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@ Sowly Away
I use
100
as the base rate, I do not use any allowance for for 2yo’s.
I rechecked my figures using your base rate of
96
and the speed figure still came out plus @
29
.
My lbs. per length I use for the 6f furlongs at Kempton is
2.80
.
Dave Edwards "Top Speed" has the going allowance for Kempton at
0.20s/f
which is close to what I came up with and he has a speed figure of
26
which includes the WFA allowance he uses.
Even using Top Speed’s going allowance of
0.20s/f
I still get a speed figure of
30
and as I use an Excel macro to assess the whole meeting it is very hard to make a mistake and I always double check the figures afterwards.
The race was
4.00s
above standard and even if I used the going allowance
at 0.00s/f per furlong I would still end up with a plus speed figure of47
so how you have ended up with a minus figure is interesting
Looking at the other 6f race on the card won by
Fast Finian
the different in the above standard was 0.41 (41lbs), so if you subtract
41
from the speed figure you have allocated to
Fast Finian
you should still get a plus figure, I would get 67-41 =
26
4.00s-1.53s =
2.47s
2.47s divided by 6f =
0.4116
0.41×100 =
41lbs
41
By the way I used your method calculating the going allowance for Beverley on the 13th and came up with
-0.35s/f
slow which looks about right and gives the time base going as
good to soft
, Dave Edwards says it is
-0.46s/f
and Dave Bellingham has it
0.4
slow
Beverley 13/6/12
02:00 Sophie´s Beau 5f
48
02:30 Lord Avonbrook 5f
33
03:00 Tuibama 5f
42
03:30 Fenella Fudge 7½f
68
04:00 Maybeme 1m2f
45
04:30 Fleeting Fashion 1m4f
32
05:00 Miss Ellany 7½f
64
05:30 Lady Advocate 1m½f
44
TBB
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