”
Never apologise for getting excited, Ben.
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It's the "Millwall FC" of Point broadcasts: "No One Likes Us - We Don't Care"Moyenne – Just watched a Venitia Williams interview in which she states the Plate handicap is the much prefered option for Frero Banbou, he’s been backed in to 10/1 for that race.
Just read this Lucinda Russell article on the RP – https://www.racingpost.com/news/festivals/cheltenham-festival/the-weather-winds-me-up-but-were-used-to-it-snow-wont-stop-russell-as-she-readies-her-big-two-for-festival-week-aYOV28R2L3AW/
She mentions a horse that looks very interesting, Douglas Talking 25/1, unlikely to get in but with NRNB he’s worth a go so I’ve backed him e/w, can see him either not making the cut or going off shorter so either way I wouldn’t complain.
Not sure if she runs here but Riviere D’etel will take all the beating if she’s anywhere near her best. A class above this lot. Elliot reckons they’ve sorted her injury issues.
Had a shortlist of three before this, and two of them, Before Midnight, and Midnight Run, both make it.
Also being putting up Battleoverdoyen regularly the last couple of seasons, and it’s hard to leave him at massive odds. There’s a race in him, not sure this is it, and he might have to be in running, for all he’s very tempting at current odds.
This is my worst race of the year, I don’t think I’ve had one placed in it the last fifteen, twenty years, so I’m not confident. With that in mind, betting Battleoverdoyen in running makes sense. Though probably not as much sense as leaving it alone completely
And to top it off, I forgot about another notebook horse of mine, Call Me Lyreen…………this won’t end well
Battleoverdoyen possibly in running then, along with………
Before Midnight
Call Me Lyreen 30’s
Midnight Run 22’sI did tip Dinoblue for the Mares Chase early in the season so I will have to back her in this race. She does jump well and I hope she is still well enough handicapped.
I like the favourite here. Andy Dufresne should have won it last year, but was surprised by Global Citizen. That won’t happen again. I also like Dads Lad. His win at Cheltenham in the autumn – beating Editeur du Gite – does look stong form. Finally added Thyme White. I think he was one of the favourites for this race last year, but didn’t run. Still quite young and can improve again.
Thyme White 16/1 EW
Andy Dufresne 5/1
Dads Lad 12/1Battleoverdoyen EW @ 40’s 6 places
Had a few bets on him for the other handicap so no option really given the price. Ran well at Naas i thought and you could fancy him to turn the tables with Coeur Sublime at the weights who is 4 times shorter in price.
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