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TheNovice.
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- June 17, 2025 at 20:42 #1733477
JUNE 17TH BETS:
Queen Anne:
(3.8%) £52 @ 8.6 (betfair £89 available) Porta Fortuna (min 8) Not take part.
(3.85%) £54 @ 12/1 (B365) Sardinian Warrior (min 10/1) Not take part
(5.1%) £39 @ 8 (betfair £39 available) Dancing Gemini (min 7.2)
(4.4%) £18 @ 7.6 (betfair £174 available) Dancing Gemini (min 7.2)
£21 @ 20/1 (WH) Carl Sparkler (min 18/1)
£25 @ 8.6 (betfair £17 available) Notable Speech (min 8)
STAKES £209– £209
——————————————————–King Charles III:
(4.25%) £55 @ 10.5 (betfair £83 available) Mgheera (min 9.4) Non-runner
£20 @ 33/1 (Laddies) Jasour (min 28/1)
£20 @ 9.8 (betfair £39 available) Night Raider (min 9.6)
(5.3%) £69 @ 6 (betfair £89 available) Believing (min 5/1)
£1 @ 190 (betfair £1 available) No Half Measures (min 100)
£4 @ 180 (betfair £6 available) No Half Measures (min 100) Non-runner
£3 @ 75 (betfair £16 available) Kerdos (min 65)
£30 @ 5.4 (betfair £247 available) Asfoora (min 5.4)
£35 @ 5.3 (betfair £228 available) Asfoora (min 5)
LAY £5 @ 28 (betfair £28 available) Jasour (max 28)
LAY £13 @ 10.5 (betfair £150 available) Mgheera (max 11)
LAY £10 @ 5.2 (betfair £552 available) Believing (max 5.5)
STAKES (not incl. Non Runners) £177
LAYS £28– £149.00
——————————————————-St James’s Palace:
(8.6%) £70 each way @ 4/1 (BetVictor) Ruling Court (min 7/2) 3rd
STAKES £140.00– £140.00
——————————————————-Day’s Deficit – £498.00
Betting Bank £12,503.77
Thread Profit + £2,503.77
=====================Value Is EverythingJune 18, 2025 at 00:40 #1733539Prince Of Wales:
(4.95%) £62 @ 7.6 (betfair £117 available) Ombudsman (min 7)Value Is EverythingJune 18, 2025 at 00:48 #1733542That’s the only bet for tonight, will look again tomorrow morning.
Value Is EverythingJune 18, 2025 at 10:31 #1733576“Prince Of Wales:
(4.95%) £62 @ 7.6 (betfair £117 available) Ombudsman (min 7)”
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(3.85%) £48 @ 6.8 (betfair £103 available) See The Fire (min 6.8)Value Is EverythingJune 18, 2025 at 10:46 #1733581Duke Of Cambridge:
(9.9%) £124 @ 2.6 (betfair £ available) Cinderella’s Dream (min 2.5)Value Is EverythingJune 18, 2025 at 10:51 #1733582“Duke Of Cambridge:
(9.9%) £124 @ 2.6 (betfair £369 available) Cinderella’s Dream (min 2.5)”
————————————————————————
saver:
£25 @ 6.6 (betfair £29 available) Fallen Angel (min 6)Value Is EverythingJune 18, 2025 at 10:59 #1733583“Duke Of Cambridge:
(9.9%) £124 @ 2.6 (betfair £369 available) Cinderella’s Dream (min 2.5)
saver:
£25 @ 6.6 (betfair £29 available) Fallen Angel (min 6)”
——————————————————-
saver: £16 @ 10 (betfair £207 available) Running Lion (min 10)Value Is EverythingJune 18, 2025 at 11:04 #1733586“Prince Of Wales:
(4.95%) £62 @ 7.6 (betfair £117 available) Ombudsman (min 7)
(3.85%) £48 @ 6.8 (betfair £103 available) See The Fire (min 6.8)”
——————————————————————
saver:
£22 @ 6 (betfair £1334 available) Anmaat (min 6)Value Is EverythingJune 18, 2025 at 12:15 #1733613Good luck Ginge.. I’m interested in Fallen Angel, any reason for the drift?
looks like I hit a bit of value today
Cardiff by the Sea 22’s E/W
See the Fire 7’s
Qirat 22’sGaelic Warrior Gold Cup Winner 2026
June 18, 2025 at 12:54 #1733624I’ve seen your write up on the Duke of Cambridge thread, ginge
explains my question
cheers palGaelic Warrior Gold Cup Winner 2026
June 18, 2025 at 15:34 #1733660How I see the Prince Of Wales Stakes:
Los Angeles has always seemed a 1m4f+ horse to me… I’ve backed him ante-post for the Arc, so am hoping he does not win today. Otherwise the Champion might be his Autumn target. Even if he won the Tatts Gold Cup last time, that was on softer ground than he’ll get today and over half a furlong further (more of a test of stamina)… And Anmaat looked to be going better a furlong out on that one’s reappearance. Did Anmaat need the run or is Los Angeles a fighter? Probably a bit of both. Am sure connections will make this a very strong pace, but even so I suspect he’ll be outspeeded by something. Especially if challenging wide – less likely Los Angeles will fight back. That said, I still make him favourite, just too short to take a chance on his stamina / worth opposing at the odds. My idea of his fair odds in my 100% book is 11/4.
