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December 11, 2015 at 11:32 #1225550
Race Of The Day
1:45 Cheltenham
53 points @ 4.7/1 (betfair) Sausalito Sunrise* (min 4/1)(£691 available)
28 points @ 10/1 (B365) Shuil Royale* (min 8/1)Sausalito now non-runner:
52 points @ 9/2 (B365) Vieux Lion Rouge* (min 4/1)
saver:
18 points @ 9/2 (B365) Druids Nephew (min 9/2)Value Is EverythingDecember 11, 2015 at 12:25 #1225555Race Of The Day
1:45 Cheltenham
53 points @ 4.7/1 (betfair) Sausalito Sunrise* (min 4/1)(£691 available)
28 points @ 10/1 (B365) Shuil Royale* (min 8/1)Sausalito now non-runner:
52 points @ 9/2 (B365) Vieux Lion Rouge* (min 4/1)
saver:
18 points @ 9/2 (B365) Druids Nephew (min 9/2)saver:
9 points @ 12/1 (PP) Aarchen (min 11/1)
further:
2 points @ 9/2 (Sky) Druids Nephew (min 9/2)Value Is EverythingDecember 11, 2015 at 13:06 #1225561Race Of The Day
1:45 Cheltenham
53 points @ 4.7/1 (betfair) Sausalito Sunrise* (min 4/1)(£691 available)
28 points @ 10/1 (B365) Shuil Royale* (min 8/1)Sausalito now non-runner:
52 points @ 9/2 (B365) Vieux Lion Rouge* (min 4/1)
saver:
18 points @ 9/2 (B365) Druids Nephew (min 9/2)saver:
9 points @ 12/1 (PP) Aarchen (min 11/1)
further:
2 points @ 9/2 (Sky) Druids Nephew (min 9/2)Knock House has a good chance on his last run, but not sure he’ll stay over this extended trip on a stiff course on testing ground… Something that (to a certain extent) applies to Vieux Lion Rouge aswell, but Pipe is in better form now and VLR is unexposed. So if staying has a great chance and worth taking a risk at the price. With Forgotten Gold a non-runner it’s possible pace won’t be as fast/contested. Aarchen seemed to thrive with a change to front running tactics last time and could get a soft lead here too, none too consistent so only a saver. Market will tell a lot about The Druids Nephew, whether he’s only got one target in April. Unlucky in Grand National, late faller when going well. Won at the Cheltenham Festival in the style of one who’s got more improvment in him. Should’ve come on for considerate reappearance. Said by some not to like very soft, but second to Sam Winnner came in similar ground. TDN is another worth at least a saver, posibly more if late market speaks in his favour. Want to be against Wonderful Charm, Mon Parrain and particularly The Rompford Pele on trainer form. Shuil Royale is the other main bet. Harry Fry is in much better form now and probably needed reapperance. Had looked a progressive staying chaser and best value bet in the race.
Value Is EverythingDecember 11, 2015 at 15:21 #1225573Race Of The Day
3:00 Cheltenham
100 points @ Evens (PP) Peace And Co* (min 4/5)Value Is EverythingDecember 11, 2015 at 16:55 #12255941:50 Cheltenham
29 points @ 10/1 (C) Village Vic* (min 17/2)Value Is EverythingDecember 11, 2015 at 17:01 #12255951:50 Cheltenham
29 points @ 10/1 (C) Village Vic* (min 17/2)29 points @ 10/1 (PP) Irish Cavalier* (min 17/2)
33 points @ 10/1 (PP) Champagne West* (min 8/1)Value Is EverythingDecember 11, 2015 at 17:39 #12255961:50 Cheltenham
29 points @ 10/1 (C) Village Vic* (min 17/2)29 points @ 10/1 (PP) Irish Cavalier* (min 17/2)
33 points @ 10/1 (PP) Champagne West* (min 8/1)19 points @ 16/1 (sportingbet) Doctor Phoenix* (min 14/1)
saver:
7 points @ 16/1 (Boyle) Molotov (min 15/1)Value Is EverythingDecember 11, 2015 at 19:15 #1225609Race Of The Day
3:00 Cheltenham
100 points @ Evens (PP) Peace And Co* (min 4/5)Interested on your thoughts on this one.
To me it is a very much look and learn race. Although he landed a good few bets at the Festival it would be hard to suggest the winner did much more than scramble home. The head carriage wasn’t pretty and although it is early days there hasn’t been anything to suggest that it was a sparkling renewal. I think the second has shown enough to suggest he isn’t a Champion Hurdle winner and may well be upped in trip. Despite the two wins perhaps Peace And Co might be better on a flat track? Add in Jacob for Geraghty and he looks plenty short enough.
December 11, 2015 at 20:39 #1225617Race Of The Day
3:00 Cheltenham
100 points @ Evens (PP) Peace And Co* (min 4/5)Interested on your thoughts on this one.
To me it is a very much look and learn race. Although he landed a good few bets at the Festival it would be hard to suggest the winner did much more than scramble home. The head carriage wasn’t pretty and although it is early days there hasn’t been anything to suggest that it was a sparkling renewal. I think the second has shown enough to suggest he isn’t a Champion Hurdle winner and may well be upped in trip. Despite the two wins perhaps Peace And Co might be better on a flat track? Add in Jacob for Geraghty and he looks plenty short enough.
