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June 19, 2015 at 13:51 #1107102
<div class=”d4p-bbt-quote-title”>Gingertipster wrote:</div>
<div class=”d4p-bbt-quote-title”>Gingertipster wrote:</div>
Queen’s Vase
31 points @ 8/1 (B365) Great Glen* (min 15/2)
28 points @ 8/1 (B365) Yarrow* (min 15/2)10 points each way @ 50/1 (B365) Havisham* (min 33/1)
The more you look at this race, the more Great Glen stands out.
another:
10 points @ 8/1 (B365) Great Glen* (min 13/2)Race made such a good betting contest because there’s a doubtful stayer at the front of the market. In particular Aloft who was a doubtful stayer going in at a mile at two, albeit unfounded. But this is double that distance! AOB is doing brilliantly this week and I know IF he stays will win… but he won’t stay imo. Dam a 5f winner. Stable companion Bantry Bay is more like a stayer, but needs to step up a hell of a lot on what he’s done so far. Even with yard in good form must be taken on at 3/1.
Antiquarium has a chance, but is another that does not screem 2 miles. By New Approach and travels well at 12f. Want to take him on.
Great Glen is related to many stayers and had no right to show as good form over 1m3f last time (2 3/4 lengths behind (the admittedly improved since) Derby third Storm The Stars.
Yarrow is a half sister to Derby winner and second Golan and Tarten Bearer. Her Sire Sea The Stars is probably going to be a greater stamina influence than her siblings sire. Won a maiden easily by 5 lengths and could be anything and wild flowers is an interest of mine.
Havisham is just over-priced. Cost a 6 figure sum and from the family of St Leger winner Kingston Hill. Only 1 1/2 lengths 3rd in a 1m6f Class 4 handicap last time, but pulled hard that day and could do considerably better if settling in this much bigger field.
Now all I need is them to go a pace and make it in to a real 2m race. Sometimes that does not happen here.
Value Is EverythingJune 19, 2015 at 14:13 #1107107Hope Stravigante is ok.
Value Is EverythingJune 19, 2015 at 14:40 #1107108LAY 10 points @ 2.7/1 (betfair) Hootananny
Value Is EverythingJune 19, 2015 at 14:55 #1107109July Cup
54 points @ 6/1 (PP) Muhaarar* (min 5/1)Value Is EverythingJune 19, 2015 at 15:31 #1107112<div class=”d4p-bbt-quote-title”>Gingertipster wrote:</div>
Coronation
44 points each way @ 9/2 (PP) Ervedya* (min 7/2)saver:
6 points @ 18/1 (C) Irish Rookie (min 18/1)Whenever I have an each way bet it either wins or finishes out of the frame.
Value Is EverythingJune 19, 2015 at 16:32 #1107124LAY 10 points @ 2.7/1 (betfair) Hootananny
I layed the pants off this one, I can afford a G-string now……
Blackbeard to conquer the World
June 19, 2015 at 16:52 #1107128<div class=”d4p-bbt-quote-title”>Gingertipster wrote:</div>
LAY 10 points @ 2.7/1 (betfair) HootanannyI layed the pants off this one, I can afford a G-string now……
LOL
I had a bit of 5/1 as a saver bet yesterday Nathan, but couldn’t resist laying some of it back at that ridiculous price. Saw you were thinking about laying Hootanany in the Commonwealth thread. Glad you followed through, but hate to think what it’s done to your pants.Value Is EverythingJune 19, 2015 at 16:57 #1107130AOB is doing brilliantly this week and I know IF he stays will win… but he won’t stay imo. Dam a 5f winner.
…………………………………………………….Now all I need is them to go a pace and make it in to a real 2m race. Sometimes that does not happen here.
Got that one wrong, well… half wrong… (see final line). If jockeys make a staying race in to a sprint then the horse with most speed wins.
Value Is EverythingJune 19, 2015 at 17:09 #1107135Hardwicke
70 points @ 7/2 (Sky) Postponed* (min 3/1)Value Is EverythingJune 19, 2015 at 17:13 #1107136Hardwicke
70 points @ 7/2 (Sky) Postponed* (min 3/1)20 points @ 4/1 (PP) Eagle Top (min 7/2)
Value Is EverythingJune 19, 2015 at 17:26 #1107137Yet to have a losing day at this year’s Royal Ascot. Balios and Ervedya, +177.5 points today.
Value Is EverythingJune 19, 2015 at 18:26 #1107151Chesham
40 points @ 11.5/1 (betfair) Force* (min 8/1)(£55 available)Value Is EverythingJune 19, 2015 at 18:28 #1107153Chesham
40 points @ 11.5/1 (betfair) Force* (min 8/1)(£55 available)saver:
25 points @ 1.82/1 (betfair) Ballydoyle (min 7/4)(£59 available)Value Is EverythingJune 19, 2015 at 18:34 #1107154Cracking stuff, Ginge.
Can’t get motivated to take on Telescope tomorrow. Must be the best older horse to have not won a group 1! Postponed I like the most in opposition though, surprised he has been campaigned back at 10f this term after he evidently relished a step up to 12f last year.
June 19, 2015 at 18:58 #1107156<div class=”d4p-bbt-quote-title”>Gingertipster wrote:</div>
Chesham
40 points @ 11.5/1 (betfair) Force* (min 8/1)(£55 available)saver:
25 points @ 1.82/1 (betfair) Ballydoyle (min 7/4)(£59 available)20 points @ 16/1 (L) Dessertoflife* (min 14/1)
10 points @ 1.9/1 (betfair) Ballydoyle (min 7/4)Value Is EverythingJune 19, 2015 at 19:25 #1107159Cracking stuff, Ginge.
Can’t get motivated to take on Telescope tomorrow. Must be the best older horse to have not won a group 1! Postponed I like the most in opposition though, surprised he has been campaigned back at 10f this term after he evidently relished a step up to 12f last year.
My thoughts exactly with Postponed tb, suppose it’s a breeding thing in trying to get a win at 1m2f for the CV. tbh Expected to be with Telescope this week, but is a lot shorter than I expected. As you say, Group 1 horse masquerading at Group 2, but so are Postponed and Eagle Top. Both (former in particular) have potential to improve too. At least 3 of these better than the Coronation Cup winner. Telescope is probably the best British 1m4f older horse on his day and loves this ground. But consistency makes him opposable at the price. Stoutey came in to Ascot in good form and had one winner elsewhere this week. But imo none of the 10 Ascot runners has run to form, which is a little (only a little at this stage) disconcerting. Hasn’t had much luck with three pulling up injured.
Value Is EverythingJune 19, 2015 at 20:09 #1107169Queen Alexandra
saver first:
40 points @ 11/8 (PP) Wicklowe Brave* (min 6/5)Is this the worst Royal Ascot race ever?
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