Anmaat has found plenty in the closing stages before and has a good win/run ratio to suggest needed his return. We know he likes Ascot and only just beaten by Los Angeles last time. Has plenty of winning form further back in his form, but his recent improvement in the Champion and Tatts Gold Cup have both come on softer than it’ll be today. Had it not been for the ground I’d he’d have been a main bet. My idea of his fair odds is 4/1.
Map Of Stars is good, but is he good enough? Got close to Sosie (at levels) last time out… However, he did only beat Royal Rhyme 2 lengths that day. If Royal Rhyme was in this I’d expect him to be beaten further than 2 lengths. So Map Of Stars is imo flattered by his proximity to the Arc fav. That said, he is improving. Is another with a slight question mark on the ground – not run on it. Although is by Sea The Stars, a sire whose progeny usually like top-of-the-ground. The French Stable is in excellent form. Fair odds imo 5/1.
The other French horse Factor Cheval has an even bigger ground worry. Has never won on this surface (or as far as today either). Seems much more consistent on a softer surface. That said, beaten less than two lengths by Notable Speech in last year’s Sussex. Even on his best form shouldn’t really be good enough to win – although I said the same about Docklands! Fair odds 40/1.
Royal Champion won the Group 3 Winter Derby on the All Weather… And with a penalty imo comes out the best at the weights from a blanket finish of the Gordon Richards won by Al Aasy – when 4th. Good second in the Grade 1 Canadian International to Appleby’s globetrotter Nations Pride. Karl Burke has only had him for three starts win, win and that 4th. But even at his best shouldn’t be good enough to win and – recurring theme – not sure to be as effective on today’s surface… Fair odds 80/1
Even Ombudsman! Has won on the surface but his best start (last time out) was on softer in the Brigadier Gerard. But has a very progressive profile on a firmer surface too – suggests he’ll act today. Only second to Almaqam at Sandown but the time was so good! imo Strongly suggesting he’s much better than a Group 2 animal… And worth saying again one who’s improving and from the very much in form Gosden yard. Fair odds 11/2.
See The Fire comes here from a personal best. A Group 1 winning performance in the Group 2 Middleton over this trip – winning by 12 lengths. Albeit arguably no other horse ran to form, the time was nevertheless exceptional. Whether she’ll be good enough against the males – don’t know – but is improving. Progeny of her dam – International winner Arabian Queen – tend to improve with age. See The Fire should be suited by the likely strong pace. Fair Odds 5/1.
Continuous looks a pacemaker and as such was a deliberate “non-trier” in Ireland when doing those duties for Los Angeles in the Tatts Gold Cup. That said, this is too short for him and hasn’t shown his St Leger winning form (even over further) for a long time. Connections have imo ruined the horse in him helping others to show their best. Fair odds 400/1.
I’ve backed: See The Fire @ 6/1 and Ombudsman @ 13/2 with a saver on Anmaat @ 5/1.
Value Is EverythingJune 18, 2025 at 16:25 #1733671
June 18, 2025 at 16:51 #1733688At last, Baynet… A good win.

Bit frustrating I’ve had all those losers and then when I do get a winner… With the one, two, three…
If the winner hadn’t won I’d have had the winner… And if that hadn’t have won either I also would’ve had the winner. If you see what I mean.
Value Is EverythingJune 18, 2025 at 17:15 #1733694JUNE 8TH BETS:
Duke Of Cambridge:
(9.9%) £124 @ 2.6 (betfair £369 available) Cinderella’s Dream (min 2.5) 2nd
£25 @ 6.6 (betfair £29 available) Fallen Angel (min 6) 3rd
£16 @ 10 (betfair £207 available) Running Lion (min 10) 4th
STAKES £165– £165
————————————————————–Prince Of Wales:
(4.95%) £62 @ 7.6 (betfair £117 available) Ombudsman (min 7) 1st
(3.85%) £48 @ 6.8 (betfair £103 available) See The Fire (min 6.8) 3rd
£22 @ 6 (betfair £1334 available) Anmaat (min 6) 2nd
STAKES £132
RETURN £471.20+ £339.20
————————————————————–Day’s Profit + £174.20
Betting Bank £12,677.97
Thread Profit + £2,677.97
=====================Value Is EverythingJune 18, 2025 at 17:22 #1733697Brilliant write up on the Prince of Wales Stakes Mark
June 18, 2025 at 20:49 #1733729“ante-post Ascot Gold Cup:
(6.4%) £90 @ 5/1 (B365) Trawlerman (min 5.7)”
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saver:
£47 @ 2.92 (betfair £84 available) Illinois (min 2.9)Value Is EverythingJune 18, 2025 at 20:49 #1733730Thanks Steven.
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