Disagree with your assessment Stilvi.
Thought Peace And Co won the Triumph with a lot more in hand than a neck suggests. Top Notch twice franked the form this term against established hurdlers, latter a Grade 1. Hargam disappointed but so do a lot of JP’s horses before coming good; Betfair Hurdle? Those three were 10 lengths clear of Devilment (4th) who’s done his bit too, 2 lengths second in a listed Sandown Handicap under top weight. And 5th Petite Parisienne (beaten over 21 lengths) won the Champion 4 year old Hurdle at Punchestown by 8 1/2 lengths. seems equally effective at Donny or Prestbury to me. imo It was a very good Triumph. If anything beats Faugheen it’ll be this one. Not only does Peace And Co have the best form (by some way) tomorrow, but also more scope for further improvement than any other horse. Only four runs to his name, just three for Henderson. Impressive on reappearance last season, so being fresh shouldn’t be a problem.Jacob taking over is a slight worry, particularly if it’s a slowly run race (no out and out front runner) but P&C shows an excellent turn of foot. I’ll probably put up a saver on a prominent runner later. Even so, I was expecting 4/6 rater than Evens. Doesn’t look a strong race.
Old Guard second fav, but he won the Gretwood off 11-03, not 11-10, with a handicap mark of 145 and stable could be in better nick. Opposite of Sempre Medici, has potential and may be the true second best chance here, but (as it stands) Mullins has at least 5 better 2m hurdlers. Hargam was beaten well in the Triumph, run poorly since and probably better on firmer ground. Melodic Rendezvous has his conditions but on a line through Top Notch doesn’t look anywhere near good enough if Peace And Co runs his race. The horse am looking to save on is Cheltenian. Usually races prominently, which could help if anything is going to beat the fav. Stable in good form, runs well fresh and progressive form last season. At 18/1 worth a saver.
Value Is EverythingDecember 11, 2015 at 20:43 #1225619Peace and Co is the nap of the day for reason as ginge says.
Blackbeard to conquer the World
December 11, 2015 at 20:56 #1225620Race Of The Day
3:00 Cheltenham
100 points @ Evens (PP) Peace And Co* (min 4/5)12 points @ 20/1 (betfair) Cheltenian* (min 16/1)(£46 available)
Value Is EverythingDecember 11, 2015 at 22:24 #12256391:15 Cheltenham
40 points @ 6/1 (PP) Bold Henry* (min 11/2)Value Is EverythingDecember 11, 2015 at 23:01 #12256431:15 Cheltenham
40 points @ 6/1 (PP) Bold Henry* (min 11/2)40 points @ 6/1 (betfair) Cold March* (min 11/2)(£140 available)
Value Is EverythingDecember 11, 2015 at 23:02 #12256441:15 Cheltenham
40 points @ 6/1 (PP) Bold Henry* (min 11/2)40 points @ 6/1 (betfair) Cold March* (min 11/2)(£140 available)
saver:
12 points @ 7/1 (Sportsbook) Eastlake (min 7/1)Value Is EverythingDecember 12, 2015 at 10:25 #1225694Race Of The Day
3:00 Cheltenham
100 points @ Evens (PP) Peace And Co* (min 4/5)Interested on your thoughts on this one.
To me it is a very much look and learn race. Although he landed a good few bets at the Festival it would be hard to suggest the winner did much more than scramble home. The head carriage wasn’t pretty and although it is early days there hasn’t been anything to suggest that it was a sparkling renewal. I think the second has shown enough to suggest he isn’t a Champion Hurdle winner and may well be upped in trip. Despite the two wins perhaps Peace And Co might be better on a flat track? Add in Jacob for Geraghty and he looks plenty short enough.
Jacob taking over is a slight worry, particularly if it’s a slowly run race (no out and out front runner) but P&C shows an excellent turn of foot. I’ll probably put up a saver on a prominent runner later. Even so, I was expecting 4/6 rater than Evens. Doesn’t look a strong race.
I would agree with the above reference to the pace. Unless the favourite goes on (which might help him) it is a race that is set up for someone trying to nick it off a slow pace. If I had a free bet it would probably go on Cheltenian but he probably wants a decent pace himself, post bumper win doesn’t have the best Cheltenham form and isn’t the best of jumpers. That said he might outrun his price.
December 12, 2015 at 14:06 #12257381:50 Cheltenham
29 points @ 10/1 (C) Village Vic* (min 17/2)29 points @ 10/1 (PP) Irish Cavalier* (min 17/2)
33 points @ 10/1 (PP) Champagne West* (min 8/1)19 points @ 16/1 (sportingbet) Doctor Phoenix* (min 14/1)
saver:
7 points @ 16/1 (Boyle) Molotov (min 15/1)If Softie is looking in:
Hope you were on the exacta.Value Is EverythingDecember 13, 2015 at 11:47 #1225798If Softie is looking in:
Hope you were on the exacta.[/quote]
Sadly i was not on that one Ginge., although i would have been a bit peed off if i was paying a measly 49.70 when it should be at least 70 for 2 8/1 shots.
Glad you had a nice winner though – somewhat spoilt by the antics of the very juvenile-like Peace and Co. however.